Celta de Vigo vs Levante Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Balaídos Today - 5:00 PM
La Liga
Celta de Vigo CEL
Versus
Levante LVT
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Celta de Vigo hosts Levante at Estadio de Balaídos in a La Liga regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 6th in the standings, the home side commands a clear edge with a power score of 80.71 against Levante's 62.5, translating to an 18.2-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Levante languishes in 19th place, grappling with relegation pressures. Form metrics reveal parity, as Celta scores 22.83 recently while Levante sits at 22.22, suggesting recent performances offer little separation. The hosts benefit from familiar surroundings and a motivated fanbase, aiming to extend their mid-table solidity. Levante must disrupt this dynamic to salvage points. Detailed set piece and efficiency data remain elusive due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG metrics, leaving broader team strengths as key differentiators in this matchup.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celta de Vigo ranks 6th with an 18.2-point power advantage over 19th-placed Levante.
  • Form: Recent form scores stand nearly even at 22.83 for Celta de Vigo and 22.22 for Levante.
  • Squad: Celta de Vigo's squad power rates at 80.71, surpassing Levante's 62.5.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable assessments.
  • Market: Baseline split: Celta de Vigo 50.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.5% (Δ+0%) | Levante 24.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
VS
Levante L. Ferreira de Castro
L. Ferreira de Castro
1.61
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
Elche Rank: 75 W
Villarreal Rank: 82 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 L
Valencia Rank: 78 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osasuna Rank: 78 W
Villarreal Rank: 83 L
Espanyol Rank: 72 D
Sevilla Rank: 73 W
Getafe Rank: 76 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 6 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celta de Vigo
50.07%
Draw
25.54%
Away Levante
24.39%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.71
62.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celta de Vigo
Levante
Power Score
80.71
62.5
League Position
6
19
Global Rank
57
127

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Levante — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celta de Vigo Levante

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celta de Vigo CEL Home
25 matches
Levante LVT Away
Match Record
13
Wins
6
6
Draws
6
6
Losses
13
Goals
40
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
40
+10
Goal Difference
-10

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T15:01:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Radu
Romania
13 I. Radu
J. Rodríguez Galiano
Spain
32 J. Rodríguez Galiano
Y. Lago Amil
Spain
29 Y. Lago Amil
M. Alonso Mendoza
Spain
20 M. Alonso Mendoza
J. Rueda García
Spain
17 J. Rueda García
H. Sotelo
Spain
22 H. Sotelo
Ilaix Moriba
Guinea
6 Ilaix Moriba
S. Carreira Vilariño
Spain
5 S. Carreira Vilariño
I. Aspas Juncal
Spain
10 I. Aspas Juncal
F. Jutlgà Blanc
Spain
9 F. Jutlgà Blanc
B. Iglesias Quintas
Spain
7 B. Iglesias Quintas
Pitch
M. Ryan
Australia
13 M. Ryan
D. Varela Pampín
Spain
6 D. Varela Pampín
M. Moreno
Argentina
2 M. Moreno
A. De la Fuente Barquilla
Spain
4 A. De la Fuente Barquilla
J. Toljan
Germany
22 J. Toljan
J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
Spain
8 J. Olasagasti Imizcoz
K. Arriaga
Honduras
16 K. Arriaga
R. Brugué Ayguadé
Spain
7 R. Brugué Ayguadé
P. Martínez Andrés
Spain
10 P. Martínez Andrés
V. García Raja
Spain
17 V. García Raja
C. Espí Escrihuela
Spain
19 C. Espí Escrihuela

General Information

Date & Time :
May 12, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio de Balaídos
Capacity :
25000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Adrián Cordero Vega
Israel Bárcena Rodríguez
Judit Romano García
María Eugenia Gil Soriano

Lineup

Referee : Adrián Cordero Vega

Starting XI ▼

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
6.88
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Defender
6.77
17
Javi Rueda
Javi Rueda Defender
6.79
20
Marcos Alonso
Marcos Alonso Defender
7.01
29
Yoel Lago
Yoel Lago Defender
6.65
32
Javi Rodríguez
Javi Rodríguez Defender
6.72
6
Ilaix Moriba
Ilaix Moriba Midfielder
6.8
9
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran Jutglà Midfielder
6.88
10
Iago Aspas
Iago Aspas Midfielder
6.99
22
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo Midfielder
7.01
7
Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias Attacker
6.92
Referee : Adrián Cordero Vega

Starting XI ▼

13
Mathew Ryan
Mathew Ryan Goalkeeper
7.11
2
Matías Moreno
Matías Moreno Defender
6.82
4
Adrián Dela
Adrián Dela Defender
6.94
6
Diego Pampín
Diego Pampín Defender
6.38
22
Jeremy Toljan
Jeremy Toljan Defender
6.64
8
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Jon Ander Olasagasti Midfielder
6.76
10
Pablo Martínez
Pablo Martínez Midfielder
6.83
16
Kervin Arriaga
Kervin Arriaga Midfielder
6.74
7
Roger Brugué
Roger Brugué Attacker
6.5
17
Víctor García
Víctor García Attacker
6.82
19
Carlos Espí
Carlos Espí Attacker
6.88

CONCLUSION

Celta de Vigo enters as the clear favorite, leveraging home advantage at Balaídos and a substantial power edge to target victory against struggling Levante. Their 6th-place standing contrasts sharply with the visitors' 19th position, amplifying the hosts' momentum despite matched form figures. Without granular efficiency or set piece insights, raw strength and venue familiarity tilt proceedings toward Celta. Levante requires a flawless execution to counter this disparity and secure a vital result in their survival bid. Expect the hosts to dominate possession and convert opportunities effectively.

Celta de Vigo vs Levante preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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