FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Camp Nou Sun, 22 Mar - 1:00 PM
La Liga
FC Barcelona BAR
1 Winner 0
Rayo Vallecano RAY
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 1:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season
Ronald Araujo - 24'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between FC Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano has officially finished with a full-time score of 0-0. This scoreless draw represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, negatively impacting FC Barcelona. The home side entered the contest as heavy favorites with a 77.7% probability of victory, while the pre-match market gave a draw just a 12.8% chance and a Rayo Vallecano win only 9.5%. Consequently, the final result was completely unaligned with the pre-match market expectations. On the pitch, FC Barcelona controlled the tempo, holding 61% possession compared to Rayo Vallecano's 39%. However, the attacking metrics were much more evenly matched. Barcelona generated 1.59 expected goals (xG) to Rayo's 1.38 xG. Because this differential was quite narrow, the drawn outcome was ultimately consistent with the expected goals data. Furthermore, both teams' overall attacking efficiency was in line with expectations, as neither squad could find the clinical edge needed to secure a goal. The

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Barcelona showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
FC Barcelona H. Flick
H. Flick
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
2.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Oviedo Rank: 70 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 82 L
Espanyol Rank: 74 W
Villarreal Rank: 84 W
Osasuna Rank: 79 W
Real Betis Rank: 82 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: 83 L
Mallorca Rank: 75 W
Getafe Rank: 76 D
Elche Rank: 73 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Espanyol Rank: 74 L
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 3 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Barcelona
77.71%
Draw
12.84%
Away Rayo Vallecano
9.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
96.69
76.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
96.69
76.99
League Position
1
14
Global Rank
4
81

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
FC Barcelona Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Barcelona Rayo Vallecano

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

FC Barcelona

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Rayo Vallecano

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Barcelona ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.28
25.90
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.90
28.28
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Barcelona +0.22 Efficiency Index
vs
Rayo Vallecano -0.22 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Barcelona
vs
Rayo Vallecano
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Barcelona Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Barcelona Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
FC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Barcelona BAR Home
22 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
16
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
16
Goals
64
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
64
+48
Goal Difference
-48
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:23:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Pons
Spain
13 J. Pons
R. Araújo da Silva
Uruguay
4 (C) R. Araújo da Silva
P. Cubarsí Paredes
Spain
5 P. Cubarsí Paredes
G. Martín Langreo
Spain
18 G. Martín Langreo
J. Cavaco Cancelo
Substitution
Portugal
2 J. Cavaco Cancelo
M. Bernal Casas
Substitution
Spain
22 M. Bernal Casas
P. López
Spain
8 P. López
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
Substitution
Spain
10 L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
F. López Marín
Substitution
Spain
16 F. López Marín
Raphinha
Brazil
11 Raphinha
R. Lewandowski
Substitution
Poland
9 R. Lewandowski
A. Batalla Barga
Argentina
13 A. Batalla Barga
J. Chavarría Pérez
Spain
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
P. Ciss
Senegal
6 P. Ciss
F. Lejeune
France
24 F. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
Romania
2 A. Ratiu
Ó. Martín Luengo
Substitution
Spain
23 (C) Ó. Martín Luengo
P. Díaz Fanjul
Substitution
Spain
4 P. Díaz Fanjul
F. Perez Martinez
Substitution
Spain
21 F. Perez Martinez
G. Gumbau Garriga
Substitution
Spain
15 G. Gumbau Garriga
C. Martín Domínguez
Substitution
Spain
14 C. Martín Domínguez
I. Palazón Camacho
Spain
7 I. Palazón Camacho

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Camp Nou
Capacity
99354
Attendance
56812
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Adrián Cordero Vega
Israel Bárcena Rodríguez
Judit Romano García
Pablo Monterrubio Torres

Statistics

Possession
BAR
57%
RAY
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 4
4 Shots 4
45 Dangerous attacks 42
61 Possession 39
6 Corners 9
11 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 0
31 Dribble Attempts 27
11 Successful Headers 6
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
5 Goal Kicks 10
101 Ball Safe 101
15 Successful Dribbles 14
9 Goal Attempts 6
1 Assists 0
1 Hit Woodwork 0
12 Throwins 20

Attacking

115 Attacks 84
2 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

86 Successful Passes Percentage 76
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
37 Long Passes 54
483 Passes 296
17 Successful Long Passes 23
416 Successful Passes 224
11 Key Passes 8

Defensive

4 Saves 3
10 Interceptions 12
27 Tackles 24

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 4
15 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

