Cesena vs Calcio Padova Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Cesena CES
Versus
Calcio Padova PAD
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cesena hosts Calcio Padova at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi in a Serie B regular season fixture for the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting 9th in the table, Cesena leverages a power score of 52.49 against Padova's 48.16, granting the home side a 4.3-point advantage and marking them as the stronger outfit. Form metrics tilt further in Cesena's favor with a 15.5 score eclipsing Padova's 12.67, hinting at recent momentum despite absent detailed records of last outings. League positions underscore Cesena's mid-table solidity versus Padova's lower 14th placement. Set piece analysis reveals low-confidence proxies without xG data, limiting insights into dead-ball threats for both teams. Domestic standings confirm these ranks within Serie B. This matchup pits a poised home team against a chasing visitor, where power and form could dictate proceedings in a tightly contested affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Cesena possesses a 4.3-point power advantage over Calcio Padova, with scores of 52.49 to 48.16.
  • Form: Home team Cesena leads in form at 15.5 versus Padova's 12.67.
  • Squad: Cesena occupies 9th place while Padova trails in 14th in Serie B standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies without xG availability for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent due to disabled add-on in dataset.
  • Market: Projection split: Cesena 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Calcio Padova 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cesena M. Mignani
M. Mignani
VS
Calcio Padova M. Andreoletti
M. Andreoletti
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Carrarese Rank: 54 D
Sampdoria Rank: 52 D
Palermo Rank: 63 L
Juve Stabia Rank: 55 L
Südtirol Rank: 52 D
Catanzaro Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pescara Rank: 49 D
Virtus Entella Rank: 48 L
Reggiana Rank: 47 W
Empoli Rank: 55 W
Frosinone Rank: 67 L
Palermo Rank: 64 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cesena
0%
Draw
0%
Away Calcio Padova
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.49
48.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cesena
Calcio Padova
Power Score
52.49
48.16
League Position
9
14
Global Rank
708
810

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cesena — Opponent-weighted form score
Calcio Padova — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cesena Calcio Padova

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cesena CES Home
8 matches
Calcio Padova PAD Away
Match Record
4
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
4
Goals
10
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
10
+5
Goal Difference
-5

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T01:00:37+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Capacity :
20194
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

33
Jonathan Klinsmann
Jonathan Klinsmann Goalkeeper
1
Alessandro Siano
Alessandro Siano Goalkeeper
40
Luca Ferretti
Luca Ferretti Goalkeeper
39
Niccolò Fontana
Niccolò Fontana Goalkeeper
24
Massimiliano Mangraviti
Massimiliano Mangraviti Defender
99
Gianluca Frabotta
Gianluca Frabotta Defender
19
Giovanni Zaro
Giovanni Zaro Defender
15
Andrea Ciofi
Andrea Ciofi Defender
26
Matteo Piacentini
Matteo Piacentini Defender
27
Tommaso Corazza
Tommaso Corazza Defender
16
Peter Amoran
Peter Amoran Defender
18
Matteo Guidi
Matteo Guidi Defender
23
Vittorio Magni
Vittorio Magni Defender
6
Tommaso Arrigoni
Tommaso Arrigoni Midfielder
10
Simone Bastoni
Simone Bastoni Midfielder
25
Dimitri Bisoli
Dimitri Bisoli Midfielder
8
Gaetano Castrovilli
Gaetano Castrovilli Midfielder
4
Michele Castagnetti
Michele Castagnetti Midfielder
70
Matteo Francesconi
Matteo Francesconi Midfielder
14
Tommaso Berti
Tommaso Berti Midfielder
35
Davide Zamagni
Davide Zamagni Midfielder
7
Alberto Cerri
Alberto Cerri Attacker
22
Giacomo Vrioni
Giacomo Vrioni Attacker
32
Marco Olivieri
Marco Olivieri Attacker
11
Riccardo Ciervo
Riccardo Ciervo Attacker
9
Cristian Shpendi
Cristian Shpendi Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Michele Voltan
Michele Voltan Goalkeeper
22
Alessandro Sorrentino
Alessandro Sorrentino Goalkeeper
14
Mattia Fortin
Mattia Fortin Goalkeeper
1
Louis Moise Nascimento Mouquet
Louis Moise Nascimento Mouquet Goalkeeper
18
Paolo Ghiglione
Paolo Ghiglione Defender
3
Antonio Barreca
Antonio Barreca Defender
5
Marco Perrotta
Marco Perrotta Defender
4
Francesco Belli
Francesco Belli Defender
30
Giulio Favale
Giulio Favale Defender
32
Filippo Sgarbi
Filippo Sgarbi Defender
58
Christian Pastina
Christian Pastina Defender
72
Carlo Faedo
Carlo Faedo Defender
55
Lorenzo Villa
Lorenzo Villa Defender
13
Alessandro Boi
Alessandro Boi Defender
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
Lorenzo Crisetig Midfielder
7
Kevin Varas Marcillo
Kevin Varas Marcillo Midfielder
8
Pietro Fusi
Pietro Fusi Midfielder
17
Alessandro Capelli
Alessandro Capelli Midfielder
23
Luca Di Maggio
Luca Di Maggio Midfielder
21
Jacopo Bacci
Jacopo Bacci Midfielder
86
Giovanni Giunti
Giovanni Giunti Midfielder
41
Jonathan Silva Pertinhes
Jonathan Silva Pertinhes Midfielder
44
Jonas Harder
Jonas Harder Midfielder
16
Francesco Tumiatti
Francesco Tumiatti Midfielder
10
Alejandro Darío Gómez
Alejandro Darío Gómez Attacker
24
Gianluca Caprari
Gianluca Caprari Attacker
15
Kevin Lasagna
Kevin Lasagna Attacker
77
Francesco Di Mariano
Francesco Di Mariano Attacker
92
Cristian Buonaiuto
Cristian Buonaiuto Attacker
20
Mattia Bortolussi
Mattia Bortolussi Attacker
25
Simone Russini
Simone Russini Attacker
11
Alessandro Seghetti
Alessandro Seghetti Attacker

CONCLUSION

Cesena enters as the favored host, bolstered by superior power ratings and form scores that outpace Padova's efforts. The 9th-placed side's home advantage at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi amplifies their edge over the 14th-placed visitors. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece xG data, focus shifts to overall structural strengths and league positioning. Padova must counter Cesena's momentum to climb, but current metrics suggest a home tilt. Watch for Cesena's consistency to shine in this Serie B regular season clash, potentially extending their mid-table buffer.

Cesena vs Calcio Padova preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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