Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
De Adelaarshorst Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles GAE
Versus
PSV PSV
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Go Ahead Eagles welcome league leaders PSV to De Adelaarshorst in this Eredivisie regular season encounter for the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 11th in the standings, the hosts face a formidable challenge from the top-placed visitors, who hold a substantial power score edge of 85.88 to 66.64, equating to a 19.2-point advantage. Recent form tilts towards PSV as well, with their 25.22 rating surpassing Eagles' 18.61. Playing at home offers some hope for Go Ahead Eagles, yet PSV's superior metrics across power and momentum suggest they enter as clear favorites. The Eagles will need a disciplined defensive display and clinical finishing to counter PSV's attacking prowess. Historical context in the Eredivisie underscores PSV's consistency against mid-table sides, often securing comfortable victories. Both teams lack recent outing details, heightening anticipation for how preparations translate on the pitch. This matchup pits resilience against dominance in a venue known for passionate support.

TL;DR

  • Structural: PSV possesses a 19.2-point power advantage over Go Ahead Eagles, with scores of 85.88 versus 66.64.
  • Form: PSV's form score stands at 25.22, higher than Go Ahead Eagles' 18.61.
  • Squad: Go Ahead Eagles occupy 11th place in the Eredivisie, while PSV leads the league.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains unavailable for both teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece statistics show low confidence levels with proxy data used for Go Ahead Eagles and PSV.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of enabling data.
  • Market: Go Ahead Eagles 22.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.9% (Δ+0%) | PSV 56.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Go Ahead Eagles M. Boel
M. Boel
VS
PSV P. Bosz
P. Bosz
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.35
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 65 D
AZ Rank: 75 D
FC Groningen Rank: 66 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ajax Rank: 76 D
PEC Zwolle Rank: 63 W
Sparta Rotterdam Rank: 65 W
FC Utrecht Rank: 71 W
Telstar Rank: 62 L
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 74 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 14
14
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Go Ahead Eagles
22.51%
Draw
20.87%
Away PSV
56.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.64
85.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV
Power Score
66.64
85.88
League Position
11
1
Global Rank
276
28

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Go Ahead Eagles Opponent-weighted form score
PSV Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Go Ahead Eagles PSV

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Go Ahead Eagles GAE Home
15 matches
PSV PSV Away
Match Record
1
Wins
14
0
Draws
0
14
Losses
1
Goals
10
Goals Scored
40
40
Goals Conceded
10
-30
Goal Difference
+30

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:07:06+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. De Busser
22 J. De Busser
A. Sampsted
2 A. Sampsted
J. Dirksen
26 J. Dirksen
J. Kramer
4 J. Kramer
A. Adelgaard
29 A. Adelgaard
M. Meulensteen
21 M. Meulensteen
J. Breum
7 J. Breum
S. Tengstedt
10 S. Tengstedt
V. Edvardsen
16 V. Edvardsen
M. Suray
17 M. Suray
S. Sigurdarson
9 S. Sigurdarson
M. Kovář
32 M. Kovář
M. Ferreira dos Santos
17 M. Ferreira dos Santos
Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis
3 Y. Gąsiorowski Hernandis
R. Flamingo
6 R. Flamingo
K. Sildillia
25 K. Sildillia
J. Veerman
23 J. Veerman
P. Wanner
10 P. Wanner
C. Driouech
11 C. Driouech
G. Til
20 G. Til
E. Bajraktarevic
19 E. Bajraktarevic
R. Pepi
9 R. Pepi

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
De Adelaarshorst
Capacity :
10400
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Rob van de Ven
Martin van den Kerkhof
Richard Polman
Rick Sturm

Expected Lineup

Referee : Martin van den Kerkhof

Starting XI

22
Jari De Busser
Jari De Busser Goalkeeper
7.1
2
Alfons Sampsted
Alfons Sampsted Defender
6.78
29
Aske Adelgaard
Aske Adelgaard Defender
6.7
4
Joris Kramer
Joris Kramer Defender
7.08
26
Julius Dirksen
Julius Dirksen Defender
7
10
Søren Tengstedt
Søren Tengstedt Midfielder
6.75
7
Jakob Breum
Jakob Breum Midfielder
7.31
21
Melle Meulensteen
Melle Meulensteen Midfielder
7.08
9
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson Attacker
6.86
17
Mathis Suray
Mathis Suray Attacker
6.89
16
Victor Edvardsen
Victor Edvardsen Attacker
6.87
Referee : Martin van den Kerkhof

Starting XI

32
Matej Kovar
Matej Kovar Goalkeeper
6.83
17
Mauro Júnior
Mauro Júnior Defender
7.24
3
Yarek Gasiorowski
Yarek Gasiorowski Defender
6.91
6
Ryan Flamingo
Ryan Flamingo Defender
6.82
25
Kiliann Sildillia
Kiliann Sildillia Defender
6.74
23
Joey Veerman
Joey Veerman Midfielder
7.89
20
Guus Til
Guus Til Midfielder
7.17
10
Paul Wanner
Paul Wanner Midfielder
6.98
11
Couhaib Driouech
Couhaib Driouech Attacker
6.82
9
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi Attacker
7.21
19
Esmir Bajraktarevic
Esmir Bajraktarevic Attacker
6.96

CONCLUSION

PSV's overwhelming power and form advantages position them strongly for victory at De Adelaarshorst against Go Ahead Eagles. The 19.2-point edge and top-table standing highlight their superiority, while Eagles' home turf provides slim upset potential. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to PSV's proven Eredivisie dominance over mid-pack opponents. Go Ahead Eagles must exploit any early lapses, but PSV's momentum likely propels them to a convincing win. Expect a controlled performance from the leaders, capitalizing on their higher ratings to extend the gap at the summit.

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