Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Raków Fri, 8 May - 4:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
Versus
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
KICKOFF : Fri, 8 May - 4:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

Raków Częstochowa vs Korona Kielce preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

Raków Częstochowa faces Korona Kielce at Stadion Raków in an Ekstraklasa regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts, sitting 4th in the domestic standings, hold a clear edge with a power score of 69.26 compared to the visitors' 60.34, translating to an 8.9-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form scores further tilt the balance, with Raków at 21 against Korona's 14.22, suggesting recent momentum favors the home side. League positions reinforce Raków's stronger standing, positioning them as favorites in this mid-table battle. Detailed metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to absent xG data and reliance on low-confidence proxies, limiting deeper insights into specialized areas. Transition play and squad specifics also lack granular detail, but overall power ratings point to Raków controlling possession and chances. Expect a disciplined home performance leveraging their higher ranking and venue familiarity.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Raków Częstochowa enjoys structural dominance with a 69.26 power score and 4th place versus Korona Kielce's 60.34 and 12th.
  • Form: Raków enters with a superior form score of 21 over Korona Kielce's 14.22.
  • Squad: Squad strength aligns with Raków's higher power rating and better league position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent, restricting advanced probabilistic insights.
  • Market: Projection split: Raków Częstochowa 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Korona Kielce 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Raków Częstochowa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
VS
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 59 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 D
Widzew Lodz Rank: 60 D
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 D
Katowice Rank: 64 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 65 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Raków Częstochowa
0%
Draw
0%
Away Korona Kielce
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.26
60.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Raków Częstochowa
Korona Kielce
Power Score
69.26
60.34
League Position
4
12
Global Rank
215
465

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Raków Częstochowa Korona Kielce

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa Home
10 matches
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
5
Goals
11
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
11
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:59:45+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 08, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Raków
Capacity
11600
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

48
Oliwier Zych
Oliwier Zych Goalkeeper
1
Kacper Trelowski
Kacper Trelowski Goalkeeper
29
Wiktor Żołneczko
Wiktor Żołneczko Goalkeeper
31
Dominik Czeremski
Dominik Czeremski Goalkeeper
27
Paweł Dawidowicz
Paweł Dawidowicz Defender
24
Zoran Arsenić
Zoran Arsenić Defender
4
Efstratios Svarnas
Efstratios Svarnas Defender
25
Bogdan Racovitan
Bogdan Racovitan Defender
2
Ariel Mosór
Ariel Mosór Defender
21
Jerzy Napieraj
Jerzy Napieraj Defender
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor Midfielder
10
Iván López Álvarez
Iván López Álvarez Midfielder
30
Vladyslav Kochergin
Vladyslav Kochergin Midfielder
20
Jean Carlos Silva Rocha
Jean Carlos Silva Rocha Midfielder
26
Erick Ouma Otieno
Erick Ouma Otieno Midfielder
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Midfielder
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat Midfielder
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw Midfielder
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Midfielder
23
Karol Struski
Karol Struski Midfielder
8
Tomasz Pieńko
Tomasz Pieńko Midfielder
11
Adriano Luis Amorim Santos
Adriano Luis Amorim Santos Midfielder
35
Mitja Ilenič
Mitja Ilenič Midfielder
44
Bogdan Mirčetić
Bogdan Mirčetić Midfielder
22
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo Midfielder
18
Jonatan Braut Brunes
Jonatan Braut Brunes Attacker
17
Leonardo Miramar Rocha
Leonardo Miramar Rocha Attacker
80
Mohamed Lamine Diaby Fadiga
Mohamed Lamine Diaby Fadiga Attacker
39
Isak Brusberg
Isak Brusberg Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
87
Rafał Mamla
Rafał Mamla Goalkeeper
22
Michał Niedbała
Michał Niedbała Goalkeeper
12
Michał Mikielewicz
Michał Mikielewicz Goalkeeper
44
Constantinos Soteriou
Constantinos Soteriou Defender
23
Slobodan Rubežić
Slobodan Rubežić Defender
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Defender
5
Pau Resta Tell
Pau Resta Tell Defender
24
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk Defender
86
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson Midfielder
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Midfielder
77
Marcin Cebula
Marcin Cebula Midfielder
7
Dawid Błanik
Dawid Błanik Midfielder
10
David González Plata
David González Plata Midfielder
3
Konrad Matuszewski
Konrad Matuszewski Midfielder
71
Wiktor Długosz
Wiktor Długosz Midfielder
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Midfielder
15
Nikodem Niski
Nikodem Niski Midfielder
26
Victor Popov
Victor Popov Midfielder
27
Wojciech Kamiński
Wojciech Kamiński Midfielder
37
Hubert Zwoźny
Hubert Zwoźny Midfielder
9
Stjepan Davidović
Stjepan Davidović Midfielder
21
Konrad Ciszek
Konrad Ciszek Midfielder
20
Kacper Minuczyc
Kacper Minuczyc Midfielder
19
Adam Hańćko
Adam Hańćko Midfielder
14
Mariusz Stępiński
Mariusz Stępiński Attacker
11
Vladimir Nikolaev Nikolov
Vladimir Nikolaev Nikolov Attacker
70
Antonio Cortés Heredia
Antonio Cortés Heredia Attacker
17
Mateusz Głowiński
Mateusz Głowiński Attacker

CONCLUSION

Raków Częstochowa's advantages in power, form, and league position make them the standout choice at home against Korona Kielce. The 8.9-point edge and superior standings suggest control in key phases, even without detailed efficiency or set-piece breakdowns. Korona's lower metrics indicate vulnerability, particularly away from home. While data gaps exist, the analytical balance heavily favors Raków dictating tempo and converting opportunities effectively. This setup points to a home victory, capitalizing on structural strengths for vital points in the Ekstraklasa race.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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