Calcio Padova vs Reggiana Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Euganeo Sun, 19 Apr - 3:15 PM
Serie B
Calcio Padova PAD
Versus
Reggiana Reggiana
KICKOFF : Sun, 19 Apr - 3:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

As the 2025/2026 Serie B regular season unfolds, Calcio Padova prepares to face Reggiana at the Stadio Comunale Euganeo. The hosts sit in 14th place while their visitors occupy 18th, creating an opportunity for the home side to widen the gap. Padova carries a slight power score edge at 16.93 against 15.97, marking them as the stronger team with a one-point advantage. Recent form remains a concern for both, highlighted by Padova's W1 D0 L5 record and Reggiana's W1 D1 L4 across six matches each. Encouragingly, the sides arrive with fresh confidence after securing wins, Padova overcoming Empoli at home and Reggiana besting Carrarese in their own stadium. Tactical adjustments and player execution will likely shape this mid-table battle in Italy's competitive second tier.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Padova in 14th hosts 18th-placed Reggiana at Euganeo during the 2025/2026 Serie B regular season.
  • Form: Hosts show W1 D0 L5 and visitors W1 D1 L4 from six matches, yet both advance after claiming recent victories.
  • Squad: Core groups expected to feature prominently as limited specific squad updates surface ahead of the fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable, shifting focus toward overall power scores for performance context.
  • Transition: Marginal home power advantage could enable quicker shifts, though detailed transition data stays limited.
  • Set pieces: Proxy-based evaluations with low confidence apply due to absent xG information for both clubs.
  • xVariable: Expected goals and related variables cannot be analyzed as supporting data has not been generated.
  • Market: Calcio Padova 46.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.2% (Δ+0%) | Reggiana 25.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Calcio Padova R. Breda
R. Breda
VS
Reggiana P. Bisoli
P. Bisoli
1.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Empoli Rank: W
Frosinone Rank: L
Palermo Rank: L
Venezia Rank: L
Catanzaro Rank: L
Avellino Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Carrarese Rank: W
Pescara Rank: L
Virtus Entella Rank: L
Monza Rank: D
Bari 1908 Rank: L
Venezia Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Calcio Padova
46.59%
Draw
28.23%
Away Reggiana
25.18%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.93
15.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Calcio Padova
Reggiana
Power Score
16.93
15.97
League Position
14
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Calcio Padova — Opponent-weighted form score
Reggiana — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Calcio Padova Reggiana

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Calcio Padova PAD Home
1 matches
Reggiana Reggiana Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-16T01:07:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Sorrentino
22 A. Sorrentino
F. Sgarbi
32 F. Sgarbi
M. Perrotta
5 M. Perrotta
C. Pastina
58 C. Pastina
A. Capelli
17 A. Capelli
P. Fusi
8 P. Fusi
L. Crisetig
6 L. Crisetig
K. Varas Marcillo
7 K. Varas Marcillo
G. Favale
30 G. Favale
M. Bortolussi
20 M. Bortolussi
F. Di Mariano
77 F. Di Mariano
A. Micai
1 A. Micai
S. Bonetti
43 S. Bonetti
M. Vanelli Lusuardi
47 M. Vanelli Lusuardi
F. Vicari
34 F. Vicari
L. Libutti
17 L. Libutti
M. Portanova
90 M. Portanova
T. Reinhart
16 T. Reinhart
M. Bertagnoli
26 M. Bertagnoli
K. Bozhanaj
10 K. Bozhanaj
M. Lambourde
93 M. Lambourde
C. Gondo
11 C. Gondo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Euganeo
Capacity
32420
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Alessandro Sorrentino
Alessandro Sorrentino Goalkeeper
7
17
Alessandro Capelli
Alessandro Capelli Midfielder
6.9
30
Giulio Favale
Giulio Favale Midfielder
6.5
20
Mattia Bortolussi
Mattia Bortolussi Attacker
7.06
77
Francesco Di Mariano
Francesco Di Mariano Attacker
6.99
5
Marco Perrotta
Marco Perrotta Centre Back
6.92
7
Kevin Varas
Kevin Varas Central Midfield
6.86
8
Pietro Fusi
Pietro Fusi Central Midfield
6.78
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
Lorenzo Crisetig Central Midfield
6.75
32
Filippo Sgarbi
Filippo Sgarbi Right Back
6.9
58
Christian Pastina
Christian Pastina Left Back
6.82

Starting XI ▼

1
Alessandro Micai
Alessandro Micai Goalkeeper
6.85
10
Kleis Bozhanaj
Kleis Bozhanaj Midfielder
6.6
93
Mathis Lambourde
Mathis Lambourde Midfielder
6.62
11
Cedric Gondo
Cedric Gondo Centre Forward
6.84
16
Tobías Reinhart
Tobías Reinhart Central Midfield
7.03
17
Lorenzo Libutti
Lorenzo Libutti Right Back
6.55
26
Massimo Bertagnoli
Massimo Bertagnoli Central Midfield
6.74
34
Francesco Vicari
Francesco Vicari Right Back
6.67
43
Simone Bonetti
Simone Bonetti Left Back
6.47
47
Mateus Lusuardi
Mateus Lusuardi Left Back
6.7
90
Manolo Portanova
Manolo Portanova Central Midfield
6.91

CONCLUSION

Calcio Padova enters this match slightly favored thanks to their power score margin and home advantage at Euganeo. Reggiana faces an uphill task and must elevate their output beyond a patchy recent record to earn points on the road. Supporters anticipate a tense struggle where defensive discipline and swift counter moves could sway the result. Key individuals from each lineup stand ready to influence proceedings significantly. With the season still developing, three points here would boost the hosts' position while a positive showing might lift the visitors from lower standings. Strategic choices by the managers promise to define an engaging contest full of competitive spirit.

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