Fulham vs Burnley Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Craven Cottage Sat, 21 Mar - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Fulham FUL
3 Winner 1
Burnley BUR
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 3:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Josh King - 67'
Harry Wilson - 73'
Raúl Jiménez - 90+5' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Zian Flemming - 60'
|
Red Card Josh Laurent 90+3'

CONTEXT

The match between Fulham and Burnley has finished with a 3-1 victory for the home side. This result represented a significant deviation level of 38.2% for Fulham, who entered the contest as the stronger team and clear favorites. Pre-match market probabilities stood at 61.8% for a home win, 22.4% for a draw, and 15.9% for an away victory, meaning the final outcome aligned perfectly with initial expectations. Although the teams were deadlocked at a goalless draw at half-time, the second half saw a major shift in dynamics. Fulham controlled the tempo with 56% possession compared to Burnley's 44%, and they completely dominated the attacking metrics. The hosts generated 3.08 expected goals (xG) to the visitors' 1.56 xG, creating a solid offensive differential of 1.52. A crucial turning point was the red card shown to Burnley, which caused a noticeable red card distortion in the second-half adjustments. Fulham's finishing proved to be perfectly in line with their attacking production, avoiding any extreme efficiency shifts. Ultimately, the 3-1 scoreline was entirely consistent with both the underlying xG numbers and the pre-match market predictions, cementing a deserved victory for Fulham.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fulham showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
VS
Burnley S. Parker
S. Parker
1.24
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.68
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester City Rank: 97 L
Everton Rank: 89 L
Manchester United Rank: 92 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 W
Leeds United Rank: 86 L
Chelsea Rank: 91 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chelsea Rank: 91 D
Crystal Palace Rank: 87 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 L
Sunderland Rank: 82 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 84 D
Liverpool Rank: 94 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fulham
61.76%
Draw
22.35%
Away Burnley
15.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.24
65.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fulham
Burnley
Power Score
71.24
65.97
League Position
9
19
Global Rank
26
67

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
Burnley — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fulham Burnley

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Fulham

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Burnley

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Fulham ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Burnley
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.48
26.02
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.02
43.48
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Fulham +2.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Burnley -2.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Fulham
Burnley
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Fulham
vs
Burnley
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Fulham Burnley
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+1.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Fulham Burnley
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Fulham
Burnley
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fulham FUL Home
13 matches
Burnley BUR Away
Match Record
3
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
3
Goals
18
Goals Scored
24
24
Goals Conceded
18
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:21:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
T. Castagne
Belgium
21 T. Castagne
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 (C) J. Andersen
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
A. Robinson
Substitution
United States
33 A. Robinson
S. Berge
Norway
16 S. Berge
A. Iwobi
Nigeria
17 A. Iwobi
H. Wilson
Substitution
Wales
8 H. Wilson
J. King
Substitution
England
24 J. King
O. Bobb
Substitution
Norway
14 O. Bobb
Rodrigo Muniz
Substitution
Brazil
9 Rodrigo Muniz
M. Dúbravka
Slovakia
1 M. Dúbravka
Q. Hartman
Netherlands
3 Q. Hartman
M. Esteve
France
5 M. Esteve
B. Humphreys
England
12 B. Humphreys
K. Walker
Substitution
England
2 (C) K. Walker
J. Laurent
England
29 J. Laurent
J. Ward-Prowse
Substitution
England
20 J. Ward-Prowse
J. Anthony
England
11 J. Anthony
H. Mejbri
Substitution
Tunisia
28 H. Mejbri
L. Foster
Substitution
South Africa
9 L. Foster
Z. Flemming
Netherlands
19 Z. Flemming

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Craven Cottage
Capacity
25700
Attendance
27323
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Chris Kavanagh
Daniel Cook
Ian Hussin
Craig Pawson

Statistics

Possession
FUL
54%
BUR
46%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 4
6 Shots 5
47 Dangerous attacks 49
56 Possession 44
6 Corners 6
8 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

18 Successful Headers 13
4 Goal Kicks 15
3 Successful Dribbles 3
5 Substitutions 4
19 Throwins 12
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
66 Ball Safe 74
1 Penalties 0
8 Dribble Attempts 8
0 Injuries 2
15 Goal Attempts 6
1 Assists 1

Attacking

108 Attacks 97
2 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

55 Long Passes 70
16 Key Passes 9
85 Successful Passes Percentage 83
442 Successful Passes 343
518 Passes 413
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51
30 Successful Long Passes 36

Defensive

18 Tackles 13
4 Saves 3
6 Interceptions 7

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 18
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