12 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Adrián Cordero Vega

Starting XI

13
Joan García
Joan García Goalkeeper
7.76
2
João Cancelo
João Cancelo Defender
7.79
42
Xavi Espart
Xavi Espart
Defender90'
4
Ronald Araujo
Ronald Araujo (C) Defender
7.81
5
Pau Cubarsí
Pau Cubarsí Defender
6.93
18
Gerard Martín
Gerard Martín Defender
7.06
8
Pedri
Pedri Midfielder
7.65
10
Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal Midfielder
7.08
14
Marcus Rashford
Marcus Rashford
Attacker82'
6.78
11
Raphinha
Raphinha Midfielder
6.33
16
Fermín López
Fermín López Midfielder
6.9
20
Dani Olmo
Dani Olmo
Midfielder61'
6.38
22
Marc Bernal
Marc Bernal Midfielder
6.79
17
Marc Casadó
Marc Casadó
Midfielder61'
6.9
9
Robert Lewandowski
Robert Lewandowski Attacker
6.38
7
Ferran Torres
Ferran Torres
Attacker46'
6.55
Referee : Adrián Cordero Vega

Starting XI

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
6.65
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
6.77
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
7.31
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Defender
6.3
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
6.77
4
Pedro Díaz
Pedro Díaz Midfielder
6.35
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos
Attacker59'
6.67
14
Carlos Martín
Carlos Martín Midfielder
6.49
18
Álvaro García
Álvaro García
Midfielder46'
6.63
15
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau Midfielder
6.71
17
Unai López
Unai López
Midfielder59'
6.45
21
Fran Pérez
Fran Pérez Midfielder
5.99
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
Attacker82'
6.74
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín (C) Midfielder
6.62
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino
Defender46'
6.77
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón Attacker
7.03

