Kilmarnock vs Dundee Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Rugby Park Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Premiership
Kilmarnock KIL
Versus
Dundee DUD
KICKOFF : Tue, 12 May - 6:45 PM
Round 37 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Kilmarnock faces Dundee at Rugby Park in the Premiership's 2nd Phase during the 2025/2026 season, pitting the 11th-placed hosts against the 9th-placed visitors. Dundee arrives with a narrow power score edge of 58.96 to Kilmarnock's 58.08, translating to a 0.9-point advantage that labels them the stronger side overall. Recent form tilts toward Kilmarnock, whose 12.89 score surpasses Dundee's 7.5, suggesting momentum at home. League positions reflect a mid-table scrap, with both clubs chasing upward mobility. Detailed set-piece statistics remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG data, forcing focus on general metrics. No recent match logs heighten intrigue, as Kilmarnock leverages Rugby Park familiarity while Dundee's superior power hints at resilience. This matchup promises balance, with home support potentially tipping scales in a closely contested affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee possesses a slight power advantage of 0.9 points over Kilmarnock with scores of 58.96 versus 58.08.
  • Form: Kilmarnock holds a stronger form score at 12.89 compared to Dundee's 7.5.
  • Squad: Kilmarnock occupies 11th in the league standings while Dundee sits in 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain unassessed due to lack of specific performance logs.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece statistics for Kilmarnock and Dundee rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are absent, limiting advanced analytical insights.
  • Market: Projection split: Kilmarnock 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Dundee 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kilmarnock N. McCann
N. McCann
VS
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
0.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Mirren Rank: 57 D
Dundee United Rank: 64 W
Aberdeen Rank: 58 L
Dundee Rank: 59 D
Hibernian Rank: 68 L
Livingston Rank: 55 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Livingston Rank: 55 D
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 D
Celtic Rank: 79 L
Hearts Rank: 75 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 17 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kilmarnock
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dundee
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.08
58.96
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Power Score
58.08
58.96
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
558
526

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kilmarnock — Opponent-weighted form score
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kilmarnock Dundee

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kilmarnock KIL Home
32 matches
Dundee DUD Away
Match Record
8
Wins
7
17
Draws
17
7
Losses
8
Goals
43
Goals Scored
44
44
Goals Conceded
43
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:51+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 37 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Rugby Park
Capacity :
18128
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

13
Kelle Roos
Kelle Roos Goalkeeper
1
Maksymilian Stryjek
Maksymilian Stryjek Goalkeeper
32
Kieran Wright
Kieran Wright Goalkeeper
6
Robbie Deas
Robbie Deas Defender
2
Jamie Brandon
Jamie Brandon Defender
14
George Stanger
George Stanger Defender
3
Dominic Thompson
Dominic Thompson Defender
21
Michael Schjonning-Larsen
Michael Schjonning-Larsen Defender
5
Lewis Mayo
Lewis Mayo Defender
4
Zac Williams
Zac Williams Defender
25
Ethan Brown
Ethan Brown Defender
36
Aaron Tshibola
Aaron Tshibola Midfielder
18
Tom Lowery
Tom Lowery Midfielder
8
Bradley Lyons
Bradley Lyons Midfielder
31
Liam Polworth
Liam Polworth Midfielder
16
Kyle Magennis
Kyle Magennis Midfielder
22
Jack Thomson
Jack Thomson Midfielder
12
David Watson
David Watson Midfielder
23
Marley Watkins
Marley Watkins Attacker
10
Matthew Kennedy
Matthew Kennedy Attacker
7
Rory McKenzie
Rory McKenzie Attacker
11
Greg Kiltie
Greg Kiltie Attacker
19
Bruce Anderson
Bruce Anderson Attacker
17
Scott Tiffoney
Scott Tiffoney Attacker
24
Tyreece John-Jules
Tyreece John-Jules Attacker
29
Djenario Daniels
Djenario Daniels Attacker
20
Nicky Serghei Clescenco
Nicky Serghei Clescenco Attacker
44
Joe Hugill
Joe Hugill Attacker
52
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis Attacker

Squad ▼

13
Kieran O'Hara
Kieran O'Hara Goalkeeper
1
Jon McCracken
Jon McCracken Goalkeeper
3
Clark Robertson
Clark Robertson Defender
16
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday Defender
4
Ryan Astley
Ryan Astley Defender
14
Lewis Montsma
Lewis Montsma Defender
12
Imari Narain Samuels
Imari Narain Samuels Defender
5
Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio Defender
6
Aaron Donnelly
Aaron Donnelly Defender
22
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Defender
8
Paul Digby
Paul Digby Midfielder
7
Drey Jermaine Wright
Drey Jermaine Wright Midfielder
21
Yan Dhanda
Yan Dhanda Midfielder
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Midfielder
18
Charlie Reilly
Charlie Reilly Midfielder
10
Finlay Robertson
Finlay Robertson Midfielder
24
Joel Cotterill
Joel Cotterill Midfielder
28
Callum Graham Jones
Callum Graham Jones Midfielder
25
Scott Wright
Scott Wright Attacker
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Attacker
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Attacker
19
Joe Westley
Joe Westley Attacker
17
Tony Yogane
Tony Yogane Attacker
27
Joe Bevan
Joe Bevan Attacker
11
Ashley Hay
Ashley Hay Attacker
38
Francisco Aldahir Valenzuela López
Francisco Aldahir Valenzuela López Attacker

CONCLUSION

Anticipation builds for this Premiership clash at Rugby Park, where Kilmarnock's superior form clashes with Dundee's power edge. Home advantage could energize the 11th-placed side, yet Dundee's 9th position and 0.9-point superiority signal competitiveness. Absent detailed set-piece and efficiency data underscores reliance on core ratings, promising a tactical battle. Kilmarnock must capitalize on momentum, while Dundee aims to impose strength. Expect a gritty encounter defined by execution rather than dominance.

Kilmarnock vs Dundee preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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