Estrela Amadora vs Famalicão Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio José Gomes Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora CFEA
Versus
Famalicão FCF
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Estrela Amadora host Famalicão in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio José Gomes. Domestically, Estrela Amadora sit 15th in the table while Famalicão are 5th. Power ranking favours Famalicão by 16 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Famalicão enjoys a 16-point power advantage at 74.67 over Estrela Amadora's 58.64 while sitting 5th versus 15th in the league.
  • Form: Famalicão's form score reaches 27.06, far exceeding Estrela Amadora's 4.5.
  • Squad: Estrela Amadora's squad power stands at 58.64, trailing Famalicão's stronger 74.67 rating.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play assessment limited by lack of specific metrics for both sides.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable as xG data not enabled for these teams.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables absent due to disabled add-on for Estrela Amadora and Famalicão.
  • Market: Estrela Amadora 26.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | Famalicão 46.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Estrela Amadora C. Bacci
C. Bacci
VS
Famalicão H. Carvalho Oliveira
H. Carvalho Oliveira
0.81
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Moreirense Rank: 67 L
Porto Rank: 86 L
Arouca Rank: 64 L
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
Nacional Rank: 65 L
Casa Pia Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Benfica Rank: 87 D
Estoril Rank: 67 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 D
Moreirense Rank: 68 D
Porto Rank: 88 D
Nacional Rank: 65 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Estrela Amadora
26.31%
Draw
26.88%
Away Famalicão
46.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.64
74.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
Power Score
58.64
74.67
League Position
15
5
Global Rank
541
124

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Estrela Amadora — Opponent-weighted form score
Famalicão — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Estrela Amadora Famalicão

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Estrela Amadora CFEA Home
5 matches
Famalicão FCF Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:52:14+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Ribeiro
40 R. Ribeiro
M. Scholze
21 M. Scholze
L. Wiedthauper
30 L. Wiedthauper
J. Silva Encada
17 J. Silva Encada
B. Langa
24 B. Langa
P. Valente Moreira
19 P. Valente Moreira
A. Mussolo Sola
63 A. Mussolo Sola
A. Marcus
99 A. Marcus
J. Borges Cabral
11 J. Borges Cabral
I. Stoica
10 I. Stoica
R. Pereira de Pinho
9 R. Pereira de Pinho
L. Carević
25 L. Carević
L. Soares Alves
5 L. Soares Alves
J. de Haas
16 J. de Haas
L. Realpe Montaño
3 L. Realpe Montaño
G. García dos Santos
2 G. García dos Santos
M. De Amorim
14 M. De Amorim
T. van de Looi
6 T. van de Looi
M. Lopes Moura
7 M. Lopes Moura
G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
20 G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá
G. Bastião Dias
23 G. Bastião Dias
S. Elisor
12 S. Elisor

General Information

Date & Time :
May 11, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estádio José Gomes
Capacity :
9000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

40
Renan Ribeiro
Renan Ribeiro Goalkeeper
6.71
9
Rodrigo Pinho
Rodrigo Pinho Centre Forward
6.77
10
Ianis Stoica
Ianis Stoica Left Wing
6.73
11
Jovane Cabral
Jovane Cabral Attacking Midfield
7.12
17
Jefferson Encada
Jefferson Encada Left Back
6.64
24
Bruno Langa
Bruno Langa Left Back
6.75
30
Luan Patrick
Luan Patrick Right Back
6.79
63
Alex Sola
Alex Sola Defensive Midfield
6.53
19
Paulo Moreira
Paulo Moreira Defensive Midfield
6.6
21
Max Scholze
Max Scholze Right Back
6.75
99
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus Right Wing
7.06

Starting XI ▼

25
Lazar Carević
Lazar Carević Goalkeeper
7.01
12
Simon Elisor
Simon Elisor Centre Forward
6.71
23
Gil Dias
Gil Dias Right Wing
7.02
3
Léo Realpe
Léo Realpe Right Back
6.87
5
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares Left Back
6.77
6
Tom van de Looi
Tom van de Looi Defensive Midfield
6.9
7
Sorriso
Sorriso Left Wing
7.05
20
Gustavo Sá
Gustavo Sá Attacking Midfield
6.98
2
Garcia
Garcia Right Back
6.65
14
Mathias de Amorim
Mathias de Amorim Defensive Midfield
6.96
16
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Left Back
7.07

CONCLUSION

Famalicão arrive as favorites, armed with superior power, form, and league position against a struggling Estrela Amadora. The 16-point edge underscores their dominance, likely translating to control in possession and transitions. Hosts need a compact structure and home fervor to counter this, exploiting any lapses in the visitors' attack. Without efficiency or set piece insights, reliance falls on basic strengths—Famalicão's consistency versus Estrela's resilience. Expect the away side to press advantages, potentially securing victory through sustained pressure. Yet, Estrela's desperation for points could ignite a resilient showing, keeping the contest competitive until late.

Estrela Amadora vs Famalicão preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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