Crystal Palace vs West Ham United Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Selhurst Park Mon, 20 Apr - 7:00 PM
Premier League
Crystal Palace CRY
Versus
West Ham United WHU
KICKOFF : Mon, 20 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Premier League Regular Season of 2025/2026, Crystal Palace host West Ham United at Selhurst Park looking to build on their mid-table position. The home side sit 13th with a power score of 31.93 against the visitors' 23.18 in 17th place, creating an 8.8 point advantage that identifies Palace as the stronger team. Both clubs arrive with renewed confidence after securing wins in their last outings, Palace overcoming Newcastle United at home and West Ham beating Wolverhampton Wanderers. Form scores favor the hosts at 55.56 compared to 44.44 for the away team, while their six-match records read W3 D1 L2 for Palace and W2 D2 L2 for West Ham. The venue's familiar surroundings offer Palace a platform to press their edge through organized build-up and attacking intent. West Ham must find a way to neutralize the home momentum and improve their away record in a league where every point carries significant weight.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Palace hold clear structural edge with 8.8 power score advantage, 13th place ranking, and home venue support against 17th-placed West Ham.
  • Form: Both teams won last time out; Palace's 55.56 form score and W3 D1 L2 record from six games shade West Ham's 44.44 and W2 D2 L2.
  • Squad: Palace squad appears better positioned to deliver consistent performances at home, while West Ham retain enough quality to pose counter threats.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics currently limited, yet Palace's superior power ranking suggests stronger overall execution and resource use on the pitch.
  • Transition: Palace expected to control transitions at Selhurst Park, forcing West Ham to absorb pressure before launching selective counters.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence and proxy reliance for both sides, pointing to similar profiles without clear differentiation.
  • xVariable: Power advantage of 8.8 points stands as the primary xVariable, tilting expectations toward Crystal Palace in this matchup.
  • Market: Crystal Palace 42.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.1% (Δ+0%) | West Ham United 28.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
VS
West Ham United N. Simões Espírito Santo
N. Simões Espírito Santo
1.26
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.12
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Newcastle United Rank: W
Leeds United Rank: D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Manchester United Rank: L
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: W
Burnley Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: W
Aston Villa Rank: L
Manchester City Rank: D
Fulham Rank: W
Liverpool Rank: L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 9 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Crystal Palace
42.11%
Draw
29.05%
Away West Ham United
28.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.93
23.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
Power Score
31.93
23.18
League Position
13
17
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Crystal Palace Opponent-weighted form score
West Ham United Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Crystal Palace West Ham United

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Crystal Palace CRY Home
27 matches
West Ham United WHU Away
Match Record
10
Wins
8
9
Draws
9
8
Losses
10
Goals
44
Goals Scored
43
43
Goals Conceded
44
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T02:17:35+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
D. Henderson
1 D. Henderson
C. Richards
26 C. Richards
M. Lacroix
5 M. Lacroix
J. Canvot
23 J. Canvot
D. Muñoz Mejía
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
J. Lerma Solís
8 J. Lerma Solís
W. Hughes
19 W. Hughes
T. Mitchell
3 T. Mitchell
B. Johnson
11 B. Johnson
J. Strand Larsen
22 J. Strand Larsen
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
M. Hermansen
1 M. Hermansen
E. Diouf
12 E. Diouf
A. Disasi
4 A. Disasi
K. Mavropanos
15 K. Mavropanos
K. Walker-Peters
2 K. Walker-Peters
M. Espanha Fernandes
18 M. Espanha Fernandes
T. Souček
28 T. Souček
C. Summerville
7 C. Summerville
P. Pereira de Jesus
19 P. Pereira de Jesus
J. Bowen
20 J. Bowen
V. Castellanos Giménez
11 V. Castellanos Giménez

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 20, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Selhurst Park
Capacity
25456
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Scott Ledger
Darren England
Akil Howson
Matt Donohue

Expected Lineup

Referee : Darren England

Starting XI

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder
7.02
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder
6.83
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
6.88
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Jørgen Strand Larsen Centre Forward
6.51
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson Attacker
6.67
8
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma Central Midfield
6.73
19
Will Hughes
Will Hughes Central Midfield
6.7
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Left Back
6.85
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Right Back
6.88
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Centre Back
6.94
Referee : Darren England

Starting XI

1
Mads Hermansen
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.85
11
Taty Castellanos
Taty Castellanos Centre Forward
6.81
7
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville Left Wing
6.87
19
Pablo
Pablo Attacking Midfield
6.76
28
Tomáš Souček
Tomáš Souček Defensive Midfield
6.71
2
Kyle Walker-Peters
Kyle Walker-Peters Right Back
6.69
4
Axel Disasi
Axel Disasi Left Back
6.72
12
El Hadji Malick Diouf
El Hadji Malick Diouf Left Back
6.68
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Konstantinos Mavropanos Right Back
6.98
18
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Defensive Midfield
7.04
20
Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen Right Wing
6.99

CONCLUSION

Crystal Palace hold the initiative in this Selhurst Park meeting thanks to their higher power score, better league standing and solid recent home form. West Ham have shown glimpses of recovery with a last-match victory but face an uphill challenge given their lower metrics and away record. The contest is likely to be decided by midfield control and the ability to convert transitional moments, areas where the hosts currently hold sway. Limited set-piece insights shift emphasis onto open-play execution and defensive organization. A positive result for Palace would reinforce their mid-table security, while West Ham need to maximize any opportunities to claim points and ease their position near the bottom. Overall the statistics point to a home success in what remains a competitive and tactically nuanced Premier League fixture.