İstanbul Başakşehir vs Antalyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu Wed, 18 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
İstanbul Başakşehir IBA
0 – 0
Antalyaspor ANT
Full Time Wed, 18 Mar 5:00 PM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. İstanbul Başakşehir 0–0 Antalyaspor. The match ended in a draw. İstanbul Başakşehir showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 67%–33%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: İstanbul Başakşehir showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: İstanbul Başakşehir 63% (Δ+0.7%) | Draw 22.4% (Δ-0.2%) | Antalyaspor 14.7% (Δ-0.4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
İstanbul Başakşehir N. Şahin
N. Şahin
VS
Antalyaspor S. Uğurlu
S. Uğurlu
1.68
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.71
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Galatasaray Rank: 89 L
Göztepe Rank: 73 W
Konyaspor Rank: 67 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 69 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 65 L
Rizespor Rank: 67 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 D
Kayserispor Rank: 63 L
Samsunspor Rank: 70 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 62 L
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 5 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home İstanbul Başakşehir
62.99%
Draw
22.36%
Away Antalyaspor
14.65%

Movement

Changes since opening
İstanbul Başakşehir
+0.66%
Draw
-0.24%
Antalyaspor
-0.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.89
59.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
İstanbul Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
Power Score
73.89
59.08
League Position
5
14
Global Rank
108
484

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir — Opponent-weighted form score
Antalyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) İstanbul Başakşehir Antalyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

İstanbul Başakşehir

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Antalyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

İstanbul Başakşehir ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antalyaspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.93
25.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.15
29.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
İstanbul Başakşehir +0.50 Efficiency Index
vs
Antalyaspor -0.50 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

İstanbul Başakşehir ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antalyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
İstanbul Başakşehir Antalyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
İstanbul Başakşehir Antalyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

İstanbul Başakşehir IBA Home
31 matches
Antalyaspor ANT Away
Match Record
18
Wins
8
5
Draws
5
8
Losses
18
Goals
53
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
53
+31
Goal Difference
-31
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-19T00:01:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
M. Şengezer
Turkey
16 M. Şengezer
Ö. Şahiner
Substitution
Turkey
42 Ö. Şahiner
L. Duarte da Silva
Brazil
5 L. Duarte da Silva
J. Opoku
Ghana
3 J. Opoku
K. Karataş
Turkey
88 K. Karataş
O. Kemen
Cameroon
8 O. Kemen
U. Güneş
Substitution
Turkey
20 U. Güneş
Y. Sari
Substitution
Turkey
7 Y. Sari
E. Shomurodov
Substitution
Uzbekistan
14 E. Shomurodov
A. Harit
Morocco
25 A. Harit
D. Selke
Substitution
Germany
9 D. Selke
J. Cuesta Díaz
Spain
1 J. Cuesta Díaz
K. Paal
Suriname
3 K. Paal
G. Dzhikiya
Russia
14 G. Dzhikiya
B. Öztürk
Turkey
5 B. Öztürk
V. Sarı
Turkey
89 V. Sarı
E. Yeşilyurt
Substitution
Germany
17 E. Yeşilyurt
S. Dikmen
Substitution
Turkey
6 S. Dikmen
R. Safouri
Israel
8 R. Safouri
J. Ceesay
Gambia
23 J. Ceesay
S. Ballet
Substitution
Switzerland
11 S. Ballet
S. van de Streek
Substitution
Netherlands
22 S. van de Streek

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 18, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Capacity
17156
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Reşat Onur Coşkunses

Statistics

Possession
IBA
63%
ANT
37%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 2
14 Shots 5
61 Dangerous attacks 26
67 Possession 33
2 Corners 3
18 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

0 Injuries 2
12 Goal Attempts 6
72 Ball Safe 85
23 Throwins 19
15 Dribble Attempts 10
13 Successful Headers 17
7 Goal Kicks 18
9 Successful Dribbles 4
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

126 Attacks 65
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 66
490 Passes 244
416 Successful Passes 160
78 Long Passes 77
16 Key Passes 7
68 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
53 Successful Long Passes 29

Defensive

12 Tackles 16
4 Saves 6
9 Interceptions 12

Build-up

33 Total Crosses 10
9 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
12 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Reşat Onur Coşkunses

Starting XI ▼

16
Muhammed Şengezer
Muhammed Şengezer Goalkeeper
3
Jerome Opoku
Jerome Opoku Defender
5
Léo Duarte
Léo Duarte Defender
42
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Ömer Ali Şahiner Defender
77
Ivan Brnic
Ivan Brnic
Attacker59'
88
Kazımcan Karataş
Kazımcan Karataş Defender
7
Yusuf Sarı
Yusuf Sarı Midfielder
6
Onur Bulut
Onur Bulut
Defender60'
8
Olivier Kemen
Olivier Kemen Midfielder
14
Eldor Shomurodov
Eldor Shomurodov Midfielder
10
Nuno Da Costa
Nuno Da Costa
Attacker79'
20
Umut Güneş
Umut Güneş Midfielder
13
Miguel Crespo
Miguel Crespo
Midfielder60'
25
Amine Harit
Amine Harit Midfielder
9
Davie Selke
Davie Selke Attacker
91
Bertuğ Yıldırım
Bertuğ Yıldırım
Attacker46'
Referee : Reşat Onur Coşkunses

Starting XI ▼

1
Julián Cuesta
Julián Cuesta Goalkeeper
3
Kenneth Paal
Kenneth Paal Defender
5
Bahadır Öztürk
Bahadır Öztürk Defender
14
Georgiy Dzhikiya
Georgiy Dzhikiya Defender
17
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt Defender
7
Bünyamin Balcı
Bünyamin Balcı
Defender74'
89
Veysel Sarı
Veysel Sarı Defender
6
Soner Dikmen
Soner Dikmen Midfielder
26
Nikola Storm
Nikola Storm
Attacker90+3'
8
Ramzi Safuri
Ramzi Safuri Midfielder
23
Jesper Ceesay
Jesper Ceesay Midfielder
11
Samuel Ballet
Samuel Ballet Attacker
2
Samet Karakoç
Samet Karakoç
Defender90+3'
22
Sander van de Streek
Sander van de Streek Attacker
88
Dario Saric
Dario Saric
Midfielder45+1'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Nikola Storm → Soner Dikmen
9th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Samet Karakoç → Samuel Ballet
8th Substitution
Event
Jerome Opoku
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Soner Dikmen
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Nuno Da Costa → Eldor Shomurodov
7th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Julián Cuesta
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Jesper Ceesay
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Bünyamin Balcı → Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
6th Substitution
Event
Onur Bulut → Yusuf Sarı
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Miguel Crespo → Umut Güneş
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Ivan Brnic → Ömer Ali Şahiner
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Umut Güneş
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
57'
47'
Event
Erdoğan Yeşilyurt
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Bertuğ Yıldırım → Davie Selke
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Dario Saric → Sander van de Streek
1st Substitution
Event
Davie Selke
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
38'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: İstanbul Başakşehir exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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