Eyüpspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu Wed, 18 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
0 Winner 1
Trabzonspor TRA
Full Time Wed, 18 Mar 5:00 PM
|
Goal
Felipe Augusto - 66'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Eyüpspor 0–1 Trabzonspor. The result saw Trabzonspor take the points. Trabzonspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Trabzonspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: Eyüpspor 16.7% (Δ-0.4%) | Draw 23.1% (Δ-0.4%) | Trabzonspor 60.2% (Δ+0.8%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Eyüpspor A. Gerin
A. Gerin
VS
Trabzonspor F. Tekke
F. Tekke
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.24
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kasımpaşa Rank: 63 L
Kocaelispor Rank: 65 L
Göztepe Rank: 74 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 65 W
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rizespor Rank: 68 W
Kayserispor Rank: 64 W
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 84 L
Samsunspor Rank: 70 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Eyüpspor
16.65%
Draw
23.12%
Away Trabzonspor
60.22%

Movement

Changes since opening
Eyüpspor
-0.37%
Draw
-0.43%
Trabzonspor
+0.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.82
78.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Eyüpspor
Trabzonspor
Power Score
62.82
78.99
League Position
16
3
Global Rank
364
61

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Eyüpspor Opponent-weighted form score
Trabzonspor Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Eyüpspor Trabzonspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Eyüpspor

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Trabzonspor

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Trabzonspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.60
24.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.10
16.60
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Eyüpspor -0.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Trabzonspor +0.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Trabzonspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Eyüpspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Trabzonspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Eyüpspor Trabzonspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Eyüpspor Trabzonspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Eyüpspor
Trabzonspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Eyüpspor Eyüpspor Home
3 matches
Trabzonspor TRA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-19T00:03:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
M. de Freitas Monteiro
Brazil
1 M. de Freitas Monteiro
L. Calegari
Substitution
Brazil
2 L. Calegari
B. Özyurt
Turkey
5 B. Özyurt
S. Yaşar
Substitution
Turkey
16 S. Yaşar
C. Meraş
Turkey
77 C. Meraş
A. Torres Quiñones
Colombia
10 A. Torres Quiñones
B. Gezek
Turkey
55 B. Gezek
M. Łęgowski
Substitution
Poland
20 M. Łęgowski
D. Radu
Substitution
Romania
22 D. Radu
U. Bozok
Turkey
19 U. Bozok
M. Altunbaş
Substitution
Turkey
26 M. Altunbaş
A. Onana
Cameroon
24 A. Onana
M. Lövik
Substitution
Norway
14 M. Lövik
S. Savić
Montenegro
15 S. Savić
C. Nwaiwu
Nigeria
27 C. Nwaiwu
O. Tufan
Turkey
11 O. Tufan
E. Muçi
Albania
10 E. Muçi
T. Jabol Folcarelli
France
26 T. Jabol Folcarelli
C. Inao Oulaï
Substitution
42 C. Inao Oulaï
O. Zubkov
Substitution
Ukraine
22 O. Zubkov
E. Onuachu
Substitution
Nigeria
30 E. Onuachu
M. Nayir
Substitution
Turkey
18 M. Nayir

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 18, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Capacity
14234
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Oğuzhan Çakır

Statistics

Possession
Eyüpspor
50%
TRA
50%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 1
26 Dangerous attacks 41
50 Possession 50
1 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

99 Ball Safe 95
3 Goal Attempts 9
20 Dribble Attempts 14
14 Successful Headers 4
10 Goal Kicks 8
19 Throwins 27
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
7 Successful Dribbles 4
5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 1

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
89 Attacks 117

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 82
56 Long Passes 50
456 Passes 452
362 Successful Passes 372
30 Successful Long Passes 16
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32
7 Key Passes 8

Defensive

7 Interceptions 11
17 Tackles 24
2 Saves 1

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 16
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Oğuzhan Çakır

Starting XI

1
Marcos Felipe
Marcos Felipe Goalkeeper
2
Calegari
Calegari Defender
17
Talha Ülvan
Talha Ülvan
Defender78'
5
Bedirhan Özyurt
Bedirhan Özyurt Defender
16
Anıl Yaşar
Anıl Yaşar Defender
28
Taşkın İlter
Taşkın İlter
Midfielder85'
77
Umut Meraş
Umut Meraş Defender
10
Ángel Torres
Ángel Torres Midfielder
20
Mateusz Legowski
Mateusz Legowski Midfielder
15
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Charles-Andre Raux Yao
Midfielder78'
55
Baran Gezek
Baran Gezek Midfielder
19
Umut Bozok
Umut Bozok Attacker
22
Denis Radu
Denis Radu Attacker
27
Ismaïla Manga
Ismaïla Manga
Midfielder85'
26
Metehan Altunbaş
Metehan Altunbaş Attacker
23
Lenny Pintor
Lenny Pintor
Attacker56'
Referee : Oğuzhan Çakır

Starting XI

24
André Onana
André Onana Goalkeeper
11
Ozan Tufan
Ozan Tufan Defender
14
Mathias Løvik
Mathias Løvik Defender
20
Wagner Pina
Wagner Pina
Defender46'
15
Stefan Savic
Stefan Savic Defender
27
Chibuike Nwaiwu
Chibuike Nwaiwu Defender
10
Ernest Muci
Ernest Muci Midfielder
22
Oleksandr Zubkov
Oleksandr Zubkov Midfielder
9
Anthony Nwakaeme
Anthony Nwakaeme
Attacker90'
26
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli
Tim Jabol-Folcarelli Midfielder
42
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï Midfielder
8
Benjamin Bouchouari
Benjamin Bouchouari
Midfielder84'
18
Umut Nayir
Umut Nayir Attacker
99
Felipe Augusto
Felipe Augusto
Attacker46'
30
Paul Onuachu
Paul Onuachu Attacker
19
Mustafa Eskihellaç
Mustafa Eskihellaç
Defender85'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
5th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Taşkın İlter
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
90'
Event
Anthony Nwakaeme Oleksandr Zubkov
10th Substitution
Event
Taşkın İlter Anıl Yaşar
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Ismaïla Manga Denis Radu
9th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Mustafa Eskihellaç Paul Onuachu
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Benjamin Bouchouari Christ Inao Oulaï
6th Substitution
Event
Talha Ülvan Calegari
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Charles-Andre Raux Yao Mateusz Legowski
5th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Christ Inao Oulaï
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Felipe Augusto
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Mateusz Legowski
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
62'
Event
Lenny Pintor Metehan Altunbaş
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Metehan Altunbaş
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
53'
46'
Event
Felipe Augusto Umut Nayir
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Wagner Pina Mathias Løvik
2nd Substitution

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Trabzonspor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.