Katowice vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion ul. Bukowa
Tomorrow - 4:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Katowice
Katowice
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
KICKOFF :
Tomorrow - 4:00 PM
Round 29 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
In the 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa Regular Season, seventh-placed Katowice host eighth-placed Motor Lublin at Stadion ul. Bukowa. The hosts carry a slight power score edge at 31.04 against 30.19, equating to a 0.8 point advantage. Katowice come in with a W3 D1 L2 record from six matches while Motor Lublin remain unbeaten at W3 D3 L0. Both sides drew their last outings, Katowice away against Lech Poznań and Motor Lublin at home to Raków Częstochowa. Separated by a single league position, this mid-table meeting looks set to be competitive with home advantage potentially tipping the balance in a fixture where fine margins will apply.
TL;DR
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Structural: 7th vs 8th in table with Katowice holding narrow power advantage at home.
-
Form: Hosts W3 D1 L2, visitors unbeaten W3 D3 L0 from last six matches.
-
Squad: No major absences reported for either side in this balanced matchup.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics currently unavailable for detailed side-by-side review.
-
Transition: Quick transitions expected to prove influential in open play.
-
Set pieces: Limited data with low-confidence proxies; neither side stands out.
-
xVariable: xG statistics not available, reducing depth of predictive insight.
-
Market: Projection split: Katowice 46.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Motor Lublin 27.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
R. Górak
VS
M. Stolarski
1.88
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.56
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań
Rank:
D
Wisła Płock
Rank:
W
Cracovia Kraków
Rank:
L
Jagiellonia Białystok
Rank:
L
Lechia Gdańsk
Rank:
W
Radomiak Radom
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Raków Częstochowa
Rank:
D
Radomiak Radom
Rank:
D
Zagłębie Lubin
Rank:
W
Nieciecza
Rank:
W
Górnik Zabrze
Rank:
D
Korona Kielce
Rank:
W
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Katowice
46.78%
Draw
25.85%
Motor Lublin
27.38%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.04
30.19
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Katowice
Motor Lublin
Power Score
31.04
30.19
League Position
7
8
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Katowice
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Motor Lublin
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Katowice Motor Lublin
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Katowice
Katowice
Home
3
matches
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
7
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:02:50+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
12 R. Straczek
30 A. Czerwiński
2 A. Jędrych
14 M. Berntsen Olsen
23 M. Wasielewski
22 S. Milewski
26 D. Rasak
8 B. Galán González
15 E. Marković
27 B. Nowak
80 I. Shkurin
1 I. Brkić
24 F. Luberecki
42 B. Ede
3 H. Matthys
28 P. Stolarski
21 J. Łabojko
11 F. Costa Conceição
68 B. Wolski
7 I. dos Santos Rodrigues
30 M. Ndiaye
9 K. Czubak
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion ul. Bukowa
Capacity
7455
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Katowice
vs
Korona Kielce
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 12:45 PM
Venue: Exbud Arena
Motor Lublin
vs
Widzew Lodz
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:45 PM
Venue: Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
R. Górak
Coach
Starting XI ▼
12
Rafal Straczek
Goalkeeper
6.97 8
Borja Galán
Midfielder
6.85 23
Marcin Wasielewski
Midfielder
6.93 27
Bartosz Nowak
Midfielder
7.43 15
Eman Markovic
Midfielder
6.72 80
Ilya Shkurin
Centre Forward
6.53 30
Alan Czerwinski
Right Back
6.6 22
Sebastian Milewski
Central Midfield
6.8 26
Damian Rasak
Central Midfield
6.68 2
Arkadiusz Jedrych
Centre Back
7.02 14
M. Olsen
Left Back
6.25 Substitutes ▼
4
Märten Kuusk
6.79 70
Mateusz Wdowiak
6.62 97
Erik Jirka
6.99 99
Adam Zrelak
6.83 1
Dawid Kudla
6.59 6
Lukas Klemenz
7.06 19
Kacper Lukasiak
6.64 21
Jakub Kokosiński
6.55 10
Marcel Wedrychowski
6.76 11
Adrian Blad
6.62 16
Grzegorz Rogala
6.28 Manager ▼
M. Stolarski
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Ivan Brkic
Goalkeeper
7.04 11
Fábio Ronaldo
Midfielder
6.77 30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Midfielder
6.91 9
Karol Czubak
Centre Forward
7.16 3
Hervé Matthys
Right Back
6.7 7
Ivo Rodrigues
Central Midfield
6.91 21
Jakub Labojko
Defensive Midfield
6.64 24
Filip Luberecki
Left Back
6.67 68
Bartosz Wolski
Central Midfield
7.1 28
Pawel Stolarski
Right Back
6.55 42
Bright Ede
Left Back
6.46 Substitutes ▼
2
Paskal Meyer
6.62 6
Sergi Samper
6.75 8
Mathieu Scalet
6.68 16
Franciszek Lewandowski
6.49 17
Filip Wojcik
6.54 18
Arkadiusz Najemski
6.74 10
Kacper Karasek
6.44 19
Bradly van Hoeven
6.59 23
Florian Haxha
6.32 33
Gasper Tratnik
6.37 39
Marek Bartos
6.68 26
Michal Krol
6.64 77
Renat Dadashov
6.54 CONCLUSION
Katowice start with a narrow edge thanks to home advantage and power scores yet Motor Lublin's unbeaten form makes them tough to break down. The contest is likely to stay tight with both teams showing similar levels across recent outings. Limited efficiency and set-piece data means coaches will lean on tactical organisation and individual quality in transitions. A single goal or defensive lapse could settle it as Katowice chase a home win to consolidate mid-table position while their visitors aim to extend their solid run and push higher up the standings.