Inter vs Cagliari Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza Tomorrow - 6:45 PM

Serie A

Inter INT

Cagliari CAG

KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:45 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Inter welcome Cagliari to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for a Serie A regular season fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side sit top of the table with a commanding power score of 38.13 against the visitors' 15.33, creating a 22.8 point advantage that marks Inter as the stronger team by some distance. Fresh from a win away at Como, Inter have recorded three wins, two draws and one loss from their last six matches. Cagliari sit 16th and arrive with a modest recent record of one win, one draw and four losses from six games, though they did secure a home victory over Cremonese last time out. The gulf in league positions and overall quality suggests the hosts will look to dominate possession and territory from the start.

TL;DR

Structural: Inter top the table from first while Cagliari sit 16th, with hosts enjoying a 22.8 power score advantage.
Form: Inter solid at W3 D2 L1 from six, buoyed by recent away win at Como. Cagliari at W1 D1 L4, following home success vs Cremonese.
Squad: Inter possess superior depth and quality to control the game, while Cagliari rely on a more limited group facing a steep challenge.
Efficiency: Limited current data available, yet Inter's attacking setup implies stronger potential to convert chances against lower-table opposition.
Transition: Inter can shift rapidly from defence to attack to exploit spaces, testing a Cagliari side vulnerable to quick breaks.
Set pieces: Low-confidence proxy metrics in use for both sides with xG unavailable, making set-piece execution an area to monitor closely.
xVariable: Significant power differential stands as the primary variable, pointing to Inter's ability to dictate rhythm and tempo.
Market: Inter 77.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 14.8% (Δ+0%) | Cagliari 7.7% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

C. Chivu

F. Pisacane

2.42

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.96

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

25 - 9 - 5

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Inter

77.53%

Draw

14.78%

Cagliari

7.69%

Team Power Ranking

38.13

15.33

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Inter

Cagliari

Power Score

38.13

15.33

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Inter — Opponent-weighted form score

Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Cagliari

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter INT Home

39 matches

Cagliari CAG Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+42

Goal Difference

-42

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:04:46+00:00

STARTING XI

1 Y. Sommer

25 M. Akanji

15 F. Acerbi

95 A. Bastoni

2 D. Dumfries

23 N. Barella

20 H. Çalhanoğlu

7 P. Zieliński

32 F. Dimarco

94 F. Esposito

9 M. Thuram

1 E. Caprile

8 M. Adopo

26 Y. Mina González

15 J. Rodríguez Camejo

33 A. Obert

14 A. Deiola

10 G. Gaetano

90 M. Folorunsho

2 M. Palestra

94 S. Esposito

29 G. Borrelli

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 17, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Capacity

75817

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Matteo Marchetti

Luigi Rossi

Alex Cavallina

Kevin Bonacina

Lineup

Referee : Matteo Marchetti

Manager ▼

C. Chivu Coach

Starting XI ▼

Yann Sommer Goalkeeper

6.79

Francesco Acerbi Defender

6.96

Manuel Akanji Defender

7.03

Alessandro Bastoni Defender

7.23

Denzel Dumfries Midfielder

6.71

Piotr Zieliński Midfielder

7.02

Hakan Çalhanoğlu Midfielder

7.6

Nicolò Barella Midfielder

7.2

Federico Dimarco Midfielder

7.57

Marcus Thuram Attacker

7.2

Pio Esposito Attacker

6.79

Referee : Matteo Marchetti

Manager ▼

F. Pisacane Coach

Starting XI ▼

Elia Caprile Goalkeeper

6.94

Michel Adopo Defender

6.66

Juan Rodríguez Defender

6.68

Yerry Mina Defender

6.91

Marco Palestra Midfielder

6.95

Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder

6.82

Alessandro Deiola Midfielder

6.75

Adam Obert Midfielder

6.82

Michael Folorunsho Midfielder

6.57

Gennaro Borrelli Attacker

6.75

Sebastiano Esposito Attacker

7.18

CONCLUSION

This fixture presents Inter with an excellent platform to reinforce their position at the top of Serie A. Their combination of strong recent form, squad quality and substantial structural edge should allow them to dictate terms against a Cagliari outfit battling lower-table concerns. The visitors have shown moments of fight but will need a near-perfect defensive display and clinical counter-attacks to trouble the hosts. Expect Inter to maintain intensity, probe weaknesses in transition and gradually wear down their opponents at the Meazza. A controlled home performance looks the most likely outcome in this league meeting.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT