Fredericia vs FC København Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Monjasa Park Sun, 3 May - 2:00 PM
Superliga
Fredericia Fredericia
Versus
FC København COP
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 2:00 PM
Round 8 Relegation Round

Fredericia vs FC København preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

CONTEXT

Fredericia host FC København in Superliga (Relegation Round) at Monjasa Park. Domestically, Fredericia sit 10th in the table while FC København are 7th. Power ranking favours FC København by 25.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC København holds a 25.2-point power advantage over Fredericia with scores of 69.48 to 44.27.
  • Form: FC København's form score of 25.28 outstrips Fredericia's 12.28.
  • Squad: Fredericia sit 10th in the Superliga, while FC København occupy 7th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence, proxy usage, and no xG availability for either side.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Fredericia 18.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.6% (Δ+0%) | FC København 61.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fredericia M. Hansen
M. Hansen
VS
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Odense BK Rank: 57 L
Randers FC Rank: 59 D
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 D
Odense BK Rank: 59 L
FC København Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Odense BK Rank: 58 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Randers FC Rank: 60 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 60 W
Fredericia Rank: 52 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fredericia
18.08%
Draw
20.55%
Away FC København
61.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
44.27
69.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredericia
FC København
Power Score
44.27
69.48
League Position
10
7
Global Rank
732
207

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredericia FC København

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredericia Fredericia Home
3 matches
FC København COP Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
4
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
1.01
xG
5.85
5.85
xGA
1.01

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:57:00+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
V. Thorsen
90 V. Thorsen
S. Crone
12 S. Crone
A. Nygaard Andersen
3 A. Nygaard Andersen
F. Thykær Rieper
5 F. Thykær Rieper
J. Jessen
8 J. Jessen
A. Andersen
18 A. Andersen
A. Dahl
14 A. Dahl
S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
J. Holm Lindekilde
21 J. Holm Lindekilde
D. Kristjánsson
17 D. Kristjánsson
F. Ubi Etim
25 F. Ubi Etim
D. Kotarski
1 D. Kotarski
M. López Lanfranco
15 M. López Lanfranco
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
P. Hatzidiakos
6 P. Hatzidiakos
J. Suzuki
20 J. Suzuki
M. Achouri
30 M. Achouri
W. Clem
36 W. Clem
M. Madsen
21 M. Madsen
J. Larsson
11 J. Larsson
M. Elyounoussi
10 M. Elyounoussi
A. Cornelius
14 A. Cornelius

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 8 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Monjasa Park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Morten Krogh
Esad Deronjic
Daniel Cortzen
Jacob Rasmussen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

90
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen Goalkeeper
6.9
25
Etim
Etim Centre Forward
6.97
8
Jakob Jessen
Jakob Jessen Left Back
6.84
3
Adam Nygaard Andersen
Adam Nygaard Andersen Right Back
6.55
5
Frederik Thykær Rieper
Frederik Thykær Rieper Left Back
6.99
12
Svenn Crone
Svenn Crone Right Back
6.46
14
Anders Dahl
Anders Dahl Defensive Midfield
6.47
16
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen Right Wing
6.83
17
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson Left Wing
6.64
18
Andreas Pyndt
Andreas Pyndt Defensive Midfield
6.72
21
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde Attacking Midfield
6.81
Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
6.79
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Midfielder
7.08
30
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri Midfielder
6.83
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius Centre Forward
6.71
6
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos Right Back
6.84
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Left Back
7.06
25
Zanka
Zanka Left Back
6.8
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Attacking Midfield
7.22
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Right Back
6.99
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Central Midfield
6.89
36
William Clem
William Clem Central Midfield
6.91

CONCLUSION

FC København approach this Relegation Round clash with clear superiority, their 25.2-point power edge and 25.28 form score positioning them to dominate Fredericia at Monjasa Park. The hosts, mired in 10th, need a monumental effort to counter the 7th-placed visitors' quality. Absent efficiency and detailed set piece insights, the preview emphasizes raw disparities driving expectations of København control. Fredericia's home tenacity could yield resistance, yet the structural chasm suggests the away side will claim crucial points, widening the gap in the survival battle.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Superliga, Denmark View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