La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Tivoli Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Pro League
La Louvière RAAL
Versus
Cercle Brugge CBR
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 6 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

La Louvière welcomes Cercle Brugge to Stade du Tivoli for a pivotal Pro League relegation round fixture in the 2025/2026 season. Sitting 14th and 15th respectively in the domestic table, both sides fight to climb out of danger. Cercle Brugge enters as the stronger outfit, powered by a 69.03 score compared to La Louvière's 54.43, translating to a clear 14.6-point advantage. Recent form amplifies this gap, with the visitors surging at 22.89 while hosts lag at 2.61. No specific last outings provide further clues, heightening intrigue. Data on efficiency remains absent, and set pieces rely on low-confidence proxies without xG insights. Positions underscore a tight battle on paper, yet underlying metrics tilt decisively toward the away team in this high-stakes clash.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cercle Brugge possesses a 14.6-point power advantage over La Louvière, with scores of 69.03 versus 54.43.
  • Form: Cercle Brugge's form score of 22.89 vastly outpaces La Louvière's 2.61.
  • Squad: League standings place La Louvière 14th and Cercle Brugge 15th in the domestic table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG data for either side.
  • xVariable: xG unavailable, impacting advanced variable assessments per metadata.
  • Market: Baseline split: La Louvière 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Cercle Brugge 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
La Louvière F. Taquin
F. Taquin
VS
Cercle Brugge L. Friis
L. Friis
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dender Rank: 60 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 66 L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 64 L
Cercle Brugge Rank: 69 L
Dender Rank: 61 L
Genk Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 67 L
Dender Rank: 60 W
Dender Rank: 61 W
La Louvière Rank: 63 W
Zulte-Waregem Rank: 68 D
Anderlecht Rank: 73 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home La Louvière
0%
Draw
0%
Away Cercle Brugge
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.43
69.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
La Louvière
Cercle Brugge
Power Score
54.43
69.03
League Position
14
15
Global Rank
396
228

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
La Louvière — Opponent-weighted form score
Cercle Brugge — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) La Louvière Cercle Brugge

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

La Louvière RAAL Home
5 matches
Cercle Brugge CBR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:08:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
C. De Schrevel
1 C. De Schrevel
W. Faye
4 W. Faye
Y. Okou
99 Y. Okou
M. Maisonneuve
13 M. Maisonneuve
J. Liongola
11 J. Liongola
S. Joel Ito
23 S. Joel Ito
A. Beka Beka
6 A. Beka Beka
N. Gillot
3 N. Gillot
B. Soumaré
28 B. Soumaré
N. Nsingi
27 N. Nsingi
P. Fall
7 P. Fall
W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
1 W. Stellion Lisboa Oliveira
V. Konaté
12 V. Konaté
G. Kondo
24 G. Kondo
E. Kakou
5 E. Kakou
F. Jacinto Nazinho
20 F. Jacinto Nazinho
E. Diop
37 E. Diop
P. Gerkens
18 P. Gerkens
M. Diaby
19 M. Diaby
G. Magnée
15 G. Magnée
S. Ngoura
9 S. Ngoura
D. Vanzeir
13 D. Vanzeir

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
Stade du Tivoli
Capacity :
12500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Célestin Eric De Schrevel
Célestin Eric De Schrevel Goalkeeper
5.99
3
Nolan Gillot
Nolan Gillot Midfielder
6.96
27
Nachon Nsingi
Nachon Nsingi Midfielder
6.38
28
Bryan Soumaré
Bryan Soumaré Midfielder
6.46
11
Jordi Liongola
Jordi Liongola Midfielder
6.83
7
Pape Moussa Fall
Pape Moussa Fall Centre Forward
7.01
13
Maxence Maisonneuve
Maxence Maisonneuve Left Back
6.72
4
Wagane Faye
Wagane Faye Right Back
6.87
23
Joël Ito
Joël Ito Central Midfield
6.63
99
Yllan Okou
Yllan Okou Centre Back
6.92
6
Alexis Beka Beka
Alexis Beka Beka Central Midfield
6.76

Starting XI ▼

1
Warleson
Warleson Goalkeeper
6.91
15
Gary Magnée
Gary Magnée Midfielder
7.15
20
Nazinho
Nazinho Midfielder
7.12
9
Steve Ngoura
Steve Ngoura Attacker
6.74
13
Dante Vanzeir
Dante Vanzeir Attacker
6.41
24
Geoffrey Kondo
Geoffrey Kondo Centre Back
6.99
37
Edan Diop
Edan Diop Central Midfield
7.02
5
Emmanuel Kakou
Emmanuel Kakou Right Back
6.84
12
Valy Konaté
Valy Konaté Left Back
7.04
18
Pieter Gerkens
Pieter Gerkens Central Midfield
6.9
19
Ibrahima Diaby
Ibrahima Diaby Central Midfield
6.71

CONCLUSION

Cercle Brugge arrives with momentum and superior metrics, poised to exploit La Louvière's form woes in this relegation scrap. The 14.6-point power edge and dominant 22.89 form score position the visitors as favorites despite proximate league spots. Home advantage at Stade du Tivoli offers La Louvière a fighting chance, but absent efficiency and set-piece details leave questions. Expect Cercle Brugge's strength to shine through in transition and open play, potentially securing vital points. La Louvière must rally defensively to counter the threat.

La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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