AZ vs NAC Breda Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
AFAS Stadion Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Eredivisie
AZ AZ
Versus
NAC Breda NAC
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

AZ hosts NAC Breda at the AFAS Stadion in a crucial Eredivisie regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting sixth in the league table, AZ boasts a commanding power score of 75.74, dwarfing NAC Breda's 54.47 and creating a 21.3-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. AZ's form score of 23.89 significantly outpaces NAC's modest 7.5, signaling momentum on the home side's behalf. While specific recent outings remain unavailable, AZ's higher league standing reflects consistent performance against a struggling 17th-placed NAC Breda. The venue favors AZ, known for its electric atmosphere boosting home efforts. Defending their position, AZ aims to capitalize on this mismatch, whereas NAC Breda fights relegation pressures. With limited advanced metrics due to data constraints, the focus shifts to AZ's overall dominance in power and form. Expect a tactical battle where AZ's edge could prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AZ holds a 21.3-point power advantage over NAC Breda with scores of 75.74 versus 54.47.
  • Form: AZ's form score stands at 23.89, well ahead of NAC Breda's 7.5.
  • Squad: AZ occupies 6th place in the Eredivisie, while NAC Breda languishes in 17th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence levels with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, impacting advanced variable assessments.
  • Market: AZ 68.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 18.3% (Δ+0%) | NAC Breda 13% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AZ L. Echteld
L. Echteld
VS
NAC Breda C. Hoefkens
C. Hoefkens
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Feyenoord Rank: 76 D
FC Twente Rank: 76 D
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 66 D
SC Heerenveen Rank: 71 W
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 W
FC Groningen Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Heerenveen Rank: 71 D
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
Ajax Rank: 75 L
Fortuna Sittard Rank: 61 D
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 66 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 64 L
15
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
15 - 5 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AZ
68.7%
Draw
18.32%
Away NAC Breda
12.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.74
54.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AZ
NAC Breda
Power Score
75.74
54.47
League Position
6
17
Global Rank
106
661

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AZ — Opponent-weighted form score
NAC Breda — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AZ NAC Breda

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AZ AZ Home
27 matches
NAC Breda NAC Away
Match Record
15
Wins
7
5
Draws
5
7
Losses
15
Goals
52
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
52
+23
Goal Difference
-23

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:44:37+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
AFAS Stadion
Capacity :
19500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Hobie Verhulst
Hobie Verhulst Goalkeeper
41
Jeroen Zoet
Jeroen Zoet Goalkeeper
31
Daniel Deen
Daniel Deen Goalkeeper
1
Rome-Jayden Owusu-Oduro
Rome-Jayden Owusu-Oduro Goalkeeper
34
Mees De Wit
Mees De Wit Defender
5
Alexandre Manuel Penetra Correia
Alexandre Manuel Penetra Correia Defender
30
Denso Kasius
Denso Kasius Defender
2
Seiya Maikuma
Seiya Maikuma Defender
4
Maxim Dekker
Maxim Dekker Defender
3
Wouter Goes
Wouter Goes Defender
23
Billy van Duijl
Billy van Duijl Defender
22
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra Defender
15
Mateo Chávez García
Mateo Chávez García Defender
18
Rion Ichihara
Rion Ichihara Defender
8
Jordy Clasie
Jordy Clasie Midfielder
6
Peer Koopmeiners
Peer Koopmeiners Midfielder
10
Sven Mijnans
Sven Mijnans Midfielder
26
Kees Smit
Kees Smit Midfielder
33
Matěj Šín
Matěj Šín Midfielder
20
Kasper Boogaard
Kasper Boogaard Midfielder
11
Ibrahim Sadiq
Ibrahim Sadiq Attacker
19
Jizz Hornkamp
Jizz Hornkamp Attacker
9
Troy Parrott
Troy Parrott Attacker
17
Isak Jensen
Isak Jensen Attacker
7
Weslley Pinto Batista
Weslley Pinto Batista Attacker
27
Ro-Zangelo Daal
Ro-Zangelo Daal Attacker
35
Mexx Meerdink
Mexx Meerdink Attacker
75
Wassim Bouziane
Wassim Bouziane Attacker
24
Ayoub Oufkir
Ayoub Oufkir Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Kostas Lamprou
Kostas Lamprou Goalkeeper
1
Roy Kortsmit
Roy Kortsmit Goalkeeper
99
Daniel Bielica
Daniel Bielica Goalkeeper
44
Thomas Goossens
Thomas Goossens Goalkeeper
3
Denis Odoi
Denis Odoi Defender
2
Boyd Lucassen
Boyd Lucassen Defender
15
Enes Mahmutovic
Enes Mahmutovic Defender
4
Boy Kemper
Boy Kemper Defender
12
Leo Greiml
Leo Greiml Defender
22
Rio Hillen
Rio Hillen Defender
21
Jayden Candelaria
Jayden Candelaria Defender
25
Cherrion Valerius
Cherrion Valerius Defender
27
Jemuel Erat
Jemuel Erat Defender
29
Christian Chiza
Christian Chiza Defender
90
Lewis Harry Holtby
Lewis Harry Holtby Midfielder
8
Clint Leemans
Clint Leemans Midfielder
20
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
Fredrik Oldrup Jensen Midfielder
14
Kamal Sowah
Kamal Sowah Midfielder
16
Maximilien Balard
Maximilien Balard Midfielder
10
Mohamed Nassoh
Mohamed Nassoh Midfielder
11
Raul Paula
Raul Paula Midfielder
24
André Ayew Pelé
André Ayew Pelé Attacker
7
Charles-Andreas Brym
Charles-Andreas Brym Attacker
32
Juho Talvitie
Juho Talvitie Attacker
55
Brahim Ghalidi
Brahim Ghalidi Attacker
19
Salama Salama
Salama Salama Attacker
9
Moussa Soumano
Moussa Soumano Attacker
26
Pepijn Reulen
Pepijn Reulen Attacker

CONCLUSION

AZ enters this fixture as clear favorites, leveraging superior power ratings and form to target a convincing home victory at AFAS Stadion. NAC Breda's lower standing and form score suggest vulnerability, particularly against AZ's structural edge. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, AZ's overall quality should prevail in transition and open play. The 21.3-point power gap reinforces expectations of dominance, potentially extending AZ's league position while deepening NAC's woes. Home advantage amplifies AZ's prospects in this Eredivisie encounter.

AZ vs NAC Breda preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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