Ipswich Town vs Leicester City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Portman Road Stadium Sat, 7 Mar - 3:00 PM
Championship
Ipswich Town IPS
1 – 1
Leicester City LEI
Full Time Sat, 7 Mar 3:00 PM
Sindre Walle Egeli - 76'
Goal
|
Goal
Patson Daka - 39'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Ipswich Town 1–0 Leicester City. The result saw Ipswich Town take the points. Ipswich Town showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 64%–36%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Ipswich Town showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Cooper
I. Cooper
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 5.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Ward
G. Ward
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 5.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Busby
J. Busby
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 5.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Dwyer
M. Dwyer
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 5.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.09
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.09
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Ipswich Town K. McKenna
K. McKenna
VS
Leicester City G. Rowett
G. Rowett
1.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.21
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bristol City Rank: W
Blackburn Rovers Rank: W
Oxford United Rank: W
Coventry City Rank: W
Millwall Rank: D
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wrexham Rank: D
Coventry City Rank: L
West Bromwich Albion Rank: W
Sheffield United Rank: L
Derby County Rank: W
Watford Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 8 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ipswich Town
61.15%
Draw
22.21%
Away Leicester City
16.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.38
37.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ipswich Town
Leicester City
Power Score
57.38
37.41
League Position
4
22
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ipswich Town — Opponent-weighted form score
Leicester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ipswich Town Leicester City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Ipswich Town

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Leicester City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Ipswich Town ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Leicester City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.14
22.36
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.36
34.14
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Ipswich Town +1.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Leicester City -1.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Ipswich Town
Leicester City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Ipswich Town ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Leicester City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Ipswich Town Leicester City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Ipswich Town Leicester City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Ipswich Town
Leicester City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ipswich Town IPS Home
3 matches
Leicester City LEI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
3
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-08T00:07:47+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 07, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England
Stadium
Portman Road Stadium
Capacity
29673
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ian Cooper
Gavin Ward
John Busby
Mark Dwyer

Statistics

Possession
IPS
63%
LEI
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 0
18 Shots 7
77 Dangerous attacks 21
64 Possession 36
10 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

28 Throwins 11
5 Goal Kicks 12
19 Dribble Attempts 15
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
27 Successful Headers 11
4 Goal Attempts 4
54 Ball Safe 47
1 Hit Woodwork 0
10 Successful Dribbles 8
0 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

127 Attacks 74
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 67
33 Successful Long Passes 17
518 Passes 297
437 Successful Passes 199
54 Long Passes 72
61 Successful Long Passes Percentage 24
15 Key Passes 3