6 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
7.11
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
6.77
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen (C) Defender
6.84
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Defender
7.72
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
6.66
30
Ryan Sessegnon
Ryan Sessegnon
Midfielder61'
7.01
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Midfielder
7.81
6
Harrison Reed
Harrison Reed
Midfielder87'
6.66
14
Oscar Bobb
Oscar Bobb Midfielder
6.67
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze
Attacker61'
6.47
16
Sander Berge
Sander Berge Midfielder
6.76
17
Alex Iwobi
Alex Iwobi Midfielder
7.09
24
Josh King
Josh King Midfielder
8.04
32
Emile Smith Rowe
Emile Smith Rowe
Midfielder82'
6.75
9
Rodrigo Muniz
Rodrigo Muniz Attacker
7.06
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez
Attacker82'
7.6
Referee : Chris Kavanagh

Starting XI ▼

1
Martin Dúbravka
Martin Dúbravka Goalkeeper
6.47
2
Kyle Walker
Kyle Walker (C) Defender
6.99
17
Loum Tchaouna
Loum Tchaouna
Attacker87'
3
Quilindschy Hartman
Quilindschy Hartman Defender
6.88
5
Maxime Estève
Maxime Estève Defender
6.46
12
Bashir Humphreys
Bashir Humphreys Defender
6.2
9
Lyle Foster
Lyle Foster Midfielder
6.53
10
Marcus Edwards
Marcus Edwards
Attacker78'
6.39
11
Jaidon Anthony
Jaidon Anthony Midfielder
7.12
20
James Ward-Prowse
James Ward-Prowse Midfielder
6.49
35
Ashley Barnes
Ashley Barnes
Attacker78'
6.49
28
Hannibal
Hannibal Midfielder
6.34
8
Lesley Ugochukwu
Lesley Ugochukwu
Midfielder18'
6.46
29
Josh Laurent
Josh Laurent Midfielder
5.87
19
Zian Flemming
Zian Flemming Attacker
6.97

