FC Bayern München vs Atalanta Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Allianz Arena Wed, 18 Mar - 8:00 PM
Champions League
FC Bayern München FCB
4 Winner 1
Atalanta ATA
Full Time Wed, 18 Mar 8:00 PM
Harry Kane - 25' (P), 54'
Lennart Karl - 56'
Luis Díaz - 70'
Goal
|
Goal
Lazar Samardžić - 85'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. FC Bayern München 4–1 Atalanta. The result saw FC Bayern München take the points. FC Bayern München showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 70%–30%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Bayern München showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: FC Bayern München 69.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.2% (Δ+0%) | Atalanta 13.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
FC Bayern München V. Kompany
V. Kompany
VS
Atalanta R. Palladino
R. Palladino
2.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.17
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
PSV Rank: 86 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 84 W
Sporting CP Rank: 88 W
Arsenal Rank: 100 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 93 W
Club Brugge Rank: 83 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
Chelsea Rank: 91 W
Eintracht Frankfurt Rank: 81 W
Olympique Marseille Rank: 82 W
Slavia Praha Rank: 79 D
Club Brugge Rank: 83 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Bayern München
69.34%
Draw
17.24%
Away Atalanta
13.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
98.94
84.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Bayern München
Atalanta
Power Score
98.94
84.71
League Position
2
15
Global Rank
2
31

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Bayern München — Opponent-weighted form score
Atalanta — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Bayern München Atalanta

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Bayern München

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Atalanta

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Bayern München ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Atalanta
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.36
51.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
51.50
40.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Bayern München -0.84 Efficiency Index
vs
Atalanta +0.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Bayern München
Atalanta
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Bayern München ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Atalanta
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Bayern München Atalanta
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Bayern München Atalanta
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Bayern München
Atalanta
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Bayern München FCB Home
1 matches
Atalanta ATA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
6
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-19T00:06:17+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
J. Urbig
Germany
40 J. Urbig
J. Stanisic
Croatia
44 J. Stanisic
M. Kim
South Korea
3 M. Kim
J. Tah
Germany
4 J. Tah
T. Bischof
Substitution
Germany
20 T. Bischof
L. Goretzka
Germany
8 L. Goretzka
A. Pavlović
Substitution
Germany
45 A. Pavlović
L. Karl
42 L. Karl
R. Guerreiro
Substitution
Portugal
22 R. Guerreiro
L. Díaz Marulanda
Colombia
14 L. Díaz Marulanda
H. Kane
Substitution
England
9 H. Kane
M. Sportiello
Italy
57 M. Sportiello
G. Scalvini
Substitution
Italy
42 G. Scalvini
I. Hien
Sweden
4 I. Hien
K. Odilon
Ivory Coast
3 K. Odilon
L. Bernasconi
Italy
47 L. Bernasconi
É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
Substitution
Brazil
13 É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
M. Pašalić
Croatia
8 M. Pašalić
R. Bellanova
Italy
16 R. Bellanova
K. Sulemana
Substitution
Ghana
7 K. Sulemana
C. De Ketelaere
Substitution
Belgium
17 C. De Ketelaere
G. Scamacca
Substitution
Italy
9 G. Scamacca

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 18, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Stadium
Allianz Arena
Capacity
75024
Attendance
75000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Benoît Bastien
Hicham Zakrani
Aurélien Berthomieu
Mathieu Vernice

Statistics

Possession
FCB
67%
ATA
33%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
8 Big Chances Created 4
8 Shots 8
65 Dangerous attacks 29
70 Possession 30
6 Corners 3
3 Free kicks 8

Match Overview

14 Throwins 9
5 Successful Headers 6
8 Goal Kicks 9
15 Dribble Attempts 12
10 Successful Dribbles 4
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
1 Penalties 0
16 Goal Attempts 13
3 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5
85 Ball Safe 72

Attacking

169 Attacks 39
5 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

859 Passes 351
37 Long Passes 44
22 Key Passes 10
93 Successful Passes Percentage 85
801 Successful Passes 298
25 Successful Long Passes 26
68 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

Defensive

9 Interceptions 11
7 Saves 4
19 Tackles 9
36 Duels Won 27

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 13
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

8 Fouls 4
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Benoît Bastien

Starting XI ▼

40
Jonas Urbig
Jonas Urbig Goalkeeper
3
Min-jae Kim
Min-jae Kim Defender
4
Jonathan Tah
Jonathan Tah Defender
20
Tom Bischof
Tom Bischof Defender
7
Serge Gnabry
Serge Gnabry
Attacker72'
44
Josip Stanisic
Josip Stanisic Defender
8
Leon Goretzka
Leon Goretzka Midfielder
14
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz Midfielder
22
Raphaël Guerreiro
Raphaël Guerreiro Midfielder
21
Hiroki Ito
Hiroki Ito
Defender83'
42
Lennart Karl
Lennart Karl Midfielder
45
Aleksandar Pavlovic
Aleksandar Pavlovic Midfielder
34
Deniz Ofli
Deniz Ofli
Defender56'
9
Harry Kane
Harry Kane Attacker
2
11
Nicolas Jackson
Nicolas Jackson
Attacker72'
Referee : Benoît Bastien

