Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskva Prediction, Preview and Stats

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
Versus
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
KICKOFF : Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM
Round 25 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Krylya Sovetov welcome CSKA Moskva to Samara Arena for a Premier League Regular Season match in the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side currently occupy 13th position in the league table and have collected results of one win, two draws and three losses across their previous six fixtures. Following a draw in their last home appearance versus Akhmat Grozny, they look to gain ground. Meanwhile visitors CSKA Moskva sit in fifth spot with a stronger power score of 21.58 compared to the hosts' 15.55, creating a six point advantage. Their form shows two wins and four losses from six matches after a recent home reverse against Sochi. This contest highlights a matchup between a team seeking consistency and one aiming to maintain their challenge for higher honors. Expectations lean toward the away team given their superior metrics and standing. However the home crowd at Samara Arena could provide the necessary boost for Krylya Sovetov to deliver a competitive performance against their opponents.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Home team in 13th place faces 5th positioned visitors at Samara Arena during the regular season phase.
  • Form: Krylya Sovetov show one win two draws three losses while CSKA record two wins four losses in recent matches.
  • Squad: Superior power score gives CSKA Moskva the edge in squad strength for the upcoming away assignment.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics prove unavailable at present forcing reliance on other performance indicators.
  • Transition: Effective play in transition phases represents a key area where the stronger side may exploit weaknesses.
  • Set pieces: Low confidence data on set pieces suggests both teams operate with similar proxy metrics in this area.
  • xVariable: Power advantage of six points highlights the xVariable favoring the away team in overall quality.
  • Market: Baseline split: Krylya Sovetov 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | CSKA Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
VS
CSKA Moskva F. Celestini
F. Celestini
0.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Zenit Rank: L
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sochi Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 8 - 25
25
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away CSKA Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.55
21.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moskva
Power Score
15.55
21.58
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
37 matches
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away
Match Record
4
Wins
25
8
Draws
8
25
Losses
4
Goals
28
Goals Scored
72
72
Goals Conceded
28
-44
Goal Difference
+44
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:06:02+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
S. Pesyakov
30 S. Pesyakov
F. Peixoto Costanza
22 F. Peixoto Costanza
N. Chernov
23 N. Chernov
S. Bozhin
47 S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin
2 K. Pechenin
N. Rasskazov
15 N. Rasskazov
M. Vityugov
8 M. Vityugov
S. Babkin
6 S. Babkin
J. Marín
26 J. Marín
I. Oleynikov
19 I. Oleynikov
A. Rahmanović
11 A. Rahmanović
V. Torop
49 V. Torop
D. Krugovoi
3 D. Krugovoi
K. Danilov
79 K. Danilov
J. Da Silva Marcelino
4 J. Da Silva Marcelino
M. Gajić
22 M. Gajić
D. Barinov
6 D. Barinov
M. Kislyak
31 M. Kislyak
K. Glebov
17 K. Glebov
I. Oblyakov
10 I. Oblyakov
D. Kozlov
18 D. Kozlov
L. Gondou
9 L. Gondou

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
S. Pesyakov
S. Pesyakov Goalkeeper
6.88
26
Jimmy Marín
Jimmy Marín Midfielder
6.59
15
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov Midfielder
6.48
11
A. Rahmanović
A. Rahmanović Centre Forward
6.7
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Left Back
6.72
6
S. Babkin
S. Babkin Central Midfield
6.67
8
M. Vityugov
M. Vityugov Central Midfield
6.55
22
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza Right Back
6.85
23
Nikita Chernov
Nikita Chernov Right Back
6.75
47
Sergey Bozhin
Sergey Bozhin Left Back
6.88
19
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov Attacking Midfield
6.74

Starting XI ▼

49
Vladislav Torop
Vladislav Torop Goalkeeper
6.97
9
Luciano Gondou
Luciano Gondou Centre Forward
6.62
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Defensive Midfield
7.14
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Attacking Midfield
7.44
17
Kirill Glebov
Kirill Glebov Left Wing
6.99
22
Milan Gajić
Milan Gajić Right Back
6.75
31
Matvey Kislyak
Matvey Kislyak Defensive Midfield
7.24
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Left Back
6.57
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Left Back
6.99
4
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
6.89
18
Danila Kozlov
Danila Kozlov Right Wing
6.65

CONCLUSION

CSKA Moskva enter this fixture as favorites due to their elevated league position and better power score. The visitors will seek to bounce back from their latest defeat by controlling possession and creating chances against the 13th placed hosts. Krylya Sovetov on the other hand must focus on defensive organization and look for counter attacking chances in front of their supportive fans. With form being relatively poor for both sides, the match could be decided by individual moments of quality or lapses in concentration. Attention will also turn to how each team handles transitions between phases of play. Ultimately the away side holds the structural advantage but must remain vigilant to secure all three points on the road in this Premier League clash.

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