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Xavi Espart João Cancelo
10th Substitution
90'
88'
Event
Isi Palazón
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Marcus Rashford Lamine Yamal
9th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Sergio Camello Fran Pérez
8th Substitution
Event
Pau Cubarsí
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
72'
67'
Event
Pathé Ciss
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
65'
Event
Fran Pérez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Marc Casadó Marc Bernal
6th Substitution
61'
Event
Dani Olmo Fermín López
7th Substitution
61'
59'
Event
Jorge de Frutos Pedro Díaz
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Unai López Gerard Gumbau
5th Substitution
Event
Ferran Torres Robert Lewandowski
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Alfonso Espino Óscar Valentín
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Álvaro García Carlos Martín
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Óscar Valentín
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Lamine Yamal
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
26'
Event
Ronald Araujo
Header / 1st Goal
24'
Event
Raphinha
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
8'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Sergio Camello.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Barcelona 1, Rayo Vallecano 0.
90
Update Update
Marc Casadó from Barcelona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after a play that resulted in a deflection off Joan García.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Xavi Espart comes on to replace João Cancelo.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Joan García allowed the ball to go out.
89
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push! Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Joan García from Barcelona makes a great save, diving to his left. The assist came from Andrei Ratiu.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
88
Update Update
Marcus Rashford from Barcelona earned a free kick on the left flank.
88
Update Update
Isi Palazón of Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
86
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano attempted a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard area.
84
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
84
Update Update
Match interruption - Barcelona.
83
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
83
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano took a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello comes on to replace Fran Pérez.
82
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Marcus Rashford comes on to replace Lamine Yamal.
80
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Gerard Martín allowed the ball to go out of play.
80
Update Update
Gerard Martín from Barcelona commits a handball foul.
76
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
74
Update Update
Match interruption - Barcelona.
72
Update Update
Pau Cubarsí from Barcelona committed a foul.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pau Cubarsí from Barcelona has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
72
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano earned a free kick in the defensive area.
69
Update Update
Marc Casadó from Barcelona earned a free kick in an offensive position.
69
Update Update
Offside call against Rayo Vallecano. Álvaro García has been flagged for being offside.
69
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
68
Attempt Attempt
Near miss! Dani Olmo from Barcelona attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went just wide to the left.
68
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. João Cancelo of Barcelona takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Pedri.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pathé Ciss of Rayo Vallecano has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
67
Update Update
Lamine Yamal from Barcelona earned a free kick in an offensive position.
67
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
65
Update Update
Fran Pérez from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
65
Update Update
João Cancelo from Barcelona earned a free kick on the left flank.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fran Pérez of Rayo Vallecano has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
64
Update Update
Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
64
Update Update
Lamine Yamal from Barcelona has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
63
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Gerard Martín allowed the ball to go out of play.
62
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Gerard Martín allowed the ball to go out of play.
62
Update Update
Another offensive push underway. Unai López from Rayo Vallecano heads the ball from the right side of the six-yard area, but Joan García from Barcelona makes a great save in the top center of the goal. The assist came from Isi Palazón, who delivered a precise cross.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after a play that resulted in a deflection off Joan García.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after a deflection off Joan García.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after a play that resulted in a deflection off Joan García.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Marc Casadó replaces Marc Bernal.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Dani Olmo comes on to replace Fermín López.
59
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Fermín López from Barcelona attempted a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Jorge de Frutos comes on to replace Pedro Díaz.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Unai López comes on to replace Gerard Gumbau.
58
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
58
Update Update
Ferran Torres from Barcelona was awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
57
Update Update
Fermín López from Barcelona committed a foul.
57
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Lamine Yamal from Barcelona attempted a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
57
Update Update
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano earned a free kick in the defensive area.
54
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
52
Attempt Attempt
Raphinha from Barcelona attempts a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's deflected away.
52
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Fermín López from Barcelona.
49
Update Update
Offside call against Rayo Vallecano. Isi Palazón has been flagged for being offside.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Barcelona after Andrei Ratiu allowed the ball to go out.
47
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
47
Update Update
Fermín López from Barcelona committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha Espino is coming on to replace Óscar Valentín.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Álvaro García replaces Carlos Martín.
45
Attempt Attempt
Raphinha from Barcelona attempts a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's successfully intercepted.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Ferran Torres is coming on to replace Robert Lewandowski.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Álvaro García replaces Carlos Martín.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Raphinha allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Barcelona leading Rayo Vallecano 1-0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Barcelona after Andrei Ratiu allowed the ball to go out.
44
Update Update
João Cancelo from Barcelona committed a foul.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Ronald Araujo allowed the ball to go out.
44
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano earned a free kick in an offensive position.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after João Cancelo allowed the ball to go out.
43
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Pathé Ciss of Rayo Vallecano heads the ball from just a few meters out, but it goes just wide of the target. The assist came from Gerard Gumbau, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
39
Update Update
Offside call against Rayo Vallecano. Pep Chavarría has been flagged for offside.
37
Update Update
Pathé Ciss of Rayo Vallecano has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Update Update
Fermín López from Barcelona committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Óscar Valentín from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Óscar Valentín from Rayo Vallecano has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
34
Attempt Attempt
Close call! João Cancelo from Barcelona took a right-footed shot from over 35 yards following a free kick, but it just missed the target.
34
Update Update
Fermín López from Barcelona earned a free kick in the defensive area.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Barcelona after Pathé Ciss allowed the ball to go out.
30
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Raphinha from Barcelona takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano makes a brilliant save, denying the attempt in the top right corner.
29
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
29
Update Update
Lamine Yamal from Barcelona has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lamine Yamal from Barcelona has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
26
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
26
Update Update
Lamine Yamal from Barcelona committed a foul.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Barcelona after Andrei Ratiu allowed the ball to go out.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Barcelona takes the lead, 1-0 against Rayo Vallecano! Ronald Araujo scores with a header from close range, directing it into the bottom right corner. The assist comes from João Cancelo, who delivered a precise cross following a corner kick.
24
Update Update
The attempt is denied. Gerard Martín of Barcelona heads the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Raphinha, who delivered a cross.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Barcelona after a save by Augusto Batalla.
23
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Raphinha from Barcelona takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area. However, Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano makes a fantastic save, denying the attempt at the top center of the goal. The assist came from Lamine Yamal, who delivered a precise cross.
21
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
20
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Joan García from Barcelona.
19
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Lamine Yamal of Barcelona fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Fermín López.
18
Update Update
Fermín López from Barcelona committed a foul.
18
Update Update
Óscar Valentín from Rayo Vallecano earned a free kick in the defensive zone.
16
Update Update
Ronald Araujo from Barcelona committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Fran Pérez from Rayo Vallecano was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
15
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
15
Update Update
Marc Bernal from Barcelona committed a foul.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Barcelona after a play that resulted in a deflection off Pep Chavarría.
13
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Raphinha from Barcelona attempted a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it went just wide to the left after a quick counterattack.
10
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push here. Gerard Martín from Barcelona takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.
9
Update Update
Óscar Valentín from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
9
Update Update
Pedri from Barcelona earned a free kick in an offensive position.
8
Update Update
Florian Lejeune from Rayo Vallecano has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
8
Update Update
Raphinha from Barcelona committed a foul.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Raphinha from Barcelona has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
7
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano earned a free kick on the right flank.
7
Update Update
Gerard Martín from Barcelona committed a foul.
6
Update Update
Carlos Martín from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
6
Update Update
João Cancelo from Barcelona earned a free kick in an offensive position.
1
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Carlos Martín from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Barcelona exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.