Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Craven Cottage Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Fulham FUL
Versus
AFC Bournemouth BOU
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fulham host AFC Bournemouth at Craven Cottage in a Premier League regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Cottagers languish in 11th place, trailing the ambitious Cherries who hold a strong 6th position. Bournemouth arrive with superior firepower, boasting a 73.39 power score against Fulham's 70.78, translating to a 2.6-point edge that marks them as the stronger outfit. Form tells a stark tale too, with Bournemouth's 32.94 rating dwarfing Fulham's modest 17.33, suggesting momentum swings visitor-wards. No recent outings disrupt preparations, allowing focus on tactical setups. League standings amplify stakes, as Bournemouth chase European spots while Fulham eye mid-table security. Expect a competitive battle where Bournemouth's quality could shine through, though Craven Cottage's atmosphere might fuel a home upset. Set-piece and efficiency insights remain limited without xG data, heightening intrigue around open-play dynamics.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AFC Bournemouth are structurally stronger with a 73.39 power score and 6th place versus Fulham's 70.78 and 11th.
  • Form: Bournemouth's form score of 32.94 far exceeds Fulham's 17.33.
  • Squad: No specific squad news available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Fulham 34.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | AFC Bournemouth 39.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
VS
AFC Bournemouth A. Iraola
A. Iraola
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arsenal Rank: 97 L
Aston Villa Rank: 91 W
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Liverpool Rank: 92 L
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
Newcastle United Rank: 88 W
Arsenal Rank: 98 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 D
Burnley Rank: 77 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fulham
34.75%
Draw
25.93%
Away AFC Bournemouth
39.32%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.78
73.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fulham
AFC Bournemouth
Power Score
70.78
73.39
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
27
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
AFC Bournemouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fulham AFC Bournemouth

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fulham FUL Home
13 matches
AFC Bournemouth BOU Away
Match Record
2
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
2
Goals
13
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
13
-13
Goal Difference
+13

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:07:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Leno
1 B. Leno
T. Castagne
21 T. Castagne
J. Andersen
5 J. Andersen
C. Bassey
3 C. Bassey
A. Robinson
33 A. Robinson
S. Lukić
20 S. Lukić
H. Reed
6 H. Reed
H. Wilson
8 H. Wilson
J. Kusi-Asare
18 J. Kusi-Asare
S. Chukwueze
19 S. Chukwueze
R. Jiménez Rodríguez
7 R. Jiménez Rodríguez
Đ. Petrović
1 Đ. Petrović
A. Truffert
3 A. Truffert
M. Senesi
5 M. Senesi
J. Hill
23 J. Hill
A. Jiménez Sánchez
20 A. Jiménez Sánchez
T. Adams
12 T. Adams
A. Scott
8 A. Scott
M. Tavernier
16 M. Tavernier
E. Kroupi
22 E. Kroupi
R. Rocha
37 R. Rocha
F. de Lima Barbosa
9 F. de Lima Barbosa

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Craven Cottage
Capacity :
25700
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Andy Madley
Nicholas Hopton
Craig Taylor
Paul Tierney

Expected Lineup

Referee : Andy Madley

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.79
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez Centre Forward
6.92
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Right Back
6.91
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Right Wing
7.14
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Left Back
6.79
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Right Back
6.78
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Left Back
6.73
18
Jonah Kusi-Asare
Jonah Kusi-Asare Attacking Midfield
6.46
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Defensive Midfield
6.85
6
Harrison Reed
Harrison Reed Defensive Midfield
6.68
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Left Wing
6.88
Referee : Andy Madley

Starting XI ▼

1
Djordje Petrovic
Djordje Petrovic Goalkeeper
6.79
9
Evanilson
Evanilson Centre Forward
6.8
37
Rayan
Rayan Right Wing
7.01
12
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams Defensive Midfield
6.8
22
Eli Kroupi
Eli Kroupi Attacking Midfield
6.87
3
Adrien Truffert
Adrien Truffert Left Back
6.82
5
Marcos Senesi
Marcos Senesi Left Back
7.07
8
Alex Scott
Alex Scott Defensive Midfield
7
16
Marcus Tavernier
Marcus Tavernier Left Wing
6.92
20
Álex Jiménez
Álex Jiménez Right Back
6.72
23
James Hill
James Hill Right Back
6.94

CONCLUSION

Bournemouth's superior power rating and form position them as marginal favorites in this Craven Cottage showdown, yet Fulham's home advantage could level proceedings. The Cherries' higher league standing underscores their consistency, but Cottagers thrive on spirited crowd support. Without standout set-piece edges or efficiency edges, the contest hinges on transition play and squad execution. Bournemouth's 2.6-point power lead hints at control, potentially yielding a narrow away win to bolster top-six aspirations. Fulham must rally defensively to counter visiting threats and snag points for stability.

Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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