Beşiktaş vs Kasımpaşa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Beşiktaş Park Thu, 19 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Beşiktaş BES
2 Winner 1
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
Full Time Thu, 19 Mar 5:00 PM
Hyeon-gyu Oh - 11'
Orkun Kökçü - 45+2'
Goal
|
Goal
Adrian Benedyczak - 57' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Beşiktaş 2–1 Kasımpaşa. The result saw Beşiktaş take the points. Beşiktaş showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Beşiktaş showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: Beşiktaş 69.6% | Draw 18.9% | Kasımpaşa 11.5%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Beşiktaş A. Yalçın
A. Yalçın
VS
Kasımpaşa E. Belözoğlu
E. Belözoğlu
1.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 66 W
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
Kocaelispor Rank: 66 W
Göztepe Rank: 72 W
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
Konyaspor Rank: 66 D
Rizespor Rank: 68 L
Fenerbahçe Rank: 85 D
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 61 W
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 L
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 7 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Beşiktaş
69.56%
Draw
18.94%
Away Kasımpaşa
11.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.42
63.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa
Power Score
77.42
63.33
League Position
4
15
Global Rank
71
351

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Kasımpaşa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Beşiktaş Kasımpaşa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Beşiktaş

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kasımpaşa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Beşiktaş ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kasımpaşa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.20
14.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.70
32.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Beşiktaş +1.85 Efficiency Index
vs
Kasımpaşa -1.85 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Beşiktaş ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kasımpaşa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Beşiktaş Kasımpaşa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Beşiktaş Kasımpaşa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Beşiktaş
Kasımpaşa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 33 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Beşiktaş BES Home
33 matches
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa Away
Match Record
17
Wins
9
7
Draws
7
9
Losses
17
Goals
67
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
67
+15
Goal Difference
-15
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-20T00:05:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Destanoğlu
Turkey
30 E. Destanoğlu
M. Murillo Bermudez
Panama
62 M. Murillo Bermudez
E. Agbadou
Ivory Coast
12 E. Agbadou
F. Uduokhai
Germany
14 F. Uduokhai
R. Yılmaz
Turkey
33 R. Yılmaz
O. Ndidi
Nigeria
4 O. Ndidi
V. Černý
Substitution
Czech Republic
18 V. Černý
K. Asllani
Substitution
Albania
23 K. Asllani
O. Kökçü
Substitution
Turkey
10 O. Kökçü
J. Olaitan
Benin
15 J. Olaitan
H. Oh
South Korea
9 H. Oh
A. Gianniotis
Greece
1 A. Gianniotis
K. Çörekçi
Substitution
Turkey
22 K. Çörekçi
A. Arous
Substitution
Tunisia
4 A. Arous
R. Nascimiento Franca
Brazil
50 R. Nascimiento Franca
C. Winck Neto
Brazil
2 C. Winck Neto
A. Baldursson
Iceland
16 A. Baldursson
C. Ribeiro Dias
Portugal
8 C. Ribeiro Dias
J. Allevinah
Substitution
Gabon
18 J. Allevinah
F. Diabaté
Mali
34 F. Diabaté
M. Ben Ouannes
Tunisia
12 M. Ben Ouannes
A. Benedyczak
Substitution
Poland
19 A. Benedyczak

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 19, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Beşiktaş Park
Capacity
42590
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Batuhan Kolak

Statistics

Possession
BES
51%
Kasımpaşa
49%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
42 Dangerous attacks 27
50 Possession 50
2 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 19
3 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

16 Throwins 14
18 Dribble Attempts 10
6 Goal Kicks 8
2 Assists 0
10 Successful Dribbles 6
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60
9 Goal Attempts 4
65 Ball Safe 69
16 Successful Headers 9
0 Penalties 1
3 Substitutions 4
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

94 Attacks 104
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

53 Long Passes 55
81 Successful Passes Percentage 80
352 Successful Passes 348
432 Passes 434
20 Successful Long Passes 17
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
9 Key Passes 4

Defensive

7 Interceptions 13
0 Saves 4
8 Tackles 15

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 1
14 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

20 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Batuhan Kolak

Starting XI ▼

30
Ersin Destanoğlu
Ersin Destanoğlu Goalkeeper
12
Emmanuel Agbadou
Emmanuel Agbadou Defender
14
Felix Uduokhai
Felix Uduokhai Defender
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Defender
62
Amir Murillo
Amir Murillo Defender
4
Wilfred Ndidi
Wilfred Ndidi Midfielder
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü Midfielder
8
Salih Uçan
Salih Uçan
Midfielder90+3'
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
18
Vaclav Cerny
Vaclav Cerny Midfielder
7
Milot Rashica
Milot Rashica
Midfielder71'
23
Kristjan Asllani
Kristjan Asllani Midfielder
11
Cengiz Ünder
Cengiz Ünder
Attacker71'
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Attacker
Referee : Batuhan Kolak

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Gianniotis
Andreas Gianniotis Goalkeeper
2
Cláudio Winck
Cláudio Winck Defender
4
Adem Arous
Adem Arous Defender
20
Nicholas Opoku
Nicholas Opoku
Defender59'
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Defender
77
Pape Habib Guèye
Pape Habib Guèye
Attacker73'
50
Rodrigo Becão
Rodrigo Becão Defender
8
Cafú
Cafú Midfielder
12
Mortadha Ben Ouanes
Mortadha Ben Ouanes Midfielder
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
Andri Fannar Baldursson Midfielder
18
Jim Allevinah
Jim Allevinah Midfielder
17
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
Attacker86'
34
Fousseni Diabaté
Fousseni Diabaté Midfielder
19
Adrian Benedyczak
Adrian Benedyczak Attacker
5
Eyüp Aydın
Eyüp Aydın
Midfielder86'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Salih Uçan → Orkun Kökçü
7th Substitution
90+3'
86'
Event
Eyüp Aydın → Adrian Benedyczak
5th Substitution
86'
Event
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş → Jim Allevinah
6th Substitution
80'
Event
Andri Fannar Baldursson
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
78'
73'
Event
Pape Habib Guèye → Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
4th Substitution
Event
Milot Rashica → Vaclav Cerny
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Cengiz Ünder → Kristjan Asllani
3rd Substitution
71'
66'
Event
Jim Allevinah
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
61'
Event
Cláudio Winck
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
59'
Event
Nicholas Opoku → Adem Arous
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Adrian Benedyczak
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Amir Murillo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
53'
Event
Wilfred Ndidi
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
52'
1ST-HALF
Event
Orkun Kökçü
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+2'
15'
Event
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
15'
Event
Emre Belözoğlu
9th Yellowcard
13'
Event
Cafú
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
11'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Beşiktaş exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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