Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Maksimir Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Dinamo Zagreb GNK
Versus
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Dinamo Zagreb host Hajduk Split in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Maksimir. Domestically, Dinamo Zagreb sit 1th in the table while Hajduk Split are 2th. Power ranking favours Dinamo Zagreb by 8.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Dinamo Zagreb tops the 1. HNL table in 1st position, ahead of 2nd-placed Hajduk Split.
  • Form: Dinamo Zagreb holds a form score of 33.5, exceeding Hajduk Split's 25.5.
  • Squad: Dinamo Zagreb's power score of 81.07 surpasses Hajduk Split's 72.6 by 8.5 points.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG information absent for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables inaccessible due to data limitations.
  • Market: Dinamo Zagreb 54.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.2% (Δ+0%) | Hajduk Split 21.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
2.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.75
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Vukovar Rank: 54 W
Osijek Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Osijek Rank: 63 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 63 W
34
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
34 - 22 - 16
16
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo Zagreb
54.67%
Draw
24.18%
Away Hajduk Split
21.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.07
72.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo Zagreb
Hajduk Split
Power Score
81.07
72.6
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
53
146

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dinamo Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo Zagreb Hajduk Split

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 72 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo Zagreb GNK Home
72 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record
34
Wins
16
22
Draws
22
16
Losses
34
Goals
105
Goals Scored
62
62
Goals Conceded
105
+43
Goal Difference
-43

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:08:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Livaković
40 D. Livaković
M. Valincic
25 M. Valincic
N. Galesic
15 N. Galesic
R. Torrente Navarro
18 R. Torrente Navarro
M. Vinlöf
22 M. Vinlöf
M. Soldo
14 M. Soldo
J. Mišić
27 J. Mišić
G. Vidović
10 G. Vidović
M. Bakrar
71 M. Bakrar
D. Dijon
9 D. Dijon
A. Hoxha
11 A. Hoxha
T. Silić
33 T. Silić
D. Melnjak
17 D. Melnjak
D. Maresic
15 D. Maresic
Z. Šarlija
31 Z. Šarlija
N. Sigur
8 N. Sigur
A. Pajaziti
4 A. Pajaziti
R. Brajković
28 R. Brajković
M. Šego
11 M. Šego
R. Pukstas
21 R. Pukstas
I. Almena Horcajo
30 I. Almena Horcajo
M. Livaja
10 M. Livaja

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Maksimir
Capacity :
24851
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

40
Dominik Livakovic
Dominik Livakovic Goalkeeper
6.65
11
Arbër Hoxha
Arbër Hoxha Centre Forward
6.98
9
Dion Beljo
Dion Beljo Left Wing
7.51
14
Marko Soldo
Marko Soldo Defensive Midfield
6.72
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic Right Back
6.81
18
Raúl Torrente
Raúl Torrente Left Back
7.22
22
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf
Matteo Pérez Vinlöf Left Back
6.93
25
Moris Valincic
Moris Valincic Right Back
6.83
27
Josip Misic
Josip Misic Defensive Midfield
7.25
71
Monsef Bakrar
Monsef Bakrar Attacking Midfield
6.87
10
Gabriel Vidovic
Gabriel Vidovic Right Wing
6.98

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.86
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Centre Forward
7.15
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Defensive Midfield
6.87
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego Left Wing
6.98
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Left Back
7.05
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Left Back
6.82
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Attacking Midfield
7.29
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Defensive Midfield
6.87
31
Zvonimir Sarlija
Zvonimir Sarlija Right Back
6.95
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Right Back
6.98
30
Iker Almena
Iker Almena Right Wing
7.01

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Dinamo Zagreb holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Dinamo Zagreb a 8.5-point edge. External projection is Dinamo Zagreb 56.6%, draw 23.5%, and Hajduk Split 19.9%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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