Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadio Artemio Franchi Today - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Fiorentina FIO
Versus
Crystal Palace CRY
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Quarter Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3

CONTEXT

The Europa Conference League quarter-final second leg sees Fiorentina welcome Crystal Palace to the Stadio Artemio Franchi. After suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat in the opening encounter away from home, the Italian side faces an uphill battle to progress in the competition. Crystal Palace enters this fixture with a commanding aggregate lead and impressive form, having gone unbeaten across their last six outings. Despite this, power ratings give a slight edge to Fiorentina, indicating their underlying quality may yet influence the outcome on home soil. Recent matches between these teams highlight Palace's current superiority, yet the home crowd could inspire a strong response from the hosts. Both clubs have shown resilience throughout the season, with Fiorentina sitting mid-table domestically and Palace enjoying a respectable position in their league. This encounter promises tactical intrigue as the visitors aim to protect their advantage while the home team pushes aggressively for goals.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Second leg of the quarter-final tie with Crystal Palace holding a 3-0 aggregate lead from the first match.
  • Form: Fiorentina have a mixed record of three wins and three losses while Palace boast an unbeaten run with three wins and three draws.
  • Squad: Injuries may impact Fiorentina's attacking options whereas Crystal Palace field a near full strength group for the away fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency appears comparable although specific advanced statistics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Rapid transitions define both sides' styles leading to potentially vulnerable defensive moments during the game.
  • Set pieces: Set piece situations offer limited insights due to lack of comprehensive data for either Fiorentina or Crystal Palace.
  • xVariable: Power score indicates a marginal preference for the home side despite trailing significantly on aggregate.
  • Market: Fiorentina 30.1% (Δ+0.2%) | Draw 28.7% (Δ-0.1%) | Crystal Palace 41.2% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fiorentina P. Vanoli
P. Vanoli
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Lausanne Sport Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: W
AEK Larnaca Rank: D
Zrinjski Rank: W
Zrinjski Rank: D
KuPS Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fiorentina
30.08%
Draw
28.7%
Away Crystal Palace
41.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
Fiorentina
+0.17%
Draw
-0.07%
Crystal Palace
-0.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.03
33.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Power Score
36.03
33.26
League Position
15
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fiorentina — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fiorentina Crystal Palace

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fiorentina FIO Home
1 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0.61
xG
3.20
3.20
xGA
0.61

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:02:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
D. de Gea Quintana
43 D. de Gea Quintana
P. Comuzzo
15 P. Comuzzo
M. Pongracic
5 M. Pongracic
L. Ranieri
6 L. Ranieri
R. Gosens
21 R. Gosens
G. Fabbian
80 G. Fabbian
N. Fagioli
44 N. Fagioli
C. Ndour
27 C. Ndour
J. Harrison
17 J. Harrison
R. Piccoli
91 R. Piccoli
A. Gudmundsson
10 A. Gudmundsson
D. Henderson
1 D. Henderson
J. Canvot
23 J. Canvot
M. Lacroix
5 M. Lacroix
C. Richards
26 C. Richards
T. Mitchell
3 T. Mitchell
D. Kamada
18 D. Kamada
A. Wharton
20 A. Wharton
D. Muñoz Mejía
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
J. Strand Larsen
22 J. Strand Larsen
I. Sarr
7 I. Sarr

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 16, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Quarter Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Capacity
43147
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jesús Gil Manzano
Ángel Nevado Rodríguez
Guadalupe Porras Ayuso
Juan Martínez Munuera

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI ▼

43
David de Gea
David de Gea Goalkeeper
6.73
5
Marin Pongracic
Marin Pongracic Defender
6.78
6
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Defender
6.92
21
Robin Gosens
Robin Gosens Defender
7.05
15
Pietro Comuzzo
Pietro Comuzzo Defender
6.63
44
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder
6.84
27
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Midfielder
7.15
80
Giovanni Fabbian
Giovanni Fabbian Midfielder
6.77
10
Albert Gudmundsson
Albert Gudmundsson Attacker
6.95
17
Jack Harrison
Jack Harrison Attacker
6.86
91
Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli Attacker
6.9
Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.7
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
7.34
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Defender
7.14
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
7.19
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.89
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
7.18
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada Midfielder
7.13
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton Midfielder
7.08
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr Attacker
7.18
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
7.27
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Jørgen Strand Larsen Attacker
6.72

CONCLUSION

With the aggregate score standing at 0-3, Fiorentina needs to produce a remarkable comeback performance to eliminate Crystal Palace. The home environment at Stadio Artemio Franchi should fuel their players to press high and seek early goals. Palace, buoyed by their first-leg success and strong recent record, will look to frustrate the opposition and capitalize on any spaces left behind. Squad rotations might play a role as both managers balance domestic and European commitments. Although data on certain metrics remains limited, the contest will likely hinge on attacking efficiency and defensive organization. Ultimately, the visitors hold a significant cushion, making it a tough assignment for the home side to overturn the deficit within the remaining match time.

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