FC Andorra vs Racing Santander Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Nou Estadi a Encamp Sun, 5 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
FC Andorra AND
6 Winner 2
Racing Santander RAC
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 2:15 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Josep Cerdà - 34'
Lautaro de León - 42'
Martí Vilà - 48'
Dani Villahermosa - 62' (P)
Jastin Garcia - 77'
Théo Le Normand - 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Giorgi Guliashvili - 4', 16'
|
Red Card Jorge Salinas 73'

CONTEXT

The match between FC Andorra and Racing Santander has officially finished, with FC Andorra securing a decisive 4-0 full-time victory over the visitors. This outcome represented a significant deviation for FC Andorra, especially considering Racing Santander was designated as the stronger team on paper. However, the result was ultimately aligned with the pre-match market, which favored the home side with a 43.8% implied win probability compared to Santander's 30.9%. FC Andorra dictated the flow of the game, holding a dominant 66% of the possession while limiting Racing Santander to just 34%. Expected goals (xG) metrics were completely unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be determined if the final outcome aligned directly with the underlying chance quality. However, the team's overall efficiency shift was recorded as being in line with the match dynamics. A defining moment in the game was a red card issued to Racing Santander. This crucial dismissal resulted in a distinct second-half distortion. Despite the match being evenly contested at half-time, the numerical disadvantage proved insurmountable for the visitors, allowing FC Andorra to fully capitalize on the missing man and comfortably close out the sweeping win.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Andorra showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Muresan
S. Muresan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
José Bordoy
José Bordoy
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
A. Moleon Cuenca
A. Moleon Cuenca
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
P. Monterrubio Torres
P. Monterrubio Torres
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
FC Andorra C. Manso Rubio
C. Manso Rubio
VS
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
1.16
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: 68 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 58 W
SD Eibar Rank: 67 L
Granada Rank: 65 D
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 W
Córdoba Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 L
Albacete Rank: 65 L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 58 W
Córdoba Rank: 62 W
Castellón Rank: 66 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Andorra
43.8%
Draw
25.27%
Away Racing Santander
30.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.29
70.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Andorra
Racing Santander
Power Score
58.29
70.33
League Position
10
1
Global Rank
358
180

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Andorra — Opponent-weighted form score
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Andorra Racing Santander

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Andorra

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Racing Santander
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.36
29.12
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.12
36.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Andorra +0.73 Efficiency Index
vs
Racing Santander -0.73 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Racing Santander
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Andorra ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Racing Santander
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Andorra Racing Santander
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Andorra Racing Santander
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Andorra
Racing Santander
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Andorra
vs
Racing Santander
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Andorra Racing Santander
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Andorra 0.35
Racing Santander 0.50
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Andorra Racing Santander
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Andorra 0.11
Racing Santander 0.10
FC Andorra
Racing Santander
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Andorra AND Home
5 matches
Racing Santander RAC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
4
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:04:04+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Owono Ngua Akeng
Equatorial Guinea
13 J. Owono Ngua Akeng
T. Carrique
France
17 T. Carrique
G. Alonso Moreno
Spain
4 G. Alonso Moreno
D. Alende López
Spain
23 D. Alende López
M. Vilà García
Spain
20 M. Vilà García
Y. Cabanzón de Arriba
Substitution
Spain
3 Y. Cabanzón de Arriba
M. Costa
Spain
18 M. Costa
D. Villahermosa Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 D. Villahermosa Martínez
L. De León Billar
Substitution
Uruguay
11 L. De León Billar
J. Cerdà Amengual
Substitution
Spain
21 J. Cerdà Amengual
A. García Lopéz
Substitution
Spain
16 A. García Lopéz
J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
Spain
1 J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
M. García Alvear
Spain
3 M. García Alvear
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
J. Hernando Riol
Substitution
Spain
4 J. Hernando Riol
J. Castro Urdín
Substitution
Spain
5 J. Castro Urdín
G. Puerta Molano
Colombia
19 G. Puerta Molano
D. Rodríguez Sousa
Substitution
Spain
23 D. Rodríguez Sousa
I. Vicente Elorduy
Substitution
Spain
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
P. Canales Urtasun
Spain
18 P. Canales Urtasun
A. Martín García
Substitution
Spain
11 A. Martín García
G. Guliashvili
Georgia
7 G. Guliashvili

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nou Estadi a Encamp
Capacity
5500
Attendance
2732
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sergiu Claudiu Muresan
José Miguel Bordoy Homar
Aitor Moleon Cuenca
Pablo Monterrubio Torres

Statistics

Possession
AND
63%
RAC
37%

Top Statistics

6 Goals 2
8 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 4
60 Dangerous attacks 18
66 Possession 34
6 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
18 Dribble Attempts 13
2 Hit Woodwork 1
8 Goal Kicks 10
24 Throwins 18
4 Assists 2
6 Successful Dribbles 5
74 Ball Safe 60
16 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

105 Attacks 67
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

480 Successful Passes 215
14 Key Passes 7
41 Long Passes 40
545 Passes 280
88 Successful Passes Percentage 77
11 Successful Long Passes 11
27 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28

Defensive

5 Interceptions 6
44 Duels Won 45
16 Tackles 20
1 Saves 3

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 7
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI ▼

13
Jesús Owono
Jesús Owono Goalkeeper
4
Gael Alonso
Gael Alonso Defender
17
Thomas Carrique
Thomas Carrique Defender
20
Martí Vilà
Martí Vilà Defender
23
Diego Alende
Diego Alende Defender
3
Yeray Cabanzón
Yeray Cabanzón Midfielder
29
Min-su Kim
Min-su Kim
Attacker46'
6
Dani Villahermosa
Dani Villahermosa Midfielder
10
Álvaro Martín
Álvaro Martín
Midfielder80'
18
Marc Doménech
Marc Doménech Midfielder
11
Lautaro de León
Lautaro de León Attacker
8
Efe Akman
Efe Akman
Midfielder46'
16
Jastin Garcia
Jastin Garcia Attacker
24
Théo Le Normand
Théo Le Normand
Midfielder80'
21
Josep Cerdà
Josep Cerdà Attacker
9
Manu Nieto
Manu Nieto
Attacker74'
Referee : Sergiu Claudiu Muresan

Starting XI ▼

1
Jokin Ezkieta
Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper
3
Mario García
Mario García Defender
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Defender
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón
Defender67'
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Defender
15
Marco Sangalli
Marco Sangalli
Attacker67'
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Defender
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Midfielder
12
Asier Villalibre
Asier Villalibre
Attacker67'
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Midfielder
8
Aritz Aldasoro
Aritz Aldasoro
Midfielder83'
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez Midfielder
20
Suleiman Camara
Suleiman Camara
Attacker46'
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
2

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Théo Le Normand
Right foot shot / 7th Goal
89'
83'
Event
Aritz Aldasoro → Andrés Martín
10th Substitution
Event
Théo Le Normand → Jastin Garcia
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Álvaro Martín → Dani Villahermosa
8th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Asier Villalibre
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Gustavo Puerta
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Jastin Garcia
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
77'
Event
Jastin Garcia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
76'
Event
Manu Nieto → Josep Cerdà
7th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Jorge Salinas
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
71'
Event
Jorge Salinas
Card adjusted
67'
Event
Asier Villalibre → Iñigo Vicente
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Pablo Ramón → Manu Hernando
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Marco Sangalli → Javi Castro
5th Substitution
Event
Dani Villahermosa
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
62'
Event
Diego Alende
Penalty awarded
59'
53'
Event
Mario García
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Martí Vilà
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
48'
Event
Min-su Kim → Yeray Cabanzón
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Efe Akman → Lautaro de León
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Suleiman Camara → Damián Rodríguez
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Lautaro de León
Goal awarded
44'
Event
Lautaro de León
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
42'
Event
Josep Cerdà
Header / 3rd Goal
34'
19'
Event
Javi Castro
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'
Event
Andrés Martín
Goal awarded
16'
Event
Giorgi Guliashvili
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
4'
Event
Giorgi Guliashvili
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC Andorra exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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