Celtic vs Rangers Prediction, Preview and Stats

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Celtic Park Sun, 10 May - 11:00 AM
Premiership
Celtic CEL
Versus
Rangers RAN
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 11:00 AM
Round 36 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Celtic host Rangers in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Celtic Park. Domestically, Celtic sit 3th in the table while Rangers are 3th. Power ranking favours Celtic by 1.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celtic holds a 1.7-point power advantage with a score of 78.22 over Rangers' 76.56.
  • Form: Celtic's form score stands at 35.56, superior to Rangers' 25.06.
  • Squad: Both Celtic and Rangers occupy third place in the Premiership standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play assessment limited by absent detailed metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information and low confidence proxy.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available for either team.
  • Market: Celtic 44.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.3% (Δ+0%) | Rangers 30.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celtic M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
VS
Rangers D. Röhl
D. Röhl
2.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hibernian Rank: 68 W
Falkirk Rank: 65 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
Dundee Rank: 59 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 L
Motherwell Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hearts Rank: 74 L
Motherwell Rank: 66 L
Falkirk Rank: 65 W
Dundee United Rank: 62 W
Aberdeen Rank: 59 W
St. Mirren Rank: 57 W
28
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
28 - 14 - 23
23
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celtic
44.54%
Draw
25.28%
Away Rangers
30.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.22
76.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celtic
Rangers
Power Score
78.22
76.56
League Position
3
3
Global Rank
74
91

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score
Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celtic Rangers

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 65 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celtic CEL Home
65 matches
Rangers RAN Away
Match Record
28
Wins
23
14
Draws
14
23
Losses
28
Goals
97
Goals Scored
81
81
Goals Conceded
97
+16
Goal Difference
-16

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:03:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
V. Sinisalo
12 V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston
2 A. Johnston
A. Trusty
6 A. Trusty
L. Scales
5 L. Scales
K. Tierney
63 K. Tierney
C. McGregor
42 C. McGregor
A. Engels
27 A. Engels
S. Tounekti
23 S. Tounekti
B. Nygren
8 B. Nygren
H. Yang
13 H. Yang
D. Maeda
38 D. Maeda
J. Butland
1 J. Butland
D. Sterling
21 D. Sterling
E. Fernandez
37 E. Fernandez
N. Djiga
24 N. Djiga
J. Tavernier
2 J. Tavernier
T. Chukwuani
42 T. Chukwuani
N. Raskin
43 N. Raskin
M. Diomande
10 M. Diomande
M. Moore
47 M. Moore
Y. Ramalho Chermiti
9 Y. Ramalho Chermiti
A. Olsen
7 A. Olsen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 36 · 2nd Phase
Stadium :
Celtic Park
Capacity :
60411
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Matthew McDermid
N. Walsh
Frank Connor
Daniel McFarlane

Expected Lineup

Referee : N. Walsh

Starting XI ▼

12
Viljami Sinisalo
Viljami Sinisalo Goalkeeper
6.67
5
Liam Scales
Liam Scales Defender
7.08
2
Alistair Johnston
Alistair Johnston Defender
7.37
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty Defender
6.99
63
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Defender
7.25
42
Callum McGregor
Callum McGregor Midfielder
7.13
27
Arne Engels
Arne Engels Midfielder
6.91
23
Sebastian Tounekti
Sebastian Tounekti Attacker
6.89
13
Hyun-jun Yang
Hyun-jun Yang Attacker
6.97
38
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda Attacker
6.88
8
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren Attacker
7.4
Referee : N. Walsh

Starting XI ▼

1
Jack Butland
Jack Butland Goalkeeper
6.87
37
Emmanuel Fernandez
Emmanuel Fernandez Defender
7.26
2
James Tavernier
James Tavernier Defender
7.4
21
Dujon Sterling
Dujon Sterling Defender
6.86
24
Nasser Djiga
Nasser Djiga Defender
6.95
10
Mohamed Diomandé
Mohamed Diomandé Midfielder
6.78
42
Tochi Chukwuani
Tochi Chukwuani Midfielder
6.86
43
Nicolas Raskin
Nicolas Raskin Midfielder
7.32
9
Youssef Chermiti
Youssef Chermiti Attacker
7.1
7
Andreas Skov Olsen
Andreas Skov Olsen Attacker
7.04
47
Mikey Moore
Mikey Moore Attacker
6.83

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Celtic holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Celtic a 1.7-point edge. External projection is Celtic 44.5%, draw 25.3%, and Rangers 30.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Celtic vs Rangers preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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