Gent vs Anderlecht Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Planet Group Arena Sun, 10 May - 11:30 AM
Pro League
Gent GNT
Versus
Anderlecht ADL
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 11:30 AM
Round 7 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Gent hosts Anderlecht at Planet Group Arena in the Championship Round of the 2025/2026 Pro League season, a clash vital for both teams tied at 6th in the standings. Anderlecht emerges as the marginally stronger side with a power score of 72.59, surpassing Gent's 71.2 by 1.4 points, signaling a subtle structural edge. Form metrics reinforce this, as the visitors boast a superior 25 compared to the hosts' 13.89, suggesting better recent momentum. Home advantage at Planet Group Arena could galvanize Gent, yet Anderlecht's overall quality looms large. Detailed efficiency and set-piece data remain unavailable due to absent xG metrics and low-confidence proxies, shifting emphasis to tactical execution and squad cohesion. Both teams' identical league positions underscore the stakes, promising a tightly contested Belgian showdown where fine details may decide supremacy.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Anderlecht holds a 1.4-point power advantage over Gent with scores of 72.59 to 71.2.
  • Form: Anderlecht's form score of 25 significantly exceeds Gent's 13.89.
  • Squad: Both Gent and Anderlecht occupy 6th position in the Pro League table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play details unavailable due to limited data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data unavailable with low confidence and proxy metrics used for both teams.
  • xVariable: No xG data available, limiting advanced variable analysis for either side.
  • Market: Projection split: Gent 39.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | Anderlecht 33.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gent R. Demil
R. Demil
VS
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: 69 L
Club Brugge Rank: 84 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 86 D
Sint-Truiden Rank: 75 D
Anderlecht Rank: 72 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 85 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 85 L
Sint-Truiden Rank: 75 L
Mechelen Rank: 70 W
Gent Rank: 72 W
Club Brugge Rank: 86 L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 19 - 29
29
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Gent
39.8%
Draw
26.92%
Away Anderlecht
33.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.2
72.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gent
Anderlecht
Power Score
71.2
72.59
League Position
6
6
Global Rank
178
147

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gent — Opponent-weighted form score
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gent Anderlecht

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 61 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gent GNT Home
61 matches
Anderlecht ADL Away
Match Record
13
Wins
29
19
Draws
19
29
Losses
13
Goals
59
Goals Scored
100
100
Goals Conceded
59
-41
Goal Difference
+41

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:03:51+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Roef
33 D. Roef
D. Hashioka
4 D. Hashioka
M. Volckaert
57 M. Volckaert
S. Van der Heyden
44 S. Van der Heyden
M. Skóraś
8 M. Skóraś
T. De Vlieger
27 T. De Vlieger
L. da Silva Lopes
22 L. da Silva Lopes
T. Alves Araújo
20 T. Alves Araújo
M. Dean
21 M. Dean
A. Kadri
37 A. Kadri
A. Kanga
7 A. Kanga
C. Coosemans
26 C. Coosemans
L. Augustinsson
6 L. Augustinsson
M. Diarra
93 M. Diarra
M. Angely
4 M. Angely
I. Camara
7 I. Camara
E. Llansana
24 E. Llansana
M. Kana
55 M. Kana
T. Degreef
83 T. Degreef
Y. Verschaeren
10 Y. Verschaeren
M. Cvetković
9 M. Cvetković
T. Hazard
11 T. Hazard

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 7 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Planet Group Arena
Capacity :
20185
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

33
Davy Roef
Davy Roef Goalkeeper
7
8
Michal Skoras
Michal Skoras Midfielder
7.47
20
Tiago Araújo
Tiago Araújo Midfielder
6.88
21
Max Dean
Max Dean Midfielder
6.89
37
Abdelkahar Kadri
Abdelkahar Kadri Midfielder
6.87
7
Wilfried Kanga
Wilfried Kanga Centre Forward
7.03
27
Tibe De Vlieger
Tibe De Vlieger Central Midfield
6.96
4
Daiki Hashioka
Daiki Hashioka Right Back
6.57
22
Leonardo Lopes
Leonardo Lopes Central Midfield
6.75
44
Siebe Van der Heyden
Siebe Van der Heyden Left Back
6.88
57
Matties Volckaert
Matties Volckaert Centre Back
6.83

Starting XI ▼

26
Colin Coosemans
Colin Coosemans Goalkeeper
6.84
11
Thorgan Hazard
Thorgan Hazard Centre Forward
7.32
9
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Mihajlo Cvetkovic Right Wing
6.8
4
Mathys Angély
Mathys Angély Right Back
6.09
7
Ilay Camara
Ilay Camara Right Back
6.63
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Defensive Midfield
6.83
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Defensive Midfield
6.76
83
Tristan Degreef
Tristan Degreef Left Wing
6.61
93
Moussa Diarra
Moussa Diarra Left Back
6.56
10
Yari Verschaeren
Yari Verschaeren Attacking Midfield
6.76
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Left Back
6.91

CONCLUSION

Anderlecht carries slim advantages in power and form into Planet Group Arena, positioning them as favorites against 6th-placed Gent. The hosts' home turf offers a counterbalance, potentially neutralizing the visitors' edge in a match both desperately need for table progression. Without efficiency or set-piece insights, outcomes may turn on transitional phases and overall execution. Identical standings heighten intensity, with Anderlecht's metrics hinting at control, though Gent's resilience ensures competitiveness. This Pro League encounter shapes as a tactical battle where momentum and precision will separate the sides.

Gent vs Anderlecht preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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