Córdoba vs Mirandés Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel Fri, 27 Mar - 6:00 PM
La Liga 2
Córdoba Córdoba
2 – 2
Mirandés MIR
Full Time Fri, 27 Mar 6:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season
Diego Bri - 12'
Adrián Fuentes - 47'
Goal
|
Goal
Carlos Fernández - 56' (P), 62'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Córdoba 1–2 Mirandés. The result saw Mirandés take the points. Mirandés showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 60%–40%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Mirandés showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Córdoba I. Ania Cadavieco
I. Ania Cadavieco
VS
Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.74
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 L
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
FC Andorra Rank: 58 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Almería Rank: 70 L
Leganés Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cádiz Rank: 60 L
Burgos Rank: 64 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
Huesca Rank: 60 W
Las Palmas Rank: 70 D
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Córdoba
59.6%
Draw
23.03%
Away Mirandés
17.36%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.86
58.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Córdoba
Mirandés
Power Score
61.86
58.55
League Position
12
21
Global Rank
429
530

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Córdoba Mirandés

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mirandés
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.92
35.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.50
37.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Córdoba +0.24 Efficiency Index
vs
Mirandés -0.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Mirandés
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Córdoba ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mirandés
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Córdoba Mirandés
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Córdoba Mirandés
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Córdoba
Mirandés
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Córdoba Córdoba Home
11 matches
Mirandés MIR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
5
4
Draws
4
5
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
12
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-28T00:00:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Iker
Andorra
1 I. Iker
C. Albarrán Sanz
Spain
21 C. Albarrán Sanz
X. Egea
Spain
15 X. Egea
R. González Alves
Substitution
Brazil
16 R. González Alves
D. Bri Carrazoni
Spain
5 D. Bri Carrazoni
P. Ortiz Bernat
Spain
24 P. Ortiz Bernat
I. Ruiz Sánchez
Spain
8 I. Ruiz Sánchez
D. de Almeida Leite
Substitution
Brazil
19 D. de Almeida Leite
C. Carracedo García
Spain
23 C. Carracedo García
A. Fuentes González
Substitution
Spain
18 A. Fuentes González
J. González Rodrigañez
Substitution
Spain
10 J. González Rodrigañez
J. Palomares Pulpillo
Spain
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
F. Medrano Gastañaga
Spain
3 F. Medrano Gastañaga
J. Cabello Trujillo
Spain
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
J. Gutiérrez Martínez
Spain
22 J. Gutiérrez Martínez
T. Tamarit Tamarit
27 T. Tamarit Tamarit
R. Bauzà Sureda
Substitution
Spain
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
S. Clua Oya
Substitution
Spain
16 S. Clua Oya
S. El Jebari El Hannouni
Substitution
Morocco
30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni
F. Hernandez Coarasa
Spain
28 F. Hernandez Coarasa
D. Sia
Substitution
Italy
20 D. Sia
C. Fernández Luna
Substitution
Spain
10 C. Fernández Luna

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 27, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Arcángel
Capacity
21384
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Carlos Martínez Caballero
Iván Hernández Ramos
Juan Francisco Roca Robles
Andrés Fuentes Molina

Statistics

Possession
Córdoba
58%
MIR
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 4
20 Shots 13
55 Dangerous attacks 24
60 Possession 40
4 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 18
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

7 Successful Dribbles 10
7 Goal Kicks 5
15 Dribble Attempts 16
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
2 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Penalties 1
5 Substitutions 5
76 Ball Safe 82
15 Goal Attempts 8
0 Assists 1
20 Throwins 24
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

92 Attacks 71
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

67 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36
11 Key Passes 5
54 Long Passes 56
36 Successful Long Passes 20
439 Passes 295
85 Successful Passes Percentage 72
371 Successful Passes 213

Defensive

17 Tackles 16
1 Saves 8
8 Interceptions 8

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 16
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Starting XI ▼

1
Iker Álvarez
Iker Álvarez Goalkeeper
5
Diego Bri
Diego Bri Defender
15
Xavi Sintes
Xavi Sintes Defender
16
Rubén Alves
Rubén Alves Defender
7
Théo Zidane
Théo Zidane
Midfielder61'
21
Carlos Albarrán
Carlos Albarrán Defender
8
Isma Ruiz
Isma Ruiz Midfielder
19
Dalisson de Almeida
Dalisson de Almeida Midfielder
25
Mikel Goti
Mikel Goti
Midfielder74'
24
Pedro Ortiz
Pedro Ortiz Midfielder
10
Jacobo González
Jacobo González Attacker
17
Adilson
Adilson
Attacker75'
18
Adrián Fuentes
Adrián Fuentes Attacker
14
Sergi Guardiola
Sergi Guardiola
Attacker75'
23
Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo Attacker
Referee : Andrés Fuentes Molina

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Defender
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Defender
22
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez Defender
27
Toni Tamarit
Toni Tamarit Defender
16
Selvi Clua
Selvi Clua Midfielder
6
Thiago Helguera
Thiago Helguera
Midfielder61'
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Midfielder
8
Aarón Martin
Aarón Martin
Midfielder84'
20
Diego Sia
Diego Sia Midfielder
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura
Midfielder46'
28
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Midfielder
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari Midfielder
17
Pablo Pérez
Pablo Pérez
Defender78'
10
Carlos Fernández
Carlos Fernández Attacker
2
2
Hugo Novoa
Hugo Novoa
Attacker84'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sergi Guardiola
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Kevin Medina → Adilson
10th Substitution
90+1'
90+1'
Event
Fernando Medrano
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Aarón Martin → Rafel Bauzà
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Hugo Novoa → Carlos Fernández
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Carlos Fernández
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Pablo Pérez → Salim El Jebari
7th Substitution
Event
Adilson → Jacobo González
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Sergi Guardiola → Adrián Fuentes
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Mikel Goti → Dalisson de Almeida
4th Substitution
74'
Event
6th Yellowcard
68'
Event
Théo Zidane
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
68'
62'
Event
Carlos Fernández
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Théo Zidane → Rubén Alves
3rd Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Thiago Helguera → Selvi Clua
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Carlos Fernández
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Adrián Fuentes
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
47'
46'
Event
Unax del Cura → Diego Sia
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Pedro Ortiz
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
43'
Event
Diego Bri
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Mirandés exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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