AIK vs Djurgården Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Strawberry Arena Sun, 10 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
AIK AIK
Versus
Djurgården DJU
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 12:00 PM
Round 7 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the electrifying atmosphere of Strawberry Arena, AIK welcomes arch-rivals Djurgården for a pivotal Allsvenskan regular season showdown in 2026. This Stockholm derby pits