Elche vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Sat, 9 May - 12:00 PM
La Liga
Elche ELC
Versus
Deportivo Alavés ALA
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 12:00 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Elche welcomes Deportivo Alavés to Estadio Martínez Valero for a crucial La Liga regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 14th in the standings, Elche aims to capitalize on home advantage against 18th-placed Alavés, who boast a superior power score of 75.76 to Elche's 62.3, granting them a 13.5-point edge. Recent form favors the hosts slightly at 27.44 versus 18.5, potentially fueling an upset bid. Alavés enters as the stronger side overall, but Elche's mid-table position reflects resilience amid a tight relegation scrap. Both teams lack detailed set-piece and efficiency metrics due to unavailable xG data, shifting focus to structural battles and transitions. Home support could prove decisive in this evenly poised encounter, where every point counts toward survival.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Deportivo Alavés possesses a 13.5-point power advantage over Elche, scoring 75.76 to 62.3.
  • Form: Elche edges recent form with a 27.44 score against Deportivo Alavés's 18.5.
  • Squad: Elche occupies 14th in La Liga while Deportivo Alavés sits 18th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent for Elche and Deportivo Alavés.
  • Market: Elche 41.8% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 28.3% (Δ+0.2%) | Deportivo Alavés 29.9% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
VS
Deportivo Alavés E. Sánchez Flores
E. Sánchez Flores
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: 79 L
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
Valencia Rank: 77 W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 78 L
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Athletic Club Rank: 77 L
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Real Madrid Rank: 92 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 D
Osasuna Rank: 78 D
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 5
5
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Elche
41.75%
Draw
28.32%
Away Deportivo Alavés
29.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.3
75.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elche
Deportivo Alavés
Power Score
62.3
75.76
League Position
14
18
Global Rank
127
101

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Elche — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo Alavés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Elche Deportivo Alavés

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Elche ELC Home
14 matches
Deportivo Alavés ALA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
5
3
Draws
3
5
Losses
6
Goals
16
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
16
+3
Goal Difference
-3

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:06:33+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
M. Dituro
1 M. Dituro
J. Chetauya Donald
18 J. Chetauya Donald
D. Affengruber
22 D. Affengruber
P. Bigas Rigo
6 P. Bigas Rigo
J. Morente Oliva
15 J. Morente Oliva
M. Aguado Pallares
8 M. Aguado Pallares
G. Villar del Fraile
12 G. Villar del Fraile
A. Febas Pérez
14 A. Febas Pérez
A. Giner Pedrosa
3 A. Giner Pedrosa
?. Rodríguez Muñoz
20 ?. Rodríguez Muñoz
A. Valente Silva
9 A. Valente Silva
A. Sivera Salvá
1 A. Sivera Salvá
V. Parada González
24 V. Parada González
N. Tenaglia
14 N. Tenaglia
J. Castro Otto
17 J. Castro Otto
A. Rebbach
21 A. Rebbach
D. Suárez Fernández
4 D. Suárez Fernández
A. Blanco Conde
8 A. Blanco Conde
P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
19 P. Ibáñez Lumbreras
A. Pérez Hidalgo
7 A. Pérez Hidalgo
A. Martínez López
11 A. Martínez López
I. Diabate
22 I. Diabate

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Capacity :
31388
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Matías Dituro
Matías Dituro Goalkeeper
7.11
3
Adrià Pedrosa
Adrià Pedrosa Midfielder
6.8
15
Tete Morente
Tete Morente Midfielder
6.75
9
André Silva
André Silva Attacker
6.9
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Attacker
6.88
12
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar Central Midfield
6.75
18
John Chetauya Donald
John Chetauya Donald Right Back
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Centre Back
6.88
8
Marc Aguado
Marc Aguado Central Midfield
6.82
6
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas Left Back
6.85
14
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas Central Midfield
7.08

Starting XI ▼

1
Antonio Sivera
Antonio Sivera Goalkeeper
6.7
21
Abde Rebbach
Abde Rebbach Midfielder
6.74
7
Ángel Pérez
Ángel Pérez Midfielder
6.68
11
Toni Martínez
Toni Martínez Attacker
7.15
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
Ibrahim Diabaté Attacker
6.69
19
Pablo Ibáñez
Pablo Ibáñez Central Midfield
6.76
4
Denis Suárez
Denis Suárez Central Midfield
6.65
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
Nahuel Tenaglia Centre Back
6.87
17
Jonny Otto
Jonny Otto Right Back
6.69
8
Antonio Blanco
Antonio Blanco Central Midfield
6.97
24
Victor Parada
Victor Parada Left Back
6.5

CONCLUSION

Deportivo Alavés arrives with greater overall strength, yet Elche's home turf and marginally better form position them for a competitive showing. The power disparity suggests visitors control key moments, but mid-table Elche thrives on crowd energy to disrupt transitions. Absent advanced metrics heighten reliance on basic execution, where Alavés must convert superiority into points amid relegation pressure. Expect a tactical duel favoring the bolder side, with Elche pushing early and Alavés countering late. This matchup hinges on structural discipline versus opportunistic play.

Elche vs Deportivo Alavés preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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