Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Fenerbahçe FEN
Versus
Rizespor Rizespor
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fenerbahçe, currently second in the Super Lig, face Rizespor who sit in eighth position at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. With a power score of 39.95 compared to the visitors' 24.95, the home team enjoys a substantial 15-point advantage, underlining their status as the stronger side this season. Recent form is positive for both, as Fenerbahçe have collected four wins, a draw and a loss from six matches, while Rizespor boast four wins from their last six. The hosts earned their latest win on the road against Kayserispor, matching Rizespor's home success over Gaziantep F.K. This league fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign presents Fenerbahçe with an opportunity to press for the title, while Rizespor aim to improve their standing through organized resistance. The home advantage and squad quality give Fenerbahçe the upper hand, yet the visitors' recent results suggest they will not surrender easily in what promises to be an engaging contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fenerbahçe hold 15-point power advantage from 2nd vs 8th place at home.
  • Form: Both strong with four wins from last six; Fenerbahçe W4 D1 L1, Rizespor W4 L2.
  • Squad: Superior squad depth for Fenerbahçe aligns with their higher league position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics currently unavailable for detailed comparison.
  • Transition: Fenerbahçe expected to dominate transitional phases through overall strength.
  • Set pieces: Limited data with low confidence and proxy metrics for both teams.
  • xVariable: Advanced variables like xG not available for this fixture analysis.
  • Market: Fenerbahçe 70.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 18.5% (Δ+0%) | Rizespor 10.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fenerbahçe D. Tedesco
D. Tedesco
VS
Rizespor R. Uçar
R. Uçar
2.38
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: L
Samsunspor Rank: W
Antalyaspor Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: L
Trabzonspor Rank: L
Antalyaspor Rank: W
Kasımpaşa Rank: W
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 4 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fenerbahçe
70.88%
Draw
18.53%
Away Rizespor
10.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
39.95
24.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fenerbahçe
Rizespor
Power Score
39.95
24.95
League Position
2
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fenerbahçe — Opponent-weighted form score
Rizespor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fenerbahçe Rizespor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fenerbahçe FEN Home
27 matches
Rizespor Rizespor Away
Match Record
21
Wins
2
4
Draws
4
2
Losses
21
Goals
72
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
72
+44
Goal Difference
-44
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T00:03:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
E. Santana de Moraes
31 E. Santana de Moraes
N. Cabral Semedo
27 N. Cabral Semedo
M. Škriniar
37 M. Škriniar
C. Söyüncü
4 C. Söyüncü
A. Brown
3 A. Brown
N. Kanté
17 N. Kanté
M. Guendouzi Olié
6 M. Guendouzi Olié
N. Dorgeles
45 N. Dorgeles
A. Souza Conceição
94 A. Souza Conceição
M. Aktürkoğlu
9 M. Aktürkoğlu
S. Cherif
26 S. Cherif
Y. Fofana
75 Y. Fofana
M. Sagnan
27 M. Sagnan
S. Akaydin
3 S. Akaydin
A. Mocsi
4 A. Mocsi
M. Pala
54 M. Pala
T. Antalyalı
14 T. Antalyalı
V. Mihăilă
7 V. Mihăilă
Q. Laçi
20 Q. Laçi
I. Olawoyin
10 I. Olawoyin
L. António Augusto
45 L. António Augusto
A. Sowe
9 A. Sowe

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 17, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
Capacity
50530
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

31
Ederson
Ederson Goalkeeper
6.87
26
Sidiki Chérif
Sidiki Chérif Centre Forward
6.55
3
Archie Brown
Archie Brown Left Back
6.94
27
Nélson Semedo
Nélson Semedo Right Back
6.89
94
Talisca
Talisca Attacking Midfield
7.3
4
Çağlar Söyüncü
Çağlar Söyüncü Left Back
7.02
6
Mattéo Guendouzi
Mattéo Guendouzi Defensive Midfield
7.35
17
N'Golo Kanté
N'Golo Kanté Defensive Midfield
7.14
37
Milan Škriniar
Milan Škriniar Right Back
7.09
45
Dorgeles Nene
Dorgeles Nene Right Wing
7.16
9
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Kerem Aktürkoğlu Left Wing
7.09

Starting XI ▼

75
Yahia Fofana
Yahia Fofana Goalkeeper
6.86
7
Valentin Mihăilă
Valentin Mihăilă Midfielder
6.78
45
Loide Augusto
Loide Augusto Midfielder
6.87
9
Ali Sowe
Ali Sowe Centre Forward
6.69
10
Ibrahim Olawoyin
Ibrahim Olawoyin Central Midfield
6.79
20
Qazim Laci
Qazim Laci Central Midfield
7.22
3
Samet Akaydin
Samet Akaydin Left Back
7.16
4
Attila Mocsi
Attila Mocsi Right Back
6.68
14
T. Antalyalı
T. Antalyalı Defensive Midfield
6.63
27
Modibo Sagnan
Modibo Sagnan Left Back
6.81
54
Mithat Pala
Mithat Pala Right Back
6.71

CONCLUSION

Fenerbahçe are well placed to claim victory at home against Rizespor, thanks to their second-place standing and significant power advantage. While both teams show good form with multiple recent wins, the hosts' quality at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium should prove decisive. Rizespor will attempt to frustrate their opponents and exploit any openings. Yet the gap in squad strength makes it a tough assignment for the away side. Expect an assertive start from Fenerbahçe as they seek to build on their last outing.

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