Brest vs Strasbourg Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Francis-Le Ble Wed, 13 May - 5:00 PM
Ligue 1
Brest B29
Versus
Strasbourg STR
KICKOFF : Wed, 13 May - 5:00 PM
Round 29 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Brest host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Domestically, Brest sit 12th in the table while Strasbourg are 8th. Power ranking favours Strasbourg by 5.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Strasbourg holds a 5.1-point power advantage with a score of 78.15 over Brest's 73.06.
  • Form: Strasbourg boasts a superior form score of 18.61 compared to Brest's 9.33.
  • Squad: Strasbourg occupies 8th in the league standings ahead of Brest in 12th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided; Strasbourg's power edge implies stronger play.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to lack of xG availability and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for analysis in this matchup.
  • Market: Brest 30.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28% (Δ+0%) | Strasbourg 41.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brest E. Roy
E. Roy
VS
Strasbourg G. O'Neil
G. O'Neil
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 D
Paris Rank: 72 L
Lens Rank: 82 D
Nantes Rank: 64 D
Rennes Rank: 79 L
Auxerre Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Angers SCO Rank: 67 D
Toulouse Rank: 73 L
Lorient Rank: 74 W
Rennes Rank: 78 L
Nice Rank: 73 W
Nantes Rank: 67 W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brest
30.68%
Draw
27.97%
Away Strasbourg
41.35%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.06
78.15
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brest
Strasbourg
Power Score
73.06
78.15
League Position
12
8
Global Rank
143
80

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Brest Opponent-weighted form score
Strasbourg Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brest Strasbourg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brest B29 Home
12 matches
Strasbourg STR Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
5
Goals
19
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
19
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:53:18+00:00

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Capacity :
15097
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Radosław Majecki
Radosław Majecki Goalkeeper
30
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper
50
Noah Jauny
Noah Jauny Goalkeeper
77
Kenny Lala
Kenny Lala Defender
5
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet Defender
44
Soumaula Coulibaly
Soumaula Coulibaly Defender
2
Bradley Locko
Bradley Locko Defender
27
Daouda Guindo
Daouda Guindo Defender
4
Michel Junior Diaz
Michel Junior Diaz Defender
12
Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe
Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe Defender
71
Raphaël Marc Le Guen
Raphaël Marc Le Guen Defender
24
Lucas Tousart
Lucas Tousart Midfielder
8
Hugo Magnetti
Hugo Magnetti Midfielder
7
Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe
Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe Midfielder
13
Joris Chotard
Joris Chotard Midfielder
23
Kamory Doumbia
Kamory Doumbia Midfielder
33
Hamidou Makalou
Hamidou Makalou Midfielder
10
Romain Del Castillo
Romain Del Castillo Attacker
19
Ludovic Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque Attacker
17
Mama Samba Baldé
Mama Samba Baldé Attacker
14
Rémy  Labeau Lascary
Rémy Labeau Lascary Attacker
99
Pathé Mboup
Pathé Mboup Attacker
29
Serigne Diop
Serigne Diop Attacker

Squad

1
Karl-Johan Johnsson
Karl-Johan Johnsson Goalkeeper
50
Stefan Bajic
Stefan Bajic Goalkeeper
39
Mike Penders
Mike Penders Goalkeeper
3
Ben Chilwell
Ben Chilwell Defender
2
Andrew Omobamidele
Andrew Omobamidele Defender
22
Guela Doué
Guela Doué Defender
6
Ismael Doukoure
Ismael Doukoure Defender
42
Guemissongui Ouattara
Guemissongui Ouattara Defender
24
Lucas Høgsberg
Lucas Høgsberg Defender
5
Aaron Anselmino
Aaron Anselmino Defender
11
Sebastian Nanasi
Sebastian Nanasi Midfielder
19
Julio César Enciso
Julio César Enciso Midfielder
18
Junior Mwanga
Junior Mwanga Midfielder
8
Maximilano Oyedele
Maximilano Oyedele Midfielder
32
Valentín Barco
Valentín Barco Midfielder
7
Diego Manuel Jadon da Silva Moreira
Diego Manuel Jadon da Silva Moreira Midfielder
83
Rafael Filipe Gonçalves Soares Luís
Rafael Filipe Gonçalves Soares Luís Midfielder
17
Mathis Amougou
Mathis Amougou Midfielder
29
Samir El Mourabet
Samir El Mourabet Midfielder
10
Emanuel Esseh Emegha
Emanuel Esseh Emegha Attacker
15
David Datro Fofana
David Datro Fofana Attacker
27
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Attacker
20
Martial Godo
Martial Godo Attacker
80
Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine Attacker
9
Joaquín Panichelli
Joaquín Panichelli Attacker

CONCLUSION

Strasbourg enters as the stronger side with superior power scores, form, and league position, positioning them to dominate proceedings at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Brest's home advantage offers hope for an upset, potentially disrupting Strasbourg's rhythm through defensive resilience. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the contest hinges on form disparity and structural edges favoring the visitors. Expect Strasbourg to control transitions and create more opportunities, though Brest could capitalize on any lapses. Mid-table implications loom large, making this a pivotal encounter in the 2025/2026 Ligue 1 season.

Brest vs Strasbourg preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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