Cagliari vs Udinese Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Sardegna Arena Sat, 9 May - 1:00 PM
Serie A
Cagliari CAG
Versus
Udinese UDI
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cagliari faces Udinese at Sardegna Arena in a pivotal Serie A regular season match of the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts occupy 15th place, trailing Udinese in 11th, with the visitors holding a clear power edge at 76.32 versus Cagliari's 70.79—a 5.5-point advantage declaring Udinese the stronger team. Form metrics amplify this gap, as Udinese's 29.44 score towers over Cagliari's 15.78, hinting at recent momentum. Home support could ignite Cagliari's efforts, yet Udinese's superior ratings suggest tactical dominance potential. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces, relying on low-confidence proxies, leaves broader trends as key guides. Mid-table implications loom large, with both sides hungry for points to climb. This clash tests Cagliari's resilience against Udinese's structural prowess.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Udinese enters with a 5.5-point power advantage, scoring 76.32 to Cagliari's 70.79.
  • Form: Udinese boasts superior form at 29.44 compared to Cagliari's 15.78.
  • Squad: Cagliari ranks 15th in Serie A while Udinese sits 11th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics lack specific details in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies for both Cagliari and Udinese.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, restricting variable performance insights.
  • Market: Cagliari 37.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.7% (Δ+0%) | Udinese 32.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
VS
Udinese K. Runjaic
K. Runjaic
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.28
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bologna Rank: 78 D
Atalanta Rank: 85 W
Inter Rank: 90 L
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Sassuolo Rank: 76 L
Napoli Rank: 86 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Torino Rank: 75 W
Lazio Rank: 80 D
Parma Rank: 70 L
AC Milan Rank: 84 W
Como Rank: 84 D
Genoa Rank: 75 W
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 9 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cagliari
37.39%
Draw
29.67%
Away Udinese
32.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.79
76.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cagliari
Udinese
Power Score
70.79
76.32
League Position
15
11
Global Rank
191
95

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score
Udinese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cagliari Udinese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cagliari CAG Home
38 matches
Udinese UDI Away
Match Record
11
Wins
18
9
Draws
9
18
Losses
11
Goals
41
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
41
-22
Goal Difference
+22

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T00:06:57+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
E. Caprile
1 E. Caprile
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
32 J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
A. Dossena
22 A. Dossena
Y. Mina González
26 Y. Mina González
A. Obert
33 A. Obert
M. Palestra
2 M. Palestra
M. Adopo
8 M. Adopo
I. Sulemana
25 I. Sulemana
M. Folorunsho
90 M. Folorunsho
G. Gaetano
10 G. Gaetano
S. Esposito
94 S. Esposito
M. Okoye
40 M. Okoye
O. Solet Bomawoko
28 O. Solet Bomawoko
B. Mlacic
22 B. Mlacic
T. Kristensen
31 T. Kristensen
H. Kamara
11 H. Kamara
A. Atta
14 A. Atta
J. Ekkelenkamp
32 J. Ekkelenkamp
L. Miller
38 L. Miller
K. Ehizibue
19 K. Ehizibue
A. Buksa
18 A. Buksa
N. Zaniolo
10 N. Zaniolo

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Sardegna Arena
Capacity :
16416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Marco Palestra
Marco Palestra Midfielder
6.94
90
Michael Folorunsho
Michael Folorunsho Midfielder
6.6
94
Sebastiano Esposito
Sebastiano Esposito Centre Forward
7.14
10
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Attacking Midfield
6.81
22
Alberto Dossena
Alberto Dossena Right Back
6.88
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Central Midfield
6.68
25
Ibrahim Sulemana
Ibrahim Sulemana Central Midfield
6.46
26
Yerry Mina
Yerry Mina Left Back
6.88
32
Zé Pedro
Zé Pedro Right Back
6.59
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Left Back
6.82

Starting XI ▼

40
Maduka Okoye
Maduka Okoye Goalkeeper
6.77
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
Kingsley Ehizibue Midfielder
6.58
11
Hassane Kamara
Hassane Kamara Midfielder
6.79
18
Adam Buksa
Adam Buksa Attacker
6.65
10
Nicolò Zaniolo
Nicolò Zaniolo Attacker
6.97
14
Arthur Atta
Arthur Atta Central Midfield
6.96
28
Oumar Solet
Oumar Solet Left Back
7.11
31
Thomas Kristensen
Thomas Kristensen Right Back
6.94
32
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Central Midfield
6.94
22
Branimir Mlacic
Branimir Mlacic Centre Back
6.45
38
Lennon Miller
Lennon Miller Central Midfield
6.69

CONCLUSION

Udinese carries momentum into Sardegna Arena, leveraging a 76.32 power score and 29.44 form rating against Cagliari's 70.79 and 15.78. The 11th-placed visitors hold a 5.5-point edge over 15th-placed hosts, positioning them structurally ahead. Cagliari's home atmosphere provides a fighting chance, but overcoming form and power deficits requires precision. Without detailed efficiency or set-piece breakdowns—due to proxy reliance—execution decides the flow. Mid-table battles like this often hinge on disrupting opponents early. Udinese appears equipped to exploit advantages, potentially securing a narrow away result in this competitive Serie A fixture.

Cagliari vs Udinese preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Serie A, Italy View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