Starting XI ▼

57
Marco Sportiello
Marco Sportiello Goalkeeper
3
Odilon Kossounou
Odilon Kossounou Defender
4
Isak Hien
Isak Hien Defender
42
Giorgio Scalvini
Giorgio Scalvini Defender
69
Honest Ahanor
Honest Ahanor
Defender83'
8
Mario Pašalić
Mario Pašalić Midfielder
13
Éderson
Éderson Midfielder
15
Marten de Roon
Marten de Roon
Midfielder57'
16
Raoul Bellanova
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder
7
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Kamaldeen Sulemana Attacker
18
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori
Attacker71'
9
Gianluca Scamacca
Gianluca Scamacca Attacker
90
Nikola Krstović
Nikola Krstović
Attacker71'
17
Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere Attacker
10
Lazar Samardžić
Lazar Samardžić
Midfielder57'

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Lazar Samardžić
Header / 4th Goal
Event
Hiroki Ito → Raphaël Guerreiro
9th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Honest Ahanor → Giorgio Scalvini
8th Substitution
Event
Serge Gnabry → Tom Bischof
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Nicolas Jackson → Harry Kane
7th Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Nikola Krstović → Gianluca Scamacca
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Giacomo Raspadori → Kamaldeen Sulemana
5th Substitution
Event
Luis Díaz
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
70'
57'
Event
Marten de Roon → Éderson
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Lazar Samardžić → Charles De Ketelaere
3rd Substitution
Event
Lennart Karl
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
56'
Event
Deniz Ofli → Aleksandar Pavlovic
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Harry Kane
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
54'
1ST-HALF
Event
Harry Kane
Review
25'
Event
Harry Kane
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
25'
Event
Harry Kane
Penalty awarded
22'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Odilon Kossounou allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: FC Bayern München 4, Atalanta 1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Nikola Krstovic from Atalanta attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
89
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Min-Jae Kim from FC Bayern München attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went over the bar and to the right. The assist came from Nicolas Jackson.
87
Corner Corner
Goal! FC Bayern München 4, Atalanta 1. Lazar Samardzic from Atalanta heads the ball into the net from the right side of the six-yard box following a corner kick.
87
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Odilon Kossounou of Atalanta takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the goal and to the right.
85
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Atalanta after Min-Jae Kim allowed the ball to go out.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Bayern München 4, Atalanta 1. Lazar Samardzic scores for Atalanta with a header from the right side of the six-yard box, finding the bottom right corner. The assist came from Mario Pasalic following a corner kick.
84
Update Update
Jonathan Tah commits a foul against FC Bayern München.
84
Update Update
Nikola Krstovic from Atalanta has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Honest Ahanor comes on to replace Giorgio Scalvini.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Hiroki Ito comes on to replace Raphaël Guerreiro.
82
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nicolas Jackson from FC Bayern München took a shot with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the right. The assist came from Luis Díaz.
80
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort unfolds. Lazar Samardzic from Atalanta takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Jonas Urbig, the goalkeeper for FC Bayern München, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Marten de Roon.
79
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Nicolas Jackson.
77
Update Update
Marten de Roon from Atalanta committed a foul.
77
Update Update
Raphaël Guerreiro from FC Bayern München has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
76
Update Update
Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München committed a foul.
76
Update Update
Raoul Bellanova from Atalanta has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
73
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds. Raoul Bellanova from Atalanta takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Jonas Urbig of FC Bayern München makes a save, pushing the ball to the right corner.
73
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Atalanta after Jonas Urbig allowed the ball to go out of play.
73
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted! Giorgio Scalvini of Atalanta heads the ball from close range but sends it over the bar. The assist came from Giacomo Raspadori, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
72
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Filip Pavic comes on to replace Josip Stanisic.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Filip Pavic comes on to replace Josip Stanisic.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Serge Gnabry comes on to replace Tom Bischof.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Giacomo Raspadori comes on to replace Kamaldeen Sulemana.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Nikola Krstovic is coming on to replace Gianluca Scamacca.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Nicolas Jackson is coming on to replace Harry Kane.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Bayern München leads 4-0 against Atalanta. Luis Díaz scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Lennart Karl after a quick counterattack.
69
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Mario Pasalic from Atalanta attempts a header from the center of the penalty area. However, Jonas Urbig of FC Bayern München makes a fantastic save, denying the shot aimed at the top left corner. The assist came from Lorenzo Bernasconi, who delivered a precise cross.
67
Update Update
Gianluca Scamacca of Atalanta commits a handball.
64
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Lorenzo Bernasconi from Atalanta attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
60
Update Update
Jonathan Tah committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
60
Update Update
Gianluca Scamacca of Atalanta has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
60
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push. Kamaldeen Sulemana from Atalanta takes a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the left, but it’s stopped by the goalkeeper, Jonas Urbig, who is positioned centrally. The assist came from Lorenzo Bernasconi.
58
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Lennart Karl from FC Bayern München took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Josip Stanisic.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Marten de Roon comes on to replace Éderson.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Atalanta: Lazar Samardzic comes on to replace Charles De Ketelaere.
