Catanzaro vs Bari 1908 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Catanzaro CAT
Versus
Bari 1908 BAR
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:30 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Catanzaro welcomes Bari 1908 to Stadio Nicola Ceravolo for a Serie B regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting fifth in the standings, the hosts hold a commanding power score of 60.81 against Bari's 48.71, translating to a 12.1-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Catanzaro's form score of 20.11 dwarfs Bari's 10, reflecting sharper momentum amid Bari's 19th-place struggles. With domestic positions highlighting the gap, Catanzaro enters as the stronger side, poised to capitalize on home turf. Limited data on set pieces reveals low-confidence proxy metrics for both, lacking xG insights. No recent outings detailed, yet the power disparity suggests Catanzaro dictates play. Bari faces an uphill battle to reverse fortunes against a side thriving in mid-table contention.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Catanzaro possesses a 12.1-point power advantage over Bari 1908.
  • Form: Catanzaro's form score stands at 20.11, surpassing Bari 1908's 10.
  • Squad: League positions place Catanzaro fifth and Bari 1908 19th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data without xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable analysis.
  • Market: Baseline split: Catanzaro 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Bari 1908 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Catanzaro A. Aquilani
A. Aquilani
VS
Bari 1908 F. Caserta
F. Caserta
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.85
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo Rank: 64 D
Spezia Rank: 51 W
Juve Stabia Rank: 56 D
Modena Rank: 57 D
Avellino Rank: 51 D
Monza Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Virtus Entella Rank: 49 D
Avellino Rank: 52 L
Venezia Rank: 69 L
Monza Rank: 65 L
Modena Rank: 57 W
Carrarese Rank: 54 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Catanzaro
0%
Draw
0%
Away Bari 1908
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.81
48.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Catanzaro
Bari 1908
Power Score
60.81
48.71
League Position
5
19
Global Rank
448
820

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Catanzaro — Opponent-weighted form score
Bari 1908 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Catanzaro Bari 1908

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Catanzaro CAT Home
7 matches
Bari 1908 BAR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
2
Goals
10
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
10
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T01:01:03+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Capacity :
14650
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

22
Mirko Pigliacelli
Mirko Pigliacelli Goalkeeper
1
Christian Marietta
Christian Marietta Goalkeeper
99
Edoardo Borrelli
Edoardo Borrelli Goalkeeper
12
Lorenzo Madia
Lorenzo Madia Goalkeeper
23
Nicolo Brighenti
Nicolo Brighenti Defender
4
Matias Antonini Lui
Matias Antonini Lui Defender
84
Tommaso Cassandro
Tommaso Cassandro Defender
2
Gonçalo do Lago Pontes Esteves
Gonçalo do Lago Pontes Esteves Defender
26
Bruno Verrengia
Bruno Verrengia Defender
33
Mario Paura
Mario Paura Defender
6
Fellipe Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco
Fellipe Jack Ozilio Moreira Pacheco Defender
5
Ervin Bashi
Ervin Bashi Defender
28
Rémi Oudin
Rémi Oudin Midfielder
10
Jacopo Petriccione
Jacopo Petriccione Midfielder
20
Simone Pontisso
Simone Pontisso Midfielder
21
Marco Pompetti
Marco Pompetti Midfielder
98
Davide Buglio
Davide Buglio Midfielder
30
Gabriele Alesi
Gabriele Alesi Midfielder
27
Costantino Favasuli
Costantino Favasuli Midfielder
80
Alphadjo Cisse
Alphadjo Cisse Midfielder
62
Ruggero Frosinini
Ruggero Frosinini Midfielder
14
Mattia Liberali
Mattia Liberali Midfielder
32
Fabio Rispoli
Fabio Rispoli Midfielder
77
Marco D'Alessandro
Marco D'Alessandro Attacker
94
Federico Di Francesco
Federico Di Francesco Attacker
9
Pietro Iemmello
Pietro Iemmello Attacker
39
N'Dri Philippe Koffi
N'Dri Philippe Koffi Attacker
8
Filippo Pittarello
Filippo Pittarello Attacker
19
Patrick Amoako Nuamah
Patrick Amoako Nuamah Attacker
—
Sayha Seha
Sayha Seha Attacker

Squad ▼

31
Michele Cerofolini
Michele Cerofolini Goalkeeper
12
Davide Marfella
Davide Marfella Goalkeeper
1
Marco Pissardo
Marco Pissardo Goalkeeper
43
Dimitrios Nikolaou
Dimitrios Nikolaou Defender
13
Valerio Mantovani
Valerio Mantovani Defender
25
Raffaele Pucino
Raffaele Pucino Defender
24
Lorenzo Dickmann
Lorenzo Dickmann Defender
51
Andrea Cistana
Andrea Cistana Defender
3
Riccardo Burgio
Riccardo Burgio Defender
26
Cas Odenthal
Cas Odenthal Defender
93
Emile Dorval
Emile Dorval Defender
30
Balla Moussa Manè
Balla Moussa Manè Defender
37
Giacomo Stabile
Giacomo Stabile Defender
29
Matthias Verreth
Matthias Verreth Midfielder
10
Nicola Bellomo
Nicola Bellomo Midfielder
18
Giulio Maggiore
Giulio Maggiore Midfielder
7
Giuseppe Sibilli
Giuseppe Sibilli Midfielder
28
Kevin Piscopo
Kevin Piscopo Midfielder
19
Tomás Lago Pontes Esteves
Tomás Lago Pontes Esteves Midfielder
27
Matthias Braunöder
Matthias Braunöder Midfielder
5
Ebrima Darboe
Ebrima Darboe Midfielder
80
Federico Artioli
Federico Artioli Midfielder
20
Nicolò Cavuoti
Nicolò Cavuoti Midfielder
8
Riccardo Pagano
Riccardo Pagano Midfielder
66
Daouda Traoré
Daouda Traoré Midfielder
9
Christian Gytkjær
Christian Gytkjær Attacker
11
Gabriele Moncini
Gabriele Moncini Attacker
21
Anthony Partipilo
Anthony Partipilo Attacker
90
Marvin Cuni
Marvin Cuni Attacker
17
Emanuele Rao
Emanuele Rao Attacker
49
Giacomo De Pieri
Giacomo De Pieri Attacker

CONCLUSION

Catanzaro's superior power rating and form position them favorably against struggling Bari 1908. Fifth-placed hosts leverage home advantage at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, where their 60.81 power score eclipses the visitors' 48.71. Bari's 19th standing and weaker 10 form score signal vulnerability. Absent detailed set piece or xG metrics, the raw disparity points to Catanzaro controlling tempo. Expect the Giallorossi to press strengths in open play, potentially securing vital points in Serie B's tight race.

Catanzaro vs Bari 1908 preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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