Brest vs Strasbourg Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Francis-Le Ble Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Ligue 1
Brest B29
Versus
Strasbourg STR
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brest host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Domestically, Brest sit 12th in the table while Strasbourg are 8th. Power ranking favours Strasbourg by 4.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Strasbourg possesses a 4.6-point power advantage with a 77.46 score over Brest's 72.91.
  • Form: Strasbourg's form score stands at 18.5, well ahead of Brest's 9.33.
  • Squad: Brest holds 12th in Ligue 1, while Strasbourg occupies 8th place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency statistics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details lack specific data availability for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics use low-confidence proxies for Brest and Strasbourg alike.
  • xVariable: xG data absence limits variable performance evaluation for the teams.
  • Market: Projection split: Brest 30.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | Strasbourg 41.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brest E. Roy
E. Roy
VS
Strasbourg G. O'Neil
G. O'Neil
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 D
Paris Rank: 72 L
Lens Rank: 82 D
Nantes Rank: 64 D
Rennes Rank: 79 L
Auxerre Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Angers SCO Rank: 67 D
Toulouse Rank: 73 L
Lorient Rank: 74 W
Rennes Rank: 78 L
Nice Rank: 73 W
Nantes Rank: 67 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brest
30.68%
Draw
27.97%
Away Strasbourg
41.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.91
77.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brest
Strasbourg
Power Score
72.91
77.46
League Position
12
8
Global Rank
143
84

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brest — Opponent-weighted form score
Strasbourg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brest Strasbourg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brest B29 Home
12 matches
Strasbourg STR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
5
Goals
19
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
19
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-09T01:08:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
G. Coudert
30 G. Coudert
K. Lala
77 K. Lala
B. Chardonnet
5 B. Chardonnet
M. Diaz
4 M. Diaz
D. Guindo
27 D. Guindo
J. Chotard
13 J. Chotard
H. Magnetti
8 H. Magnetti
R. Del Castillo
10 R. Del Castillo
E. Dina Ebimbe
7 E. Dina Ebimbe
R. Labeau Lascary
14 R. Labeau Lascary
L. Ajorque
19 L. Ajorque
Pitch
M. Penders
39 M. Penders
B. Chilwell
3 B. Chilwell
A. Omobamidele
2 A. Omobamidele
I. Doukoure
6 I. Doukoure
G. Ouattara
42 G. Ouattara
M. Oyedele
8 M. Oyedele
S. El Mourabet
29 S. El Mourabet
M. Godo
20 M. Godo
S. Nanasi
11 S. Nanasi
G. Yassine
80 G. Yassine
J. Enciso
19 J. Enciso

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Capacity :
15097
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

30
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper
6.84
19
Ludovic Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque Centre Forward
7.17
10
Romain Del Castillo
Romain Del Castillo Right Wing
6.94
13
Joris Chotard
Joris Chotard Defensive Midfield
6.88
14
Rémy Labeau Lascary
Rémy Labeau Lascary Left Wing
6.65
4
Junior Diaz
Junior Diaz Left Back
6.9
5
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet Right Back
7.01
7
Junior Dina Ebimbe
Junior Dina Ebimbe Attacking Midfield
6.6
8
Hugo Magnetti
Hugo Magnetti Defensive Midfield
6.8
27
Daouda Guindo
Daouda Guindo Left Back
6.6
77
Kenny Lala
Kenny Lala Right Back
6.67

Starting XI ▼

39
Mike Penders
Mike Penders Goalkeeper
6.97
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Centre Forward
6.88
2
Andrew Omobamidele
Andrew Omobamidele Left Back
6.7
3
Ben Chilwell
Ben Chilwell Left Back
6.7
6
Ismaël Doukouré
Ismaël Doukouré Right Back
6.69
8
Maxi Oyedele
Maxi Oyedele Defensive Midfield
6.72
11
Sebastian Nanasi
Sebastian Nanasi Attacking Midfield
6.82
42
Abdoul Ouattara
Abdoul Ouattara Right Back
6.71
20
Martial Godo
Martial Godo Left Wing
6.9
29
Samir El Mourabet
Samir El Mourabet Defensive Midfield
6.94
80
Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine Right Wing
6.85

CONCLUSION

Strasbourg approaches this Ligue 1 encounter with superior power, form, and league position, positioning them as favorites against 12th-placed Brest. The 4.6-point edge and 18.5 form score highlight vulnerabilities in Brest's recent showings at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Projections underscore a narrow visitor tilt at 41.4%, yet home advantage could ignite Brest's challenge. Limited set piece and advanced metrics leave room for tactical surprises. Midfield control and defensive solidity will prove pivotal in a contest defined by execution. Strasbourg's strengths suggest control, but Brest's resolve might force a draw or upset in this balanced regular season bout.

Brest vs Strasbourg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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