56
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for FC Bayern München: Deniz Ofli replaces Aleksandar Pavlovic.
56
Update Update
Charles De Ketelaere from Atalanta earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
56
Update Update
Deniz Ofli of FC Bayern München committed a foul.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Bayern München leads Atalanta 3-0. Lennart Karl from FC Bayern München scores with a left-footed shot from the middle of the box into the left corner of the net. The assist came from Luis Díaz.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Bayern München leads 2-0 against Atalanta. Harry Kane scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist came from Josip Stanisic.
53
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push. Raoul Bellanova from Atalanta takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper.
52
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harry Kane of FC Bayern München takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Raphaël Guerreiro.
52
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Raphaël Guerreiro from FC Bayern München took a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it went just wide. The assist came from Josip Stanisic.
50
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Gianluca Scamacca from Atalanta takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area. However, the attempt is thwarted by FC Bayern München's goalkeeper, Jonas Urbig, who makes a save right in the center of the goal. The setup for the shot came from Charles De Ketelaere, who delivered a precise cross.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Éderson allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with FC Bayern München leading Atalanta 1-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Harry Kane.
45
Update Update
The second half has begun with the score at FC Bayern München 1, Atalanta 0.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Atalanta after Jonas Urbig allowed the ball to go out.
44
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Atalanta after Jonas Urbig allowed the ball to go out.
41
Update Update
Offside call against Atalanta. Charles De Ketelaere is caught in an offside position.
41
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Giorgio Scalvini from Atalanta took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal and to the right.
39
Update Update
Jonathan Tah committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
39
Update Update
Gianluca Scamacca of Atalanta has earned a free kick in an attacking position.
38
Update Update
Kamaldeen Sulemana from Atalanta has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
38
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Lennart Karl of FC Bayern München attempted a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Aleksandar Pavlovic.
38
Update Update
Kamaldeen Sulemana of Atalanta has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
34
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Leon Goretzka from FC Bayern München attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
31
Update Update
Offside call against FC Bayern München. Luis Díaz has been caught in an offside position.
31
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Aleksandar Pavlovic from FC Bayern München fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. The assist came from Lennart Karl.
30
Update Update
Offside call against Atalanta. Charles De Ketelaere is caught in an offside position.
29
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Lennart Karl of FC Bayern München attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the left of the goal. The assist came from Josip Stanisic.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! FC Bayern München takes the lead 1-0 against Atalanta. Harry Kane steps up and successfully converts the penalty, striking it with his right foot into the bottom right corner.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Kamaldeen Sulemana allowed the ball to go out of play.
22
Update Update
VAR Review: Potential Penalty for FC Bayern München.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München, following a defensive play by Giorgio Scalvini.
21
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harry Kane from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Luis Díaz from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Jonathan Tah.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Raoul Bellanova allowed the ball to go out.
20
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Lennart Karl of FC Bayern München takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails over the crossbar. The assist came from Raphaël Guerreiro following a corner kick.
19
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC Bayern München after Odilon Kossounou allowed the ball to go out.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to FC Bayern München after Raoul Bellanova allowed the ball to go out.
17
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds. Tom Bischof from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Marco Sportiello, the goalkeeper for Atalanta, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Aleksandar Pavlovic.
16
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to FC Bayern München after Éderson allowed the ball to go out.
16
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Lennart Karl from FC Bayern München fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds. Aleksandar Pavlovic from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
12
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive move unfolds. Raphaël Guerreiro from FC Bayern München takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but Marco Sportiello, the goalkeeper for Atalanta, makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Luis Díaz.
12
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harry Kane from FC Bayern München takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
10
Update Update
Jonathan Tah from FC Bayern München has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
10
Update Update
Gianluca Scamacca from Atalanta committed a foul.
9
Update Update
Éderson from Atalanta has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
9
Update Update
Leon Goretzka of FC Bayern München committed a foul.
9
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Luis Díaz of FC Bayern München attempted a right-footed shot from within the six-yard box, but it sailed over the left side of the goal.
5
Update Update
Jonathan Tah committed a foul against FC Bayern München.
5
Update Update
Gianluca Scamacca from Atalanta earned a free kick in the defensive zone.
5
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move underway. Raphaël Guerreiro from FC Bayern München takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's blocked by the goalkeeper.
3
Update Update
Offside call against Atalanta. Lorenzo Bernasconi has been flagged for being offside.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Bayern München exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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