La Louvière vs Antwerp Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Tivoli
Fri, 6 Mar - 7:45 PM
Pro League
La Louvière
RAAL
0
–
0
Antwerp
ANT
Full Time
Fri, 6 Mar
7:45 PM
|
Xander Dierckx 88'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
The match between La Louvière and Antwerp is officially finished, ending in a 0-0 full-time draw. Ahead of the fixture, the pre-match market favored the home side with a 45.4% win probability, while a draw sat at 29.4% and an Antwerp victory at 25.2%. Because the game ended evenly, the final outcome was not aligned with the primary pre-match market expectations. This resulted in a significant deviation level involving Antwerp, defying the initial forecasts. On the pitch, La Louvière controlled the bulk of the play with 60% possession, leaving Antwerp with just 40%. The match dynamics were heavily impacted by a red card shown to Antwerp. This dismissal created a notable distortion in the second half, forcing the away side to dig in defensively to secure the point. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it cannot be determined whether the scoreless outcome was consistent with the actual scoring chances created by either side. However, despite La Louvière’s numerical advantage and possession dominance, the overall efficiency shift remained in line with the match's flow, as the hosts ultimately failed to break down the ten-man Antwerp squad.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Antwerp showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
-
Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Vergoote
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Geerolf
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Tiesters
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
R. Calluy
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
2.5
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0.33
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
F. Taquin
VS
J. Oosting
1.05
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.14
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Standard Liège
Rank:
D
Mechelen
Rank:
L
Anderlecht
Rank:
D
Union Saint-Gilloise
Rank:
L
Gent
Rank:
D
Sint-Truiden
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sint-Truiden
Rank:
W
Union Saint-Gilloise
Rank:
L
Westerlo
Rank:
L
Mechelen
Rank:
L
Cercle Brugge
Rank:
W
Sporting Charleroi
Rank:
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
La Louvière
45.41%
Draw
29.44%
Antwerp
25.16%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
32.78
40.48
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
La Louvière
Antwerp
Power Score
32.78
40.48
League Position
15
10
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
La Louvière
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Antwerp
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
La Louvière Antwerp
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
La Louvière
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Antwerp
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
La Louvière
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Antwerp
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.75
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
La Louvière
+2.04
Efficiency Index
vs
Antwerp
-2.04
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
La Louvière
Antwerp
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
La Louvière
vs
Antwerp
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
La Louvière
Antwerp
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00
vs
+0.00
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
La Louvière
Antwerp
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
La Louvière
Antwerp
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
La Louvière
RAAL
Home
1
matches
Antwerp
ANT
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-07T11:29:59+00:00
TEAM FORMATION
No team formation data available.
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 06, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stadium
Stade du Tivoli
Capacity
13500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jasper Vergoote
Michael Geerolf
Martijn Tiesters
Ruben Calluy
Statistics
Possession
RAAL
58%
ANT
42%
Top Statistics
8
Big Chances Created
0
19
Shots
1
58
Dangerous attacks
34
60
Possession
40
7
Corners
3
21
Free kicks
9
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
26
Dribble Attempts
19
31
Successful Dribbles Percentage
42
2
Goal Kicks
12
27
Throwins
10
21
Successful Headers
20
8
Successful Dribbles
8
4
Substitutions
5
1
Injuries
1
14
Goal Attempts
5
91
Ball Safe
76
Attacking
119
Attacks
100
8
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
12
Key Passes
4
441
Passes
309
82
Successful Passes Percentage
75
363
Successful Passes
233
52
Successful Long Passes Percentage
51
61
Long Passes
63
32
Successful Long Passes
32
Defensive
26
Tackles
28
5
Saves
9
7
Interceptions
12
Build-up
29
Total Crosses
8
10
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
9
Fouls
21
2
Offsides
0
Events
2ND-HALF
88'
Xander Dierckx
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
81'
Xander Dierckx
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
9th Substitution
77'
Nachon Nsingi → Jerry Afriyie
8th Substitution
77'
77'
Xander Dierckx → Dennis Praet
6th Substitution
77'
Isaac Babadi → Christopher Scott
5th Substitution
77'
7th Substitution
65'
Christopher Scott
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
64'
Luca Schelfhout → Semm Renders
4th Substitution
Joël Ito → Majeed Ashimeru
3rd Substitution
63'
Nolan Gillot → Darío Benavides
2nd Substitution
63'
61'
Var
Maxence Maisonneuve
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
59'
54'
Gerard Vandeplas → Youssef Hamdaoui
1st Substitution
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Antwerp exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.