İstanbul Başakşehir vs Göztepe Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu Sun, 8 Mar - 12:02 AM
Super Lig
İstanbul Başakşehir IBA
2 Winner 1
Göztepe GOZ
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 12:02 AM
Ömer Ali Şahiner - 13'
Ivan Brnic - 69'
Goal
|
Goal
Alexis Antunes - 39'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. İstanbul Başakşehir 2–1 Göztepe. The result saw İstanbul Başakşehir take the points. İstanbul Başakşehir showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 55%–45%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: İstanbul Başakşehir showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Y. Kol
Y. Kol
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Aldemir
M. Aldemir
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Mazlum
M. Mazlum
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Özkara
A. Özkara
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 2.67
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.87
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
İstanbul Başakşehir N. Şahin
N. Şahin
VS
Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
1.68
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.7
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Konyaspor Rank: W
Alanyaspor Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: W
Rizespor Rank: D
Kayserispor Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: D
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Kayserispor Rank: D
Konyaspor Rank: D
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: W
Fenerbahçe Rank: D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 1 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home İstanbul Başakşehir
50.15%
Draw
27.79%
Away Göztepe
22.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56
56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
İstanbul Başakşehir
Göztepe
Power Score
56
56
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir — Opponent-weighted form score
Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) İstanbul Başakşehir Göztepe

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

İstanbul Başakşehir

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

İstanbul Başakşehir ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Göztepe
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.73
56.22
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
56.22
16.73
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
İstanbul Başakşehir -4.17 Efficiency Index
vs
Göztepe +4.17 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Göztepe
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

İstanbul Başakşehir ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Göztepe
Created Set-piece attacking threat
İstanbul Başakşehir Göztepe
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
İstanbul Başakşehir Göztepe
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Göztepe
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

İstanbul Başakşehir IBA Home
7 matches
Göztepe GOZ Away
Match Record
1
Wins
5
1
Draws
1
5
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
8
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:02:58+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 12:02 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Capacity
17156
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Yasin Kol
M. Aldemir
Mehmet Salih Mazlum
Abdullah Bora Özkara

Statistics

Possession
IBA
50%
GOZ
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 6
7 Shots 23
44 Dangerous attacks 46
55 Possession 45
3 Corners 5
14 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

14 Goal Kicks 5
20 Throwins 22
16 Successful Headers 21
7 Dribble Attempts 16
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
3 Successful Dribbles 9
2 Assists 1
91 Ball Safe 79
5 Goal Attempts 14
5 Substitutions 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Injuries 3

Attacking

85 Attacks 101
0 Big Chances Missed 6

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 71
369 Passes 290
60 Long Passes 61
275 Successful Passes 205
32 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
19 Successful Long Passes 25
6 Key Passes 16

Defensive

7 Interceptions 11
15 Tackles 15
7 Saves 2

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 25
1 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

3 Offsides 3
7 Fouls 12

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Kazımcan Karataş
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
90+4'
90+3'
Event
Taha Altıkardeş → Malcom Bokele
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Guilherme Luiz → Juan
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Uğur Kaan Yıldız → Amin Cherni
9th Substitution
76'
Event
Anthony Dennis
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Hamza Güreler → Yusuf Sarı
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Ivan Brnic
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
69'
67'
Event
Janderson → Jeh
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Filip Krastev → Alexis Antunes
5th Substitution
Event
Miguel Crespo → Berat Özdemir
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Onur Ergün → Davie Selke
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Ivan Brnic → Abbosbek Fayzullaev
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Malcom Bokele
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
Event
Alexis Antunes
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Kazımcan Karataş → Christopher Operi
1st Substitution
35'
Event
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: İstanbul Başakşehir exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Related Football Previews