Gil Vicente vs Vitória Guimarães Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Sat, 18 Apr - 7:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Vitória Guimarães
VDG
KICKOFF :
Sat, 18 Apr - 7:30 PM
Round 30 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
In the 2025/2026 Liga Portugal season, sixth-placed Gil Vicente welcome eighth-placed Vitória Guimarães to the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos for a regular season fixture. The home team has recorded one win, three draws and two losses in their last six matches, most recently sharing the points in an away draw against Tondela. The visitors have a comparable record of one win, two draws and three losses from six, also coming into this on the back of an away draw versus AVS. With near-identical power scores and a minimal advantage to the away side, this promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are keen to push further up the table and will need to show improvement in their attacking output. Home advantage for Gil Vicente could prove decisive in what looks set to be a tactical mid-table battle.
TL;DR
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Structural: Gil Vicente (6th) vs Vitória Guimarães (8th) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos in mid-table Liga Portugal clash.
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Form: Home W1 D3 L2, away W1 D2 L3 from six matches. Both teams drew their last away games.
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Squad: Limited information but both sides anticipated to be close to full strength for the fixture.
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Efficiency: Teams show comparable efficiency with no clear standout in general play metrics.
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Transition: Slight edge to Vitória Guimarães in transition according to power advantage.
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Set pieces: Low confidence data with proxy used. Similar set piece profiles expected.
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xVariable: xG not fully available but projections indicate a close and competitive match.
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Market: Gil Vicente 45.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.2% (Δ+0%) | Vitória Guimarães 25.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
P. da Silva Peixoto
VS
G. Moreira Lameiras
1.43
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela
Rank:
D
AVS
Rank:
W
Santa Clara
Rank:
L
Alverca
Rank:
D
Estrela Amadora
Rank:
D
Benfica
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
AVS
Rank:
D
Tondela
Rank:
W
Benfica
Rank:
L
Famalicão
Rank:
L
Santa Clara
Rank:
L
Alverca
Rank:
D
7
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 7 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Gil Vicente
45.93%
Draw
28.17%
Vitória Guimarães
25.9%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.1
18.26
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gil Vicente
Vitória Guimarães
Power Score
18.1
18.26
League Position
6
8
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Gil Vicente
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Vitória Guimarães
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Gil Vicente Vitória Guimarães
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Home
23
matches
Vitória Guimarães
VDG
Away
Match Record
7
Wins
9
7
Draws
7
9
Losses
7
Goals
26
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
26
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:02:28+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
99 D. Leite Figueira
2 J. Teixeira Lopes Reis Gonçalves
39 J. Buatu Mananga
48 A. Espigares Morillas
3 G. Konan
77 M. De Souza Costa
5 F. Cáseres
10 L. Leite Esteves
27 A. Moreira Morales
95 S. Garcia Gonzalez
89 G. Pereira De Sousa
27 C. da Silva
13 João Mendes
28 T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho
4 O. Rivas Viondi
66 T. Strata
20 F. Amorim Silva
16 B. Mambuene Mukendi
30 G. Teixeira Nogueira
19 O. Camara
11 G. da Silva Cunha
88 J. Costa Nogueira
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Capacity
12046
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Gil Vicente
vs
Casa Pia
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Vitória Guimarães
vs
Rio Ave
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Venue: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
P. da Silva Peixoto
Coach
Starting XI ▼
99
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira
Goalkeeper
6.94 27
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales
Midfielder
6.79 77
Murilo de Souza Costa
Midfielder
6.99 89
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
Attacker
6.75 95
Santiago García González
Attacker
7.15 2
José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves
Right Back
6.79 3
Ghislain Konan
Left Back
6.72 5
Facundo Agustín Cáseres
Central Midfield
6.79 10
Luís André Leite Esteves
Central Midfield
7.23 39
Buatu
Right Back
6.8 48
Antonio Espigares Morillas
Left Back
6.74 Substitutes ▼
11
Joelson Fernandes
6.77 19
Gil Martins
20
Hevertton Ciriaco Santos
6.47 26
Weverson
6.54 29
Carlos Eduardo Borges Parente
6.64 30
Lucão
6.66 32
Martín Fernández Benítez
6.47 45
Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi
6.37 80
Rodrigo Prata Deusdado Rodrigues
6.45 Manager ▼
G. Moreira Lameiras
Coach
Starting XI ▼
27
Charles
Goalkeeper
6.66 11
Gustavo Silva
Centre Forward
6.84 19
Oumar Camara
Attacker
6.73 88
Miguel Nogueira
Attacker
6.77 4
Óscar Rivas
Right Back
6.97 13
João Mendes
Left Back
6.74 16
Beni Mukendi
Central Midfield
6.84 20
Samu
Central Midfield
6.9 28
Thiago Balieiro
Left Back
6.66 30
Gonçalo Nogueira
Central Midfield
6.85 66
Tony Strata
Right Back
6.66 Substitutes ▼
2
Maga
6.66 3
Miguel Nóbrega
6.58 6
Matija Mitrovic
6.77 7
Nélson Oliveira
6.56 17
Orest Lebedenko
6.51 18
Telmo Arcanjo
6.77 23
Diogo Sousa
6.8 25
Juan Castillo
6.83 48
Noah Jose Saviolo
6.75 CONCLUSION
Gil Vicente are expected to leverage home advantage and their position in the table against Vitória Guimarães in this evenly balanced fixture. The hosts have been more solid in recent weeks and will target a victory to consolidate sixth place. Vitória, despite the slight power edge, have found wins hard to come by and must improve their away form. Following draws in their previous matches, both coaches may set up cautiously at first. The game is likely to be decided by which team handles the ball better in the final third and maintains defensive organisation. This should be an engaging contest typical of the competitive nature of Liga Portugal.