Kolos Kovalivka vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Uman'fermmash Sat, 4 Apr - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
0 – 0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 10:00 AM
Round 22 Regular Season
|
Second yellow card Ivan Kalyuzhnyi 85'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kolos Kovalivka 0–0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. The match ended in a draw. Kolos Kovalivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 45%–55%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kolos Kovalivka showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Osaulenko
D. Osaulenko
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
K. Zabroda
K. Zabroda
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
V. Kutsev
V. Kutsev
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 14.73
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.16
Kolos Kovalivka R. Kostyshyn
R. Kostyshyn
VS
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv M. Bartulović
M. Bartulović
1.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.54
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Veres Rank: 47 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 51 D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 L
Karpaty Rank: 52 W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Poltava Rank: 33 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 73 L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 45 W
Oleksandria Rank: 46 W
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 D
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 42 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kolos Kovalivka
25.28%
Draw
30.94%
Away Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
43.78%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.75
47.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kolos Kovalivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Power Score
51.75
47.32
League Position
7
5
Global Rank
695
750

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kolos Kovalivka Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kolos Kovalivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.00
17.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.55
17.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kolos Kovalivka -0.05 Efficiency Index
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv +0.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kolos Kovalivka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kolos Kovalivka Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kolos Kovalivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kolos Kovalivka
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kolos Kovalivka Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kolos Kovalivka 0.18
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kolos Kovalivka Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kolos Kovalivka 0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.00
Kolos Kovalivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Home
7 matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
3
Goals
6
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
6
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:01:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
38
38
A. Ponedelnik
Ukraine
77 A. Ponedelnik
E. Kozik
Substitution
Ukraine
3 E. Kozik
M. Burda
Ukraine
6 M. Burda
A. Tsurikov
Ukraine
9 (C) A. Tsurikov
E. Trevizan Telles
Brazil
55 E. Trevizan Telles
I. Kane
Mali
14 I. Kane
N. Gagnidze
Georgia
20 N. Gagnidze
O. Demchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
7 O. Demchenko
A. Salabay
Substitution
Ukraine
17 A. Salabay
Y. Klymchuk
Substitution
Ukraine
70 Y. Klymchuk
D. Varakuta
Ukraine
30 D. Varakuta
I. Krupskyi
Ukraine
27 I. Krupskyi
A. Shabanov
Ukraine
31 A. Shabanov
Y. Pavliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Pavliuk
V. Salyuk
Ukraine
13 V. Salyuk
I. Kaliuzhnyi
Ukraine
5 (C) I. Kaliuzhnyi
E. Rashica
Substitution
Albania
19 E. Rashica
I. Lytvynenko
Ukraine
25 I. Lytvynenko
C. Baptistella
Substitution
77 C. Baptistella
D. Antyukh
Substitution
Ukraine
15 D. Antyukh
P. Itodo
Substitution
Nigeria
98 P. Itodo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 04, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 22 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Uman'fermmash
Capacity
5050
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Dmytro Osaulenko
Klym Zabroda
Valentin Kutsev

Statistics

Possession
Kolos Kovalivka
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
55%

Top Statistics

6 Shots 7
33 Dangerous attacks 53
45 Possession 55
4 Corners 5
12 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 6
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

86 Attacks 99

Defensive

7 Saves 3

Discipline

12 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Klym Zabroda

Starting XI ▼

38
Tymur Puzankov Goalkeeper
3
Eduard Kozik
Eduard Kozik Defender
6.5
5
Valeriy Bondarenko
Valeriy Bondarenko
Defender88'
6
Mykyta Burda
Mykyta Burda Defender
6.5
9
Andriy Tsurikov
Andriy Tsurikov (C) Defender
6.49
77
Andriy Ponedelnik
Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
6.5
7
Oleksandr Demchenko
Oleksandr Demchenko Midfielder
6.5
10
Luka Stankovski
Luka Stankovski
Midfielder79'
6.5
14
Ibrahim Kane
Ibrahim Kane Midfielder
6.5
17
Anton Salabay
Anton Salabay Midfielder
6.45
15
Artem Gusol
Artem Gusol
Midfielder79'
6.5
20
Nika Gagnidze
Nika Gagnidze Midfielder
6.5
55
Elias
Elias Midfielder
6.5
70
Yuriy Klymchuk
Yuriy Klymchuk Attacker
6.5
11
Ardit Tahiri
Ardit Tahiri
Attacker82'
6.5
Referee : Klym Zabroda

Starting XI ▼

30
Danylo Varakuta
Danylo Varakuta Goalkeeper
6.5
13
Volodymyr Salyuk
Volodymyr Salyuk Defender
6.5
18
Yevgen Pavlyuk
Yevgen Pavlyuk Defender
6.49
27
Ilya Krupskyi
Ilya Krupskyi Defender
6.5
31
Artem Shabanov
Artem Shabanov Defender
6.5
5
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi (C) Midfielder
6.18
15
Denys Antyukh
Denys Antyukh Midfielder
6.5
45
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
Midfielder63'
6.45
19
Ermir Rashica
Ermir Rashica Midfielder
6.5
26
Baton Zabergja
Baton Zabergja
Midfielder68'
6.5
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko Midfielder
6.5
77
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
Cauan Matteo Baptistella Midfielder
6.5
7
Ari Moura
Ari Moura
Midfielder63'
6.5
98
Peter Mandela Itodo
Peter Mandela Itodo Attacker
6.5
24
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Defender89'

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Oleksandr Martynyuk → Peter Mandela Itodo
8th Substitution
Event
Valeriy Bondarenko → Eduard Kozik
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Andriy Tsurikov
5th Yellowcard
86'
86'
Event
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Ruslan Kostyshyn
7th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
Second Yellow Card / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Ardit Tahiri → Yuriy Klymchuk
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Artem Gusol → Anton Salabay
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Luka Stankovski → Oleksandr Demchenko
5th Substitution
79'
68'
Event
Baton Zabergja → Ermir Rashica
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Ari Moura → Cauan Matteo Baptistella
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev → Denys Antyukh
2nd Substitution
Event
Anton Salabay
3rd Yellowcard
59'
Event
Mladen Bartulovic
6th Yellowcard
59'
51'
Event
Yevgen Pavlyuk
2nd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Kolos Kovalivka exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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