Defensive

2 Saves 3
6 Interceptions 17
13 Tackles 20

Build-up

36 Total Crosses 10
10 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

14 Fouls 16
4 Offsides 2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Cédric Kipré
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+5'
90+5'
Event
Jordan James
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Joe Aribo → Issahaku Fatawu
10th Substitution
Event
Chuba Akpom → Anis Mehmeti
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Jack Taylor → Marcelino Núñez
9th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Jordan Ayew → Patson Daka
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Hamza Choudhury → Ricardo Pereira
6th Substitution
Event
Sindre Walle Egeli
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
76'
71'
Event
Divine Mukasa → Bobby De Cordova-Reid
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Jordan James → Stephy Mavididi
4th Substitution
Event
Sindre Walle Egeli → Wes Burns
2nd Substitution
69'
Event
George Hirst → Iván Azón
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Jack Clarke → Dan Neil
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Marcelino Núñez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
58'
51'
Event
Bobby De Cordova-Reid
3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Patson Daka
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Wes Burns
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
34'
19'
Event
Luke Thomas
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Dara O'Shea from Ipswich Town attempts a header from a challenging angle on the left, but it's successfully stopped.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Joe Aribo comes on to replace Abdul Fatawu.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jordan James of Leicester City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Ipswich Town after Ben Nelson allowed the ball to go out of play.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Ipswich Town after Ben Nelson allowed the ball to go out.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Chuba Akpom from Ipswich Town takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it is blocked. The assist came from Leif Davis.
90
Update Update
Leicester City has been called for offside. Divine Mukasa is positioned beyond the last defender.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Dara O'Shea of Ipswich Town had a header from within the six-yard box on the left side, just inches away from the goal. The assist came from Leif Davis, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
90
Update Update
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score tied at 1-1 between Ipswich Town and Leicester City.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Cédric Kipré from Ipswich Town has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Jordan James from Leicester City committed a foul.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Jordan Ayew allowed the ball to go out.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after a foul by Jordan Ayew.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Luke Thomas allowed the ball to go out.
87
Update Update
Jack Taylor from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in an offensive position.
87
Update Update
Ben Nelson from Leicester City committed a foul.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Chuba Akpom comes on to replace Anis Mehmeti.
85
Update Update
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town earned a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
85
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Anis Mehmeti from Ipswich Town takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Jack Taylor comes on to replace Marcelino Núñez.
85
Update Update
Hamza Choudhury from Leicester City committed a foul.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Jordan Ayew comes on to replace Patson Daka.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Hamza Choudhury comes on to replace Ricardo Pereira.
82
Update Update
Marcelino Núñez from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
80
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City earned a free kick in the defensive area.
80
Update Update
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Update Update
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Update Update
Ricardo Pereira from Leicester City committed a foul.
79
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Anis Mehmeti from Ipswich Town attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide to the left.
76
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Anis Mehmeti from Ipswich Town tried to score with his right foot from the middle of the penalty area, but his shot was blocked. The assist came from Darnell Furlong, who provided a header.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now 1-1 between Ipswich Town and Leicester City. Sindre Egeli from Ipswich Town fires a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner.
74
Update Update
Ben Nelson from Leicester City committed a foul.
74
Update Update
Anis Mehmeti from Ipswich Town earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Ricardo Pereira allowed the ball to go out.
71
Update Update
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town earned a free kick on the left flank.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Divine Mukasa replaces Bobby De Cordova-Reid.
71
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu committed a foul against a player from Leicester City.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Jordan James replaces Stephy Mavididi.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Caleb Okoli allowed the ball to go out.
70
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Marcelino Núñez.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Sindre Egeli is coming on to replace Wes Burns.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: George Hirst replaces Iván Azón.
68
Update Update
Jack Clarke from Ipswich Town has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
68
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu committed a foul for Leicester City.
67
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luke Thomas from Leicester City fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Oliver Skipp.
66
Update Update
Marcelino Núñez from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
66
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
65
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Iván Azón from Ipswich Town took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Marcelino Núñez.
60
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Marcelino Núñez from Ipswich Town attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ipswich Town: Jack Clarke replaces Dan Neil.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcelino Núñez from Ipswich Town has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
57
Update Update
Stephy Mavididi from Leicester City has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
57
Update Update
Marcelino Núñez from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Luke Thomas allowed the ball to go out.
55
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Anis Mehmeti from Ipswich Town took a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area but couldn't find the target.
53
Update Update
Offside call against Ipswich Town. Dara O'Shea has been caught in an offside position.
52
Update Update
Iván Azón from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in an offensive position.
52
Update Update
Caleb Okoli from Leicester City committed a foul.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bobby De Cordova-Reid from Leicester City has been shown a yellow card.
51
Update Update
Bobby De Cordova-Reid commits a foul against Leicester City.
51
Update Update
Harry Winks of Leicester City was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
51
Update Update
Dan Neil commits a foul for Ipswich Town.
51
Update Update
Dara O'Shea from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in the defensive area.
49
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City earned a free kick in the defensive area.
49
Update Update
Anis Mehmeti from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
47
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Iván Azón from Ipswich Town attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but it sailed high and wide to the right. The assist came from Leif Davis, who set him up with a header.
45
Update Update
Caleb Okoli from Leicester City committed a foul.
45
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Darnell Furlong of Ipswich Town attempted a header from the center of the box following a corner kick.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Iván Azón from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Ipswich Town trailing Leicester City by a score of 0 to 1.
45
Update Update
Offside call against Leicester City. Bobby De Cordova-Reid is caught in an offside position.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Ipswich Town 0, Leicester City 1.
43
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Anis Mehmeti from Ipswich Town takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box. However, Jakub Stolarczyk, the goalkeeper for Leicester City, makes a solid save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Wes Burns, who delivered a well-placed cross.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Jakub Stolarczyk allowed the ball to go out.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ipswich Town 0, Leicester City 1. Patson Daka scores for Leicester City with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, finding the bottom right corner. The assist came from Luke Thomas, who delivered a precise cross.
39
Update Update
Patson Daka from Leicester City earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
39
Update Update
Azor Matusiwa from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Azor Matusiwa from Ipswich Town earned a free kick in an offensive position.
38
Update Update
Oliver Skipp committed a foul on a Leicester City player.
37
Update Update
Stephy Mavididi from Leicester City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Update Update
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
36
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Caleb Okoli from Leicester City takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but Christian Walton from Ipswich Town makes a save in the left corner.
34
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
34
Update Update
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
33
Update Update
Offside call against Ipswich Town. Wes Burns has been caught in an offside position.
32
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Dara O'Shea from Ipswich Town attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
30
Update Update
Iván Azón from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
30
Corner Corner
Dara O'Shea of Ipswich Town heads the ball and strikes the right post from the right side of the six-yard area. The assist came from Marcelino Núñez, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
30
Update Update
Luke Thomas from Leicester City earned a free kick in the defensive area.
29
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Azor Matusiwa from Ipswich Town takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it’s blocked. The assist came from Dan Neil.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after Oliver Skipp allowed the ball to go out.
27
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luke Thomas from Leicester City fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Leicester City after Dara O'Shea allowed the ball to go out.
25
Update Update
Luke Thomas from Leicester City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
25
Update Update
Dara O'Shea committed a foul against Ipswich Town.
24
Update Update
Patson Daka from Leicester City committed a foul.
24
Update Update
Bobby De Cordova-Reid of Leicester City was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
24
Update Update
Cédric Kipré from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
24
Update Update
Dara O'Shea from Ipswich Town has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
23
Update Update
Offside call against Ipswich Town. Anis Mehmeti has been flagged for being offside.
22
Update Update
Iván Azón from Ipswich Town was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
22
Update Update
Harry Winks committed a foul against Leicester City.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Ipswich Town after a deflection off Ricardo Pereira.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luke Thomas from Leicester City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
19
Update Update
Wes Burns from Ipswich Town earned a free kick on the right flank.
19
Update Update
Luke Thomas from Leicester City committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Offside call against Ipswich Town. Leif Davis has been caught offside.
13
Update Update
Oliver Skipp of Leicester City earned a free kick in an offensive position.
13
Update Update
Azor Matusiwa from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
12
Update Update
Ben Nelson from Leicester City earned a free kick in the defensive area.
12
Update Update
Iván Azón from Ipswich Town committed a foul.
10
Update Update
Harry Winks from Leicester City was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
10
Update Update
Dan Neil commits a foul for Ipswich Town.
8
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu committed a foul for Leicester City.
8
Update Update
Leif Davis from Ipswich Town was awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
7
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Stephy Mavididi from Leicester City attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left.
5
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harry Winks from Leicester City takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Leicester City after Christian Walton allowed the ball to go out.
5
Update Update
Leif Davis from Ipswich Town has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
5
Update Update
Oliver Skipp committed a foul on a Leicester City player.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Ipswich Town exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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