Dundee vs Livingston Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premiership
Dundee DUD
Versus
Livingston LIV
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 36 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Dundee host Livingston at Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park in the Premiership's 2nd Phase of the 2025/2026 season. The Dark Blues sit 9th in the table with a power score of 58.65, edging out Livingston's 52.79 by 5.9 points, marking them as the stronger side overall. However, Livingston boast better recent form at 13.61 versus Dundee's 8.83, suggesting momentum in their camp. Both clubs eye vital points to improve standings in a tightly contested league phase. Dundee's home ground familiarity could tilt the balance, while Livingston's form makes them dangerous on the counter. Limited advanced metrics available, but structural edges favor the hosts in this mid-table clash. Expect a competitive battle with Dundee pushing for dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dundee possesses a 5.9-point power advantage over Livingston with scores of 58.65 to 52.79.
  • Form: Livingston leads in form score at 13.61 compared to Dundee's 8.83.
  • Squad: Dundee holds 9th place in the league, ahead of 12th-placed Livingston.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG availability and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xVariable metrics not provided for this matchup.
  • Market: Baseline split: Dundee 50.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.4% (Δ+0%) | Livingston 24% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
VS
Livingston M. Bartley
M. Bartley
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.52
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 D
Celtic Rank: 78 L
Hearts Rank: 74 L
Dundee United Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 59 D
St. Mirren Rank: 58 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Hearts Rank: 74 D
Kilmarnock Rank: 58 L
Hibernian Rank: 67 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dundee
50.62%
Draw
25.42%
Away Livingston
23.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.65
52.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dundee
Livingston
Power Score
58.65
52.79
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
528
647

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
Livingston — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dundee Livingston

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dundee DUD Home
14 matches
Livingston LIV Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
18
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:08:37+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
J. McCracken
1 J. McCracken
B. Halliday
16 B. Halliday
R. Astley
4 R. Astley
L. Graham
22 L. Graham
D. Wright
7 D. Wright
Y. Dhanda
21 Y. Dhanda
E. Hamilton
48 E. Hamilton
C. Congreve
20 C. Congreve
J. Westley
19 J. Westley
T. Yogane
17 T. Yogane
S. Murray
15 S. Murray
J. Prior
28 J. Prior
R. McGowan
5 R. McGowan
D. Wilson
27 D. Wilson
B. Kabongolo
23 B. Kabongolo
C. Montaño Castillo
26 C. Montaño Castillo
M. Sylla
24 M. Sylla
S. Arfield
37 S. Arfield
D. Finlayson
19 D. Finlayson
S. May
17 S. May
L. Smith
15 L. Smith
J. Nouble
7 J. Nouble

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 36 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Capacity :
11775
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Colin Steven
Jonathan Bell
Craig Ferguson
Greg Soutar

Expected Lineup

Referee : Colin Steven

Starting XI ▼

1
Jon McCracken
Jon McCracken Goalkeeper
6.89
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Centre Forward
6.65
17
Tony Yogane
Tony Yogane Left Wing
6.74
4
Ryan Astley
Ryan Astley Right Back
6.86
22
Luke Graham
Luke Graham Left Back
6.99
7
Drey Wright
Drey Wright Left Back
6.74
21
Yan Dhanda
Yan Dhanda Defensive Midfield
6.84
19
Joe Westley
Joe Westley Attacking Midfield
6.66
16
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday Right Back
6.75
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Defensive Midfield
6.81
20
Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve Right Wing
6.75
Referee : Colin Steven

Starting XI ▼

28
Jérôme Prior
Jérôme Prior Goalkeeper
6.84
15
Lewis Smith
Lewis Smith Midfielder
6.83
26
Cristian Montano
Cristian Montano Midfielder
6.67
17
Stevie May
Stevie May Midfielder
6.81
19
Danny Finlayson
Danny Finlayson Midfielder
6.75
7
Joel Nouble
Joel Nouble Centre Forward
6.99
24
Mohamad Sylla
Mohamad Sylla Central Midfield
6.79
23
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Brooklyn Kabongolo Right Back
6.88
27
Danny Wilson
Danny Wilson Centre Back
6.56
5
Ryan McGowan
Ryan McGowan Left Back
6.62
37
Scott Arfield
Scott Arfield Central Midfield
6.58

CONCLUSION

Dundee enter as favorites thanks to superior power ratings and home advantage at Dens Park, but Livingston's sharper form could spark an upset in this Premiership 2nd Phase encounter. The 9th-placed hosts must leverage their 5.9-point edge to control proceedings, while the visitors rely on momentum from a higher form score. With league positions on the line, expect Dundee to press early, testing Livingston's resolve. Key battles in midfield will dictate flow, potentially deciding a narrow home win in a fixture full of mid-table intrigue.

Dundee vs Livingston preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Premiership, Scotland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