Elche vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Elche
ELC
Atlético Madrid
ATM
KICKOFF :
Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 33 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 16
CONTEXT
La Liga brings together two teams with contrasting ambitions this matchday at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. Elche, positioned 18th in the standings, host fourth-placed Atlético Madrid in a fixture that tests the hosts' survival hopes against the visitors' title aspirations. A power score differential of 7.2 points favors the away side significantly. Recent form shows the home team recording two wins, one draw and three losses from six games, including a positive result in their last home outing versus Valencia. Atlético Madrid meanwhile have three wins from six but come into this following an away defeat to Sevilla. Such encounters often hinge on whether the underdogs can rise to the occasion or if the stronger squad imposes their quality from the outset. Tactical battles and individual performances will shape developments in this 2025/2026 season clash.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Home side Elche languish in 18th place as they welcome 4th positioned Atlético Madrid. Visitors carry a 7.2 point power advantage into this La Liga meeting.
-
Form: Elche hold a W2 D1 L3 record over six matches while Atlético Madrid sit at W3 D0 L3. Last home success for the hosts came against Valencia with the away team falling short versus Sevilla.
-
Squad: Stronger squad quality rests with the away team according to current campaign displays and overall depth available to the coaching staff.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency aspects show no clear data but positional differences imply Atlético Madrid operate with greater effectiveness across the pitch.
-
Transition: Counter attacking transitions might offer Elche opportunities yet Atlético Madrid generally excel when shifting from defence into attack.
-
Set pieces: Both sides operate under low confidence proxies for set piece data meaning standard deliveries and defensive organization will play important roles.
-
xVariable: Performance variability could see surprises but underlying indicators support the away side prevailing in most scenarios.
-
Market: Elche 37% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.6% (Δ+0%) | Atlético Madrid 38.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
E. Sarabia Armesto
VS
D. Simeone
0.82
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.86
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Valencia
Rank:
W
Rayo Vallecano
Rank:
L
Mallorca
Rank:
W
Real Madrid
Rank:
L
Villarreal
Rank:
L
Espanyol
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sevilla
Rank:
L
FC Barcelona
Rank:
L
Real Madrid
Rank:
L
Getafe
Rank:
W
Real Sociedad
Rank:
W
Real Oviedo
Rank:
W
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Elche
36.98%
Draw
24.59%
Atlético Madrid
38.43%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.91
28.12
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Elche
Atlético Madrid
Power Score
20.91
28.12
League Position
18
4
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Elche
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Atlético Madrid
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Elche Atlético Madrid
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Elche
ELC
Home
14
matches
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
11
2
Draws
2
11
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
4
-23
Goal Difference
+23
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:03:27+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
1 M. Dituro
42 A. Sangaré Traoré
22 D. Affengruber
21 L. Pétrot
15 J. Morente Oliva
12 G. Villar del Fraile
16 M. Carvalho Neto
14 A. Febas Pérez
11 G. Karabinaite
9 A. Valente Silva
10 R. Mir Vicente
1 J. Musso
34 J. Del Romo
30 D. Martinez Moreno
18 M. Pubill Pagès
32 J. Franco
11 T. Almada
21 O. Vaargas
4 R. Mendoza Martinez Moya
29 R. Belaid Khellil
9 A. Sørloth
10 A. Rodríguez
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Capacity
31388
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Elche
vs
Real Oviedo
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM
Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Atlético Madrid
vs
Real Sociedad
League: Copa Del Rey
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
E. Sarabia Armesto
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Matías Dituro
Goalkeeper
7.2 11
Germán Valera
Midfielder
7.01 15
Tete Morente
Midfielder
6.76 9
André Silva
Attacker
6.84 10
Rafa Mir
Attacker
6.85 12
Gonzalo Villar
Central Midfield
6.53 14
Aleix Febas
Central Midfield
7.07 16
Martim Neto
Central Midfield
6.82 21
Léo Pétrot
Left Back
6.66 22
David Affengruber
Centre Back
6.85 42
Buba Sangaré
Right Back
6.44 Substitutes ▼
3
Adrià Pedrosa
6.8 5
Federico Redondo
6.54 6
Pedro Bigas
6.84 7
Yago Santiago
6.47 13
Iñaki Peña
6.95 17
Josan
6.82 18
John Chetauya Donald
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
6.91 23
Víctor Chust
6.75 24
Lucas Cepeda
6.81 31
David Delgado
45
Alejandro Iturbe
Manager ▼
D. Simeone
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Juan Musso
Goalkeeper
7.11 11
Thiago Almada
Midfielder
6.87 29
Rayane Belaid
Midfielder
6.26 9
Alexander Sørloth
Attacker
6.78 10
Álex Baena
Attacker
6.97 4
Rodrigo Mendoza
Central Midfield
6.61 18
Marc Pubill
Right Back
7.12 21
Obed Vargas
Central Midfield
6.66 30
Daniel Martínez
Left Back
6.16 32
Javier Boñar
Right Back
7.17 34
Julio Díaz
Left Back
7.02 Substitutes ▼
3
Matteo Ruggeri
6.79 6
Koke
6.98 7
Antoine Griezmann
6.97 14
Marcos Llorente
6.97 15
Clément Lenglet
6.74 16
Nahuel Molina
6.77 19
Julián Alvarez
7.14 20
Giuliano Simeone
6.98 22
Ademola Lookman
6.74 23
Nico González
6.81 24
Robin Le Normand
6.68 27
Jano Monserrate
6.65 31
Salvador Esquivel
36
Geronimo Spina
40
Aleksa Puric
6.92 CONCLUSION
Expect Atlético Madrid to leverage their superior standing and power metrics in pursuit of all three points away from home. Despite Elche earning a win recently at their own ground, the gulf in quality remains evident from league positions and form indicators. The visitors have shown mixed results lately yet retain the tools necessary to break down resilient defenses. Key player contributions could tilt the balance further toward the away team. Meanwhile, the hosts need to maximize home advantage and look for any vulnerabilities during transitions or set plays. Overall, a hard-fought contest lies ahead where Atlético Madrid start as favorites but must remain vigilant against potential upsets from a motivated Elche outfit determined to improve their precarious league position.