Blackburn Rovers vs West Bromwich Albion Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Ewood Park Mon, 6 Apr - 2:00 PM
Championship
Blackburn Rovers BBR
0 – 0
West Bromwich Albion WBA
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 41 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Blackburn Rovers and West Bromwich Albion has officially finished in a 0-0 draw. The two sides were already deadlocked at a goalless stalemate by halftime, and neither team could find a breakthrough in the second period. West Bromwich Albion controlled the majority of the ball, finishing with 56% possession compared to Blackburn's 44%. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture to further evaluate the quality of their scoring opportunities. Pre-match market expectations anticipated a tightly contested affair, giving Blackburn Rovers a 33.3% chance of winning, West Bromwich Albion a 35.8% chance, and a 31% probability for a draw. Because the match ended in a tie, the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market favorites. The result represented a significant deviation (69%) in performance specifically for Blackburn Rovers, who were unable to secure a victory at home. Both teams' offensive efficiency remained strictly in line with expectations during the stalemate, as neither side managed to convert any possession into a goal. Furthermore, the match flowed without any major disciplinary disruptions or red cards, leaving both sides fully intact at the final whistle.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Blackburn Rovers showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Jones
R. Jones
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
N. Davies
N. Davies
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
N. Greenhalgh
N. Greenhalgh
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
T. Nield
T. Nield
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.24
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.24
Blackburn Rovers M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
VS
West Bromwich Albion J. Morrison
J. Morrison
1.22
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.97
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Birmingham City Rank: 70 W
Middlesbrough Rank: 74 D
Millwall Rank: 75 W
Oxford United Rank: 65 L
Portsmouth Rank: 65 D
Derby County Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wrexham Rank: 74 D
Bristol City Rank: 68 W
Hull City Rank: 71 W
Southampton Rank: 76 D
Sheffield United Rank: 70 D
Oxford United Rank: 65 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 10 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Blackburn Rovers
33.28%
Draw
30.96%
Away West Bromwich Albion
35.76%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.39
66.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Blackburn Rovers
West Bromwich Albion
Power Score
67.39
66.24
League Position
19
20
Global Rank
250
277

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Blackburn Rovers — Opponent-weighted form score
West Bromwich Albion — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Blackburn Rovers West Bromwich Albion

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Blackburn Rovers

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

West Bromwich Albion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Blackburn Rovers ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy West Bromwich Albion
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.91
14.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.64
30.91
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Blackburn Rovers +1.58 Efficiency Index
vs
West Bromwich Albion -1.58 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Blackburn Rovers
West Bromwich Albion
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Blackburn Rovers ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy West Bromwich Albion
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Blackburn Rovers West Bromwich Albion
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Blackburn Rovers West Bromwich Albion
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Blackburn Rovers
West Bromwich Albion
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Blackburn Rovers
vs
West Bromwich Albion
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Blackburn Rovers West Bromwich Albion
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Blackburn Rovers 0.21
West Bromwich Albion 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Blackburn Rovers West Bromwich Albion
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Blackburn Rovers 0.00
West Bromwich Albion 0.00
Blackburn Rovers
West Bromwich Albion
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Blackburn Rovers BBR Home
25 matches
West Bromwich Albion WBA Away
Match Record
8
Wins
7
10
Draws
10
7
Losses
8
Goals
30
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
30
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:02:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
B. Tóth
Hungary
22 B. Tóth
T. Atcheson
England
38 T. Atcheson
S. Wharton
Substitution
England
16 S. Wharton
S. McLoughlin
Republic of Ireland
15 S. McLoughlin
R. Alebiousu
Nigeria
2 R. Alebiousu
A. Forshaw
England
28 A. Forshaw
M. Baradji
France
24 M. Baradji
H. Pickering
Substitution
England
3 H. Pickering
R. Morishita
Japan
25 R. Morishita
T. Cantwell
Substitution
England
10 T. Cantwell
Y. Ohashi
Japan
23 Y. Ohashi
M. O’Leary
England
1 M. O’Leary
C. Taylor
England
29 C. Taylor
G. Campbell
United States
6 G. Campbell
N. Phillips
England
3 N. Phillips
D. Imray
England
30 D. Imray
C. Styles
Hungary
4 C. Styles
O. Diakite
Mali
17 O. Diakite
J. Molumby
Republic of Ireland
8 J. Molumby
I. Price
Northern Ireland
21 I. Price
A. Heggebø
Substitution
Norway
19 A. Heggebø
J. Maja
Nigeria
9 J. Maja

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 06, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
Ewood Park
Capacity
31367
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Robert Jones
Neil Davies
Nick Greenhalgh
Tom Nield

Statistics

Possession
BBR
45%
WBA
55%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 2
52 Dangerous attacks 44
44 Possession 56
4 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 8
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

86 Ball Safe 112
5 Goal Attempts 4
8 Goal Kicks 11
23 Throwins 25
24 Successful Headers 25
5 Successful Dribbles 4
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
14 Dribble Attempts 12
0 Hit Woodwork 1
3 Substitutions 1
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

97 Attacks 110
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

238 Successful Passes 332
71 Successful Passes Percentage 77
55 Long Passes 76
337 Passes 431
8 Key Passes 5
10 Successful Long Passes 31
18 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

55 Duels Won 53
17 Tackles 16
7 Interceptions 12
3 Saves 0

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 17
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Robert Jones

Starting XI ▼

22
Balázs Tóth
Balázs Tóth Goalkeeper
15
Sean McLoughlin
Sean McLoughlin Defender
16
Scott Wharton
Scott Wharton Defender
4
Yuri Ribeiro
Yuri Ribeiro
Defender46'
38
Tom Atcheson
Tom Atcheson Defender
2
Ryan Alebiosu
Ryan Alebiosu Midfielder
3
Harry Pickering
Harry Pickering Midfielder
29
Mathias Jørgensen
Mathias Jørgensen
Attacker46'
24
Moussa Baradji
Moussa Baradji Midfielder
28
Adam Forshaw
Adam Forshaw Midfielder
10
Todd Cantwell
Todd Cantwell Attacker
21
Oladapo Afolayan
Oladapo Afolayan
Attacker77'
23
Yuki Ohashi
Yuki Ohashi Attacker
25
Ryoya Morishita
Ryoya Morishita Attacker
Referee : Robert Jones

Starting XI ▼

1
Max O'Leary
Max O'Leary Goalkeeper
3
Nat Phillips
Nat Phillips Defender
6
George Campbell
George Campbell Defender
29
Charlie Taylor
Charlie Taylor Defender
30
D. Imray
D. Imray Defender
4
Callum Styles
Callum Styles Midfielder
8
Jayson Molumby
Jayson Molumby Midfielder
17
Ousmane Diakité
Ousmane Diakité Midfielder
21
Isaac Price
Isaac Price Midfielder
9
Josh Maja
Josh Maja Attacker
19
Aune Heggebø
Aune Heggebø Attacker
12
Daryl Dike
Daryl Dike
Attacker72'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Daryl Dike 
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Oladapo Afolayan → Todd Cantwell
4th Substitution
77'
72'
Event
Daryl Dike  → Aune Heggebø
3rd Substitution
47'
Event
Ousmane Diakité
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Mathias Jørgensen → Harry Pickering
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Yuri Ribeiro → Scott Wharton
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Scott Wharton
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45'
Event
Harry Pickering
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
26'
Event
Sean McLoughlin
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
23'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Callum Styles of West Bromwich Albion shoots with his left foot from outside the box, but Balázs Tóth of Blackburn Rovers saves it in the right corner.
90
Update Update
Sean McLoughlin of Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Blackburn Rovers and West Bromwich Albion drawing 0-0.
90
Update Update
Daryl Dike of West Bromwich Albion commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Daryl Dike fouled a player from West Bromwich Albion.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daryl Dike of West Bromwich Albion receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Update Update
Balázs Tóth from Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
88
Update Update
Adam Forshaw of Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in defense.
88
Update Update
Foul committed by Josh Maja of West Bromwich Albion.
87
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Ryoya Morishita from Blackburn Rovers shot with his left foot from the left side of the box.
85
Corner Corner
West Bromwich Albion win a corner after Moussa Baradji concedes.
85
Attempt Attempt
Daryl Dike's shot for West Bromwich Albion from the right side of the box is blocked. Callum Styles provided the assist.
84
Attempt Attempt
Tom Atcheson's shot for Blackburn Rovers from outside the box is blocked. Adam Forshaw provided the assist.
84
Update Update
Josh Maja commits a handball for West Bromwich Albion.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Blackburn Rovers: Oladapo Afolayan replaces Todd Cantwell.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for West Bromwich Albion: Daryl Dike replaces Aune Heggebø.
70
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Adam Forshaw from Blackburn Rovers.
67
Attempt Attempt
Mathias Jørgensen's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Yuki Ohashi provided the assist.
64
Attempt Attempt
Isaac Price's shot from outside the box for West Bromwich Albion is blocked. Jayson Molumby provided the assist.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Blackburn Rovers after a concession by Danny Imray.
62
Corner Corner
Aune Heggebø from West Bromwich Albion attempts a header from the center of the box, but Balázs Tóth from Blackburn Rovers saves it in the left corner. The assist was provided by Danny Imray.
61
Corner Corner
Blackburn Rovers win a corner after George Campbell concedes.
57
Update Update
Foul committed by Tom Atcheson of Blackburn Rovers.
57
Update Update
Josh Maja of West Bromwich Albion won a free kick in an attacking position.
55
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Todd Cantwell from Blackburn Rovers takes a right-footed shot from long distance on the right after a free kick, but it goes wide.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Todd Cantwell for Blackburn Rovers.
53
Update Update
Fouled by Todd Cantwell of Blackburn Rovers.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Todd Cantwell - Blackburn Rovers.
50
Update Update
Aune Heggebø fouled a player from West Bromwich Albion.
50
Update Update
Yuri Ribeiro of Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in defense.
49
Corner Corner
Blackburn Rovers win a corner after Nathaniel Phillips concedes.
49
Corner Corner
Tom Atcheson of Blackburn Rovers missed a chance, heading the ball high and wide to the right from the center of the box. The assist came from Todd Cantwell, who delivered a cross following a corner.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Blackburn Rovers after a concession by Ousmane Diakité.
48
Corner Corner
Moussa Baradji of Blackburn Rovers missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box, sending the ball to the left after a corner.
47
Update Update
Yuri Ribeiro of Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in defense.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ousmane Diakité of West Bromwich Albion receives a yellow card.
47
Update Update
Yuri Ribeiro of Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Blackburn Rovers and West Bromwich Albion drawing 0-0.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Blackburn Rovers and West Bromwich Albion drawing 0-0.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Blackburn Rovers: Yuri Ribeiro replaces Scott Wharton.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Blackburn Rovers: Mathias Jørgensen replaces Harry Pickering.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Scott Wharton from Blackburn Rovers receives a yellow card for a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Blackburn Rovers and West Bromwich Albion drawing 0-0.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between Blackburn Rovers and West Bromwich Albion.
43
Update Update
Josh Maja from West Bromwich Albion won a free kick in an attacking position.
41
Update Update
Offside called against Blackburn Rovers. Ryan Alebiosu is in an offside position.
40
Update Update
Aune Heggebø fouled a player from West Bromwich Albion.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity for Blackburn Rovers. Ryoya Morishita's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is close, but goes wide. The assist was provided by Yuki Ohashi with a header.
39
Update Update
Adam Forshaw from Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in defense.
39
Update Update
Isaac Price of West Bromwich Albion won a free kick on the left wing.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Tom Atcheson of Blackburn Rovers.
38
Update Update
Ryoya Morishita's header from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Todd Cantwell.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Tom Atcheson of Blackburn Rovers.
35
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Todd Cantwell from Blackburn Rovers shot with his right foot from the right side of the box.
30
Attempt Attempt
Aune Heggebø from West Bromwich Albion attempts an attack with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Balázs Tóth from Blackburn Rovers saves it in the top center of the goal.
28
Update Update
Callum Styles fouled for West Bromwich Albion.
28
Update Update
Adam Forshaw from Blackburn Rovers won a free kick in an attacking position.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Harry Pickering from Blackburn Rovers receives a yellow card for a foul.
26
Update Update
Nathaniel Phillips of West Bromwich Albion won a free kick in defense.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Harry Pickering of Blackburn Rovers.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sean McLoughlin of Blackburn Rovers receives a yellow card for a foul.
22
Update Update
Foul committed by Sean McLoughlin of Blackburn Rovers.
22
Update Update
Josh Maja from West Bromwich Albion won a free kick on the right wing.
18
Corner Corner
West Bromwich Albion win a corner after Harry Pickering concedes.
17
Update Update
Offside called against Blackburn Rovers. Yuki Ohashi is in an offside position.
13
Update Update
Foul committed by Tom Atcheson of Blackburn Rovers.
13
Update Update
Callum Styles from West Bromwich Albion won a free kick on the left wing.
11
Update Update
Danny Imray from West Bromwich Albion won a free kick on the right wing.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Todd Cantwell - Blackburn Rovers.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Ousmane Diakité for West Bromwich Albion.
8
Update Update
Adam Forshaw from Blackburn Rovers won a free kick on the right wing.
7
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance for West Bromwich Albion. Isaac Price shot with his right foot from the center of the box but missed. Danny Imray provided the assist.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Blackburn Rovers exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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