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Raúl Jiménez
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
90+5'
90+3'
Event
Josh Laurent
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Event
Alex Iwobi
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Harrison Reed → Harry Wilson
8th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Loum Tchaouna → Kyle Walker
9th Substitution
Event
Raúl Jiménez → Rodrigo Muniz
6th Substitution
82'
Event
Emile Smith Rowe → Josh King
7th Substitution
82'
78'
Event
Marcus Edwards → Lyle Foster
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Ashley Barnes → James Ward-Prowse
4th Substitution
Event
Harry Wilson
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
73'
Event
Josh King
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
67'
64'
Event
James Ward-Prowse
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Ryan Sessegnon → Antonee Robinson
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Samuel Chukwueze → Oscar Bobb 
3rd Substitution
61'
60'
Event
Zian Flemming
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Antonee Robinson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
55'
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Josh Laurent
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
18'
Event
Lesley Ugochukwu → Hannibal
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Josh Laurent from Burnley has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Corner Corner
A new offensive play unfolds as Loum Tchaouna from Burnley takes a left-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left side. The attempt is expertly saved by Bernd Leno of Fulham, who directs it to the left corner. The assist came from Zian Flemming.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Fulham has been awarded a penalty! Raúl Jiménez was fouled inside the box.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alex Iwobi of Fulham has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Alex Iwobi committed a foul against Fulham.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Fulham 3, Burnley 1.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harrison Reed from Fulham fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Emile Smith Rowe.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Raúl Jiménez from Fulham attempted a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but it sailed high and to the right. The assist came from Harrison Reed.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fulham leads 3-1 against Burnley. Raúl Jiménez from Fulham successfully scores the penalty with a right-footed shot.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Josh Laurent from Burnley has been shown a red card.
90
Update Update
Josh Laurent of Burnley has given away a penalty due to a foul committed inside the penalty box.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Alex Iwobi from Fulham takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Sander Berge.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Samuel Chukwueze from Fulham attempted a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box but sent it wide to the left.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Samuel Chukwueze of Fulham took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that narrowly missed to the left. The assist came from Emile Smith Rowe after a quick counterattack.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Burnley after Timothy Castagne allowed the ball to go out.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Loum Tchaouna is coming on to replace Kyle Walker.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Harrison Reed comes on to replace Harry Wilson.
85
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Samuel Chukwueze from Fulham attempts a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Emile Smith Rowe.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Raúl Jiménez replaces Rodrigo Muniz.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Burnley after a deflection off Bernd Leno.
82
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive push from Burnley. Quilindschy Hartman takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Bernd Leno of Fulham makes a save, diving to his right. The assist came from Kyle Walker.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Emile Smith Rowe comes on to replace Josh King.
80
Update Update
Alex Iwobi committed a foul against Fulham.
80
Update Update
Kyle Walker of Burnley earned a free kick in an offensive position.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Ashley Barnes comes on to replace James Ward-Prowse.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Marcus Edwards comes on to replace Lyle Foster.
76
Update Update
Ryan Sessegnon commits a handball for Fulham.
76
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Jaidon Anthony from Burnley takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Bernd Leno from Fulham makes a save in the bottom right corner. The assist came from Quilindschy Hartman.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Burnley after Timothy Castagne allowed the ball to go out.
75
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Josh Laurent from Burnley fires a left-footed shot from close range, but it's deflected away. The cross was set up by Jaidon Anthony.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fulham takes the lead with a score of 2-1 against Burnley. Harry Wilson scores with a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
72
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
70
Update Update
Martin Dúbravka of Burnley has been awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
70
Update Update
Sander Berge committed a foul on a Fulham player.
70
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Martin Dúbravka from Burnley.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Maxime Estève allows it.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Fulham 1, Burnley 1. Josh King scores for Fulham with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, placing it into the bottom corner.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Kyle Walker allowed the ball to go out.
65
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Harry Wilson from Fulham attempts a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Alex Iwobi.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
James Ward-Prowse of Burnley has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
63
Update Update
Harry Wilson from Fulham earned a free kick in an attacking position.
63
Update Update
Harry Wilson from Fulham earned a free kick in an offensive position.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Samuel Chukwueze replaces Oscar Bobb.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Ryan Sessegnon replaces Antonee Robinson.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Burnley takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Fulham. Zian Flemming scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist came from Lyle Foster, who delivered a precise cross.
59
Update Update
Antonee Robinson from Fulham committed a foul.
59
Update Update
James Ward-Prowse from Burnley has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Opportunity wasted. Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area, but it went just wide. The cross was delivered by Timothy Castagne.
55
Update Update
Antonee Robinson from Fulham committed a foul.
55
Update Update
Kyle Walker of Burnley has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonee Robinson of Fulham has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
52
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Rodrigo Muniz of Fulham attempted a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it went just wide after a quick counterattack.
52
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Josh King from Fulham takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but Martin Dúbravka from Burnley makes a save in the left corner. The assist came from Rodrigo Muniz.
51
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham took a right-footed shot from the center of the box but failed to find the target.
51
Update Update
Offside call against Fulham. Harry Wilson has been caught offside.
51
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Josh King from Fulham takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's expertly stopped in the left corner.
47
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fulham after Jaidon Anthony allowed the ball to go out of play.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Fulham 0, Burnley 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Zian Flemming from Burnley earned a free kick on the right flank.
45
Update Update
Sander Berge from Fulham has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Fulham 0, Burnley 0.
40
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Josh Laurent from Burnley has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after a foul by Josh Laurent.
32
Update Update
Lyle Foster committed a foul for Burnley.
32
Update Update
Antonee Robinson from Fulham earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
29
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Harry Wilson from Fulham took a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Josh King.
27
Update Update
James Ward-Prowse committed a foul against Burnley.
27
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Harry Wilson from Fulham took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the bar. The assist came from Timothy Castagne.
27
Update Update
Alex Iwobi from Fulham has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
26
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Jaidon Anthony from Burnley took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards but it went wide. The assist came from Zian Flemming after a quick counterattack.
26
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Harry Wilson of Fulham takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Martin Dúbravka of Burnley makes a save, diving to his left. The assist came from Alex Iwobi.
25
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fulham after Kyle Walker's defensive play.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Burnley after a play that resulted in a deflection off Antonee Robinson.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Jaidon Anthony allowed the ball to go out.
23
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Timothy Castagne of Fulham took a left-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, aiming for the left side of the goal, but it went just wide. The assist came from Harry Wilson, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
21
Update Update
Zian Flemming committed a foul against Burnley.
21
Update Update
Another offensive push! Zian Flemming from Burnley rises to head the ball from the middle of the box, but Bernd Leno, the Fulham goalkeeper, makes a great save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Quilindschy Hartman, who delivered a well-placed cross.
21
Update Update
Bernd Leno from Fulham has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted! Harry Wilson from Fulham takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it narrowly misses the top right corner of the goal. The assist came from Timothy Castagne.
18
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Lesley Ugochukwu comes on to replace Hannibal Mejbri, who is leaving the field due to injury.
18
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
17
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Hannibal Mejbri from Burnley.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the bar. The assist came from Oscar Bobb, who delivered a cross.
14
Update Update
Timothy Castagne from Fulham earned a free kick in the defensive area.
14
Update Update
Josh Laurent committed a foul against Burnley.
13
Update Update
Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
13
Update Update
Maxime Estève from Burnley committed a foul.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Burnley after Harry Wilson allowed the ball to go out.
9
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Jaidon Anthony from Burnley took a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Quilindschy Hartman.
7
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Zian Flemming from Burnley takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Jaidon Anthony.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Burnley after Sander Berge allowed the ball to go out.
1
Update Update
Oscar Bobb from Fulham has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Update Update
Jaidon Anthony committed a foul on a Burnley player.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Fulham exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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