Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard Stadion Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard FOR
Versus
PEC Zwolle PEC
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 2:45 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fortuna Sittard hosts PEC Zwolle at Fortuna Sittard Stadion in an Eredivisie regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 term. The home side occupies 13th place, trailing the visitors in 12th by a narrow margin. PEC Zwolle arrives with a slight edge in power ratings, scoring 63.48 to Fortuna's 61.08 for a 2.4-point advantage. Form trends strongly favor the away team at 12 points against the hosts' 6.83. Detailed records from recent outings remain unavailable, heightening anticipation for this mid-table showdown. League positions underscore their closeness, with domestic standings confirming the context. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces draw from low-confidence proxies without xG data, emphasizing raw execution. Home support could prove decisive in a balanced setup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: PEC Zwolle holds a 2.4-point power advantage over Fortuna Sittard with scores of 63.48 versus 61.08.
  • Form: PEC Zwolle boasts a superior form score of 12 compared to Fortuna Sittard's 6.83.
  • Squad: Squad composition details unavailable for both Fortuna Sittard and PEC Zwolle.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Transition: Transition phase data absent for this matchup preview.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies for both teams without xG availability.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Fortuna Sittard 45.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.2% (Δ+0%) | PEC Zwolle 30% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fortuna Sittard D. Buijs
D. Buijs
VS
PEC Zwolle Henry van der Vegt
Henry van der Vegt
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Feyenoord Rank: 76 L
SC Heerenveen Rank: 69 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 D
AZ Rank: 76 L
FC Twente Rank: 76 L
FC Volendam Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Heracles Almelo Rank: 56 W
PSV Rank: 85 L
Excelsior Rank: 58 D
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 L
NAC Breda Rank: 54 W
FC Groningen Rank: 66 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fortuna Sittard
45.81%
Draw
24.19%
Away PEC Zwolle
30%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.08
63.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
Power Score
61.08
63.48
League Position
13
12
Global Rank
452
378

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fortuna Sittard — Opponent-weighted form score
PEC Zwolle — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fortuna Sittard PEC Zwolle

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fortuna Sittard FOR Home
13 matches
PEC Zwolle PEC Away
Match Record
4
Wins
7
2
Draws
2
7
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
15
-8
Goal Difference
+8

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:07:03+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Branderhorst
31 M. Branderhorst
N. Kasanwirjo
21 N. Kasanwirjo
I. Márquez Álvarez
44 I. Márquez Álvarez
J. Hubner
28 J. Hubner
Y. Oukili
5 Y. Oukili
S. van Ottele
6 S. van Ottele
K. Peterson
7 K. Peterson
M. Ihattaren
52 M. Ihattaren
L. Duijvestijn
70 L. Duijvestijn
D. Limnios
18 D. Limnios
K. Sierhuis
9 K. Sierhuis
T. de Graaff
16 T. de Graaff
T. Velthuis
5 T. Velthuis
A. McNulty
4 A. McNulty
S. Graves Jensen
28 S. Graves Jensen
O. Aertssen
3 O. Aertssen
Z. Buurmeester
8 Z. Buurmeester
R. Thomas
30 R. Thomas
K. de Rooij
22 K. de Rooij
T. Oosting
25 T. Oosting
O. Velanas
18 O. Velanas
K. Kostons
10 K. Kostons

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 02:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Capacity :
12500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Richard Martens
Martijn Beijer
Kevin Weever
Niels Boel

Expected Lineup

Referee : Richard Martens

Starting XI ▼

31
Mattijs Branderhorst
Mattijs Branderhorst Goalkeeper
7.06
9
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis Centre Forward
7.07
5
Yassin Oukili
Yassin Oukili Left Back
6.56
6
Syb van Ottele
Syb van Ottele Defensive Midfield
6.64
7
Kristoffer Peterson
Kristoffer Peterson Defensive Midfield
6.67
18
Dimitrios Limnios
Dimitrios Limnios Left Wing
6.85
21
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
Neraysho Kasanwirjo Right Back
6.69
28
Justin Hubner
Justin Hubner Left Back
6.75
44
Iván Márquez
Iván Márquez Right Back
6.77
52
Mohamed Ihattaren
Mohamed Ihattaren Right Wing
7.23
70
Lance Duijvestijn
Lance Duijvestijn Attacking Midfield
7.04
Referee : Richard Martens

Starting XI ▼

16
Tom de Graaff
Tom de Graaff Goalkeeper
6.89
10
Koen Kostons
Koen Kostons Centre Forward
7
4
Anselmo García MacNulty
Anselmo García MacNulty Left Back
6.7
5
Tijs Velthuis
Tijs Velthuis Left Back
6.48
8
Zico Buurmeester
Zico Buurmeester Defensive Midfield
6.36
18
Odysseus Velanas
Odysseus Velanas Right Wing
6.88
22
Kaj de Rooij
Kaj de Rooij Left Wing
6.81
25
Thijs Oosting
Thijs Oosting Attacking Midfield
6.81
28
Simon Graves
Simon Graves Right Back
6.79
30
Ryan Thomas
Ryan Thomas Defensive Midfield
6.91
3
Olivier Aertssen
Olivier Aertssen Right Back
6.59

CONCLUSION

PEC Zwolle's form and power edge make them intriguing challengers, yet Fortuna Sittard's home venue levels prospects in this Eredivisie tilt. Mid-table stakes demand sharp focus amid sparse advanced insights. Proxies hint at set piece uncertainties, while transitions loom large without specifics. Baseline views tilt homeward slightly, promising tension. Execution trumps data voids here, with league positions fueling rivalry. Anticipate grit defining the result in a fixture blending parity and potential.

Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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