Hammarby vs Malmö FF Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Hammarby HAM
Versus
Malmö FF MAL
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 PM
Round 8 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hammarby welcomes Malmö FF to Tele2 Arena for an Allsvenskan regular season clash in 2026. Sitting second in the table, Hammarby boasts a power score of 69.02, edging out Malmö's 63.77 by 5.2 points, marking them as the structurally stronger side. Home advantage at Tele2 bolsters their position, especially against a seventh-placed Malmö who have shown sharper recent form with a 26.11 score to Hammarby's 17.06. Both teams lack detailed last outing data, but Hammarby's higher league standing suggests squad depth and consistency. Set-piece metrics remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG, shifting focus to open-play dynamics. Malmö's form could spark transitions, yet Hammarby's overall power tilts the balance. This matchup pits structural superiority against momentum in a pivotal early-season encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hammarby holds a 5.2-point power advantage over Malmö FF with scores of 69.02 to 63.77.
  • Form: Malmö FF enters with a stronger form score of 26.11 compared to Hammarby's 17.06.
  • Squad: Hammarby sits second in the league while Malmö FF is seventh, indicating deeper squad resources for the hosts.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Malmö FF's superior form suggests potential for effective counter transitions against Hammarby.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data shows low confidence with no xG available for either Hammarby or Malmö FF.
  • xVariable: xG data is unavailable, relying on proxy metrics with low confidence for set pieces.
  • Market: Hammarby 58.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.2% (Δ+0%) | Malmö FF 18.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
VS
Malmö FF M. Ramírez
M. Ramírez
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Västerås SK Rank: 48 W
Djurgården Rank: 64 D
Halmstad Rank: 47 D
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
Sirius Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Häcken Rank: 59 D
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
AIK Rank: 57 W
Sirius Rank: 61 L
Djurgården Rank: 65 W
GAIS Rank: 59 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 8 - 14
14
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
58.58%
Draw
23.21%
Away Malmö FF
18.21%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.02
63.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Malmö FF
Power Score
69.02
63.77
League Position
2
7
Global Rank
232
374

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Malmö FF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
32 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
10
Wins
14
8
Draws
8
14
Losses
10
Goals
44
Goals Scored
60
60
Goals Conceded
44
-16
Goal Difference
+16

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:44:22+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 8 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tele2 Arena
Capacity :
32000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
27
Felix Jakobsson
Felix Jakobsson Goalkeeper
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6
Ibrahima Breze Fofana
Ibrahima Breze Fofana Defender
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
32
Essayas Luvuoss Lwampindy Bofua
Essayas Luvuoss Lwampindy Bofua Defender
31
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Oscar Steinke Brånby Defender
2
Erik Hampus Skoglund
Erik Hampus Skoglund Defender
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Midfielder
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
11
Oscar Johansson
Oscar Johansson Midfielder
14
Dennis Collander
Dennis Collander Midfielder
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Midfielder
33
Bjorn Hedlof
Bjorn Hedlof Midfielder
22
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström Midfielder
21
Sourou Koné
Sourou Koné Midfielder
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic Attacker
9
Victor Stange Lind
Victor Stange Lind Attacker
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Attacker
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen Attacker
29
Moise Elohim Kabore
Moise Elohim Kabore Attacker

Squad ▼

27
Johan Dahlin
Johan Dahlin Goalkeeper
30
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen Goalkeeper
1
Ricardo Henrique Schuck Friedrich
Ricardo Henrique Schuck Friedrich Goalkeeper
39
William Nieroth Lundgren
William Nieroth Lundgren Goalkeeper
18
Pontus Jansson
Pontus Jansson Defender
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Defender
19
Colin Rosler
Colin Rosler Defender
25
Gabriel Dal Toé Busanello
Gabriel Dal Toé Busanello Defender
2
Johan Karlsson
Johan Karlsson Defender
5
Andrej Đurić
Andrej Đurić Defender
23
Noah Åstrand John
Noah Åstrand John Defender
44
Malte Frejd Pålsson
Malte Frejd Pålsson Defender
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus Defender
6
Yanis Karabelyov
Yanis Karabelyov Midfielder
10
Anders Christiansen
Anders Christiansen Midfielder
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Midfielder
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
42
Viggo Jeppsson
Viggo Jeppsson Midfielder
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
43
Gentian Lajqi
Gentian Lajqi Midfielder
28
Jovan Milosavljević
Jovan Milosavljević Midfielder
45
Anton Sebastian Höög
Anton Sebastian Höög Midfielder
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh Midfielder
46
Antonio Palac
Antonio Palac Midfielder
8
Arnór Sigurdsson
Arnór Sigurdsson Attacker
21
Stefano Vecchia Holmquist
Stefano Vecchia Holmquist Attacker
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
22
Taha Abdi Ali
Taha Abdi Ali Attacker
11
Emmanuel Ekong
Emmanuel Ekong Attacker
32
Daniel Gudjohnsen
Daniel Gudjohnsen Attacker
—
Oscar Love Sjöstrand
Oscar Love Sjöstrand Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's structural edge and home venue at Tele2 Arena position them favorably against a formidably trending Malmö FF. While Malmö's higher form score hints at transitional threats, Hammarby's power superiority and second-place standing underscore their control potential. Without set-piece or efficiency insights, open-play battles will decide the flow, favoring the hosts' consistency. Expect a competitive affair where Hammarby's depth overcomes Malmö's momentum, securing vital points in the Allsvenskan race.

Hammarby vs Malmö FF preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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