Falkirk vs Hibernian Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Falkirk Community Stadium Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Falkirk Falkirk
Versus
Hibernian HIB
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 36 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Falkirk host Hibernian in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Falkirk Community Stadium. Domestically, Falkirk sit 6th in the table while Hibernian are 5th. Power ranking favours Hibernian by 7.3 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hibernian hold a 7.3-point power advantage over Falkirk with scores of 67.33 versus 60.08.
  • Form: Falkirk lead in form with a 20.06 score compared to Hibernian's 8.67.
  • Squad: Hibernian sit 5th in the league while Falkirk occupy 6th position.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent as data not enabled.
  • Market: Falkirk 40.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.7% (Δ+0%) | Hibernian 32.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Falkirk J. McGlynn
J. McGlynn
VS
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
1.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motherwell Rank: 67 W
Celtic Rank: 77 L
Rangers Rank: 77 L
Motherwell Rank: 67 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celtic Rank: 78 L
Hearts Rank: 73 L
Aberdeen Rank: 59 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 W
Motherwell Rank: 67 D
Livingston Rank: 55 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Falkirk
40.92%
Draw
26.68%
Away Hibernian
32.41%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.08
67.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Falkirk
Hibernian
Power Score
60.08
67.33
League Position
6
5
Global Rank
316
265

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Falkirk — Opponent-weighted form score
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Falkirk Hibernian

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Falkirk Falkirk Home
18 matches
Hibernian HIB Away
Match Record
4
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
4
Goals
19
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
19
-10
Goal Difference
+10

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:08:47+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
N. Hogarth
1 N. Hogarth
F. Lissah
28 F. Lissah
L. Neilson
15 L. Neilson
C. Allan
20 C. Allan
L. McCann
3 L. McCann
D. Tait
21 D. Tait
B. Spencer
8 B. Spencer
B. Broggio
11 B. Broggio
F. Yeats
14 F. Yeats
C. Miller
29 C. Miller
B. Stewart
16 B. Stewart
R. Sallinger
1 R. Sallinger
J. Iredale
15 J. Iredale
R. Bushiri
33 R. Bushiri
W. O'Hora
5 W. O'Hora
N. Cadden
19 N. Cadden
M. Changa Chaiwa
14 M. Changa Chaiwa
J. Newell
11 J. Newell
F. Passlack
25 F. Passlack
M. Boyle
10 M. Boyle
D. Scarlett
44 D. Scarlett
O. Elding
47 O. Elding

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 36 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Falkirk Community Stadium
Capacity :
7937
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Ryan Lee
Graeme Stewart
Dougie Potter
Josh Hay

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ryan Lee

Starting XI ▼

1
Nicky Hogarth
Nicky Hogarth Goalkeeper
7.1
16
Barney Stewart
Barney Stewart Centre Forward
7.09
14
Finn Yeats
Finn Yeats Attacking Midfield
6.65
20
Connor Allan
Connor Allan Left Back
6.85
3
Leon McCann
Leon McCann Left Back
6.77
8
Brad Spencer
Brad Spencer Defensive Midfield
7.03
11
Benjamin Broggio
Benjamin Broggio Right Wing
29
Calvin Miller
Calvin Miller Left Wing
6.98
28
Filip Lissah
Filip Lissah Right Back
7.01
15
Lewis Neilson
Lewis Neilson Right Back
6.57
21
Dylan Tait
Dylan Tait Defensive Midfield
6.74
Referee : Ryan Lee

Starting XI ▼

1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
6.89
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack Midfielder
6.93
19
Nicky Cadden
Nicky Cadden Midfielder
6.94
47
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker
6.92
44
Dane Scarlett
Dane Scarlett Attacker
6.53
33
Rocky Bushiri
Rocky Bushiri Centre Back
6.87
15
Jack Iredale
Jack Iredale Left Back
6.87
10
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle Attacking Midfield
6.73
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Right Back
6.96
11
Joe Newell
Joe Newell Central Midfield
6.69
14
Miguel Chaiwa
Miguel Chaiwa Central Midfield
6.74

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Hibernian holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Hibernian a 7.3-point edge. External projection is Falkirk 40.9%, draw 26.7%, and Hibernian 32.4%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Falkirk vs Hibernian preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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