Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Emirates Stadium Tue, 17 Mar - 8:00 PM
Champions League
Arsenal ARS
2 Winner 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04
Full Time Tue, 17 Mar 8:00 PM
Round of 16 Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 1
Eberechi Eze - 36'
Declan Rice - 63'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match is finished, with Arsenal securing a 2-0 full-time victory over Bayer 04 Leverkusen. This fixture concluded the second leg of their knockout tie. Just 6 days ago, the first meeting was played between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Arsenal, which ended with a tightly contested first leg scoreline of 1-1. Arsenal entered the match as strong favorites, holding a 72.1% pre-match market probability for a home win, alongside a 16.9% probability for a draw and 11% for an away victory. The final outcome aligned perfectly with the pre-match market. Driven by their favored status, Arsenal registered a significant deviation from baseline expectations to firmly control the result. Bayer 04 Leverkusen dictated play with 58% possession, leaving Arsenal with 42%. However, the home side was vastly superior in attack, generating 2.02 expected goals (xG) compared to Leverkusen's 0.64 xG. The final result was fully consistent with this underlying xG data. The overall efficiency shift remained in line with performance metrics, and with zero red cards issued to either side, no disciplinary events negatively impacted the game's natural flow as Arsenal advanced.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Arsenal showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Arsenal M. Arteta
M. Arteta
VS
Bayer 04 Leverkusen K. Hjulmand
K. Hjulmand
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Club Brugge Rank: 84 W
FC Bayern München Rank: 100 W
Slavia Praha Rank: 80 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 90 W
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 82 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Villarreal Rank: 84 W
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 82 L
Newcastle United Rank: 90 D
Manchester City Rank: 97 W
Benfica Rank: 87 W
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Arsenal
72.09%
Draw
16.89%
Away Bayer 04 Leverkusen
11.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
100
89.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Arsenal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Power Score
100
89.48
League Position
1
16
Global Rank
1
16

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Arsenal Opponent-weighted form score
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Arsenal Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Arsenal

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Arsenal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
55.60
21.72
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.72
55.60
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Arsenal +2.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen -2.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Arsenal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Arsenal
vs
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Arsenal Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Arsenal Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
Arsenal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Arsenal ARS Home
3 matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusen B04 Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
6
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-25T06:54:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. Raya Martin
Spain
1 D. Raya Martin
B. White
Substitution
England
4 B. White
W. Saliba
France
2 W. Saliba
G. dos Santos Magalhães
Brazil
6 G. dos Santos Magalhães
P. Hincapié Reyna
Ecuador
5 P. Hincapié Reyna
M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
Substitution
Spain
36 M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
D. Rice
England
41 D. Rice
B. Saka
England
7 (C) B. Saka
E. Eze
Substitution
England
10 E. Eze
L. Trossard
Substitution
Belgium
19 L. Trossard
V. Gyökeres
Substitution
Sweden
14 V. Gyökeres
J. Blaswich
Germany
28 J. Blaswich
E. Tapsoba
Burkina Faso
12 E. Tapsoba
R. Andrich
Substitution
Germany
8 (C) R. Andrich
J. Quansah
England
4 J. Quansah
A. Grimaldo García
Spain
20 A. Grimaldo García
A. García Serrano
Spain
24 A. García Serrano
E. Palacios
Substitution
Argentina
25 E. Palacios
E. Poku
Substitution
Netherlands
19 E. Poku
I. Maza
Algeria
30 I. Maza
M. Terrier
Substitution
France
11 M. Terrier
C. Kofane
35 C. Kofane

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 17, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe · Round of 16 · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 1
Stadium
Emirates Stadium
Capacity
60704
Attendance
57537
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Danny Desmond Makkelie
Hessel Steegstra
Jan de Vries
Allard Lindhout

Statistics

Possession
ARS
45%
B04
55%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 2
47 Dangerous attacks 72
42 Possession 58
10 Corners 8
8 Free kicks 5
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 5
13 Dribble Attempts 19
18 Successful Headers 12
15 Throwins 14
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42
5 Successful Dribbles 8
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 4
66 Ball Safe 73
17 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

78 Attacks 99
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

17 Key Passes 8
83 Successful Passes Percentage 88
383 Passes 535
34 Long Passes 44
317 Successful Passes 470
18 Successful Long Passes 23
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52

Defensive

48 Duels Won 37
17 Tackles 13
10 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 10

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 30
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

4 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Danny Desmond Makkelie

Starting XI

1
David Raya
David Raya Goalkeeper
7.18
2
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
7.05
4
Ben White
Ben White Defender
6.55
3
Cristhian Mosquera
Cristhian Mosquera
Defender69'
6.43
5
Piero Hincapié
Piero Hincapié Defender
6.9
6
Gabriel Magalhães
Gabriel Magalhães Defender
7.58
7
Bukayo Saka
Bukayo Saka (C) Midfielder
8.18
10
Eberechi Eze
Eberechi Eze Midfielder
7.93
29
Kai Havertz
Kai Havertz
Attacker69'
6.55
19
Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard Midfielder
7.46
11
Gabriel Martinelli
Gabriel Martinelli
Attacker69'
6.56
36
Martín Zubimendi
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder
7.18
16
Christian Nørgaard
Christian Nørgaard
Midfielder68'
6.8
41
Declan Rice
Declan Rice Midfielder
8.34
14
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres Attacker
6.7
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Myles Lewis-Skelly
Defender90'
Referee : Danny Desmond Makkelie

Starting XI

28
Janis Blaswich
Janis Blaswich Goalkeeper
8.58
4
Jarell Quansah
Jarell Quansah Defender
6.86
8
Robert Andrich
Robert Andrich (C) Defender
6.33
6
Ezequiel Fernández
Ezequiel Fernández
Midfielder83'
6.41
12
Edmond Tapsoba
Edmond Tapsoba Defender
6.75
19
Ernest Poku
Ernest Poku Midfielder
6.23
42
Montrell Culbreath
Montrell Culbreath
Midfielder60'
7.06
20
Alejandro Grimaldo
Alejandro Grimaldo Midfielder
6
24
Aleix García
Aleix García Midfielder
7.29
25
Exequiel Palacios
Exequiel Palacios Midfielder
6.7
14
Patrik Schick
Patrik Schick
Attacker70'
6.52
11
Martin Terrier
Martin Terrier Attacker
6.45
10
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman
Midfielder60'
6.5
30
Ibrahim Maza
Ibrahim Maza Attacker
6.38
35
Christian Kofane
Christian Kofane Attacker
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Myles Lewis-Skelly Viktor Gyökeres
9th Substitution
90'
83'
Event
Ezequiel Fernández Robert Andrich
8th Substitution
Event
Var
72'
70'
Event
Patrik Schick Exequiel Palacios
7th Substitution
Event
Cristhian Mosquera Ben White
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Kai Havertz Eberechi Eze
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Gabriel Martinelli Leandro Trossard
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Christian Nørgaard Martín Zubimendi
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Declan Rice
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
63'
60'
Event
Montrell Culbreath Ernest Poku
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Malik Tillman Martin Terrier
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Exequiel Palacios
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Eberechi Eze
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
36'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Cristhian Mosquera allowed the ball to go out.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Myles Lewis-Skelly comes on to replace Viktor Gyökeres.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Arsenal after Montrell Culbreath allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with Arsenal leading Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-0.
90
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Christian Nørgaard of Arsenal attempts a header from a challenging angle on the right side. However, Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a fantastic save, denying the shot aimed at the top right corner. The assist came from Declan Rice, who delivered a precise cross.
88
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a corner, but it went off target.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after David Raya allowed the ball to go out.
87
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Christian Kofane from Bayer 04 Leverkusen takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but David Raya from Arsenal makes a great save, pushing it away to the left corner. The assist came from Montrell Culbreath.
85
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Christian Kofane from Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Ezequiél Fernández replaces Robert Andrich.
80
Update Update
Montrell Culbreath from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
80
Update Update
Gabriel Martinelli from Arsenal earned a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Arsenal, following a save made by Janis Blaswich.
78
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Bukayo Saka from Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area. However, Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a save, denying the attempt in the bottom right corner. The assist came from Gabriel Martinelli.
77
Corner Corner
Another offensive push! Cristhian Mosquera from Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Janis Blaswich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a save in the left corner. The assist came from Viktor Gyökeres.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after William Saliba allowed the ball to go out of play.
74
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after a deflection off William Saliba.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Piero Hincapié allowed the ball to go out.
71
Update Update
Kai Havertz from Arsenal commits a handball.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Declan Rice allowed the ball to go out.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Patrik Schick comes on to replace Exequiel Palacios.
69
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Eberechi Eze of Arsenal.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Kai Havertz comes on to replace Eberechi Eze, who has sustained an injury.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Gabriel Martinelli comes on to replace Leandro Trossard.
69
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
68
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Eberechi Eze of Arsenal fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Bukayo Saka.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Christian Nørgaard comes on to replace Martín Zubimendi.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Cristhian Mosquera is coming on to replace Ben White.
66
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Christian Kofane from Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Arsenal leads Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2-0. Declan Rice scores with a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner.
62
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gyökeres attempts a shot with his left foot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. The assist came from Leandro Trossard.
62
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Arsenal after Robert Andrich allowed the ball to go out.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Montrell Culbreath comes on to replace Ernest Poku.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Malik Tillman comes on to replace Martin Terrier.
59
Update Update
Christian Kofane from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
59
Update Update
Gabriel Magalhães from Arsenal has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
57
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Robert Andrich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area but failed to find the target. The assist was provided by Aleix García.
55
Update Update
Martín Zubimendi of Arsenal committed a foul.
55
Update Update
Exequiel Palacios from Bayer 04 Leverkusen earned a free kick in an offensive position.
54
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen fired a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Christian Kofane.
52
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Bukayo Saka of Arsenal takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Eberechi Eze.
52
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive play unfolds as Viktor Gyökeres from Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but the goalkeeper makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist comes from Bukayo Saka.
49
Update Update
Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen commits a handball.
49
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Leandro Trossard from Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes over the bar and to the right. Declan Rice provided the assist.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Exequiel Palacios of Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
46
Update Update
Eberechi Eze from Arsenal has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
46
Update Update
Exequiel Palacios from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Arsenal leading Bayer 04 Leverkusen by a score of 1-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Arsenal leading Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-0.
42
Update Update
Martin Terrier from Bayer 04 Leverkusen earned a free kick in the defensive area.
42
Update Update
Eberechi Eze from Arsenal committed a foul.
40
Update Update
Robert Andrich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
40
Update Update
Viktor Gyökeres of Arsenal has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
40
Update Update
Eberechi Eze from Arsenal has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
40
Update Update
Alejandro Grimaldo from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Arsenal takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Eberechi Eze scores with a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist comes from Leandro Trossard.
33
Update Update
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Edmond Tapsoba of Bayer 04 Leverkusen heads the ball from the middle of the box, but David Raya of Arsenal makes a fantastic save, denying the attempt at the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Alejandro Grimaldo, who delivered a precise cross.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Piero Hincapié allowed the ball to go out of play.
32
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive push unfolds. Ben White from Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from close range, but Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a save in the left corner. The assist came from Piero Hincapié.
32
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push! Leandro Trossard from Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a save, diving to his left. The assist came from Eberechi Eze.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Arsenal after Aleix García's defensive play.
30
Attempt Attempt
Eberechi Eze of Arsenal takes a shot with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but it gets deflected.
29
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Leandro Trossard of Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box. However, Janis Blaswich, the goalkeeper for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist came from Bukayo Saka.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Arsenal after Janis Blaswich allowed the ball to go out.
28
Update Update
Janis Blaswich from Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
28
Update Update
Viktor Gyökeres committed a foul against Arsenal.
27
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Bukayo Saka of Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area. The attempt is expertly denied by Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen, who makes a save in the top right corner. The assist comes from Martín Zubimendi.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Arsenal after Janis Blaswich allowed the ball to go out.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after Piero Hincapié allowed the ball to go out.
24
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Christian Kofane from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
24
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
24
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Arsenal. Bukayo Saka attempts a header from the middle of the box, but Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a great save, denying the shot aimed at the top center of the goal. The assist came from Ben White, who delivered a precise cross.
23
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive move unfolds. Declan Rice from Arsenal takes a right-footed shot from a challenging angle and a considerable distance on the left side, but Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a save, denying the attempt by reaching for the top left corner.
22
Update Update
Jarell Quansah from Bayer 04 Leverkusen commits a handball.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Arsenal after Alejandro Grimaldo allowed the ball to go out.
21
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Gabriel Magalhães of Arsenal attempted a header from close range following a corner kick but failed to convert.
20
Update Update
Ibrahim Maza from Bayer 04 Leverkusen committed a foul.
20
Update Update
Gabriel Magalhães from Arsenal was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Update Update
Offside call against Arsenal. Ben White has been caught offside.
15
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Leandro Trossard from Arsenal attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
15
Corner Corner
Another offensive push from Arsenal. Leandro Trossard takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Janis Blaswich of Bayer 04 Leverkusen makes a fantastic save in the top right corner. The assist came from Bukayo Saka.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Arsenal after Janis Blaswich allowed the ball to go out.
11
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Arsenal after Jarell Quansah allowed the ball to go out of play.
10
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Exequiel Palacios from Bayer 04 Leverkusen fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked. Ibrahim Maza provided the assist.
9
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Gabriel Magalhães of Arsenal attempted a header from the right side of the six-yard box, but it sailed high and to the right. The assist came from Bukayo Saka, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Arsenal after Alejandro Grimaldo allowed the ball to go out.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bayer 04 Leverkusen after a defensive play by William Saliba.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Arsenal exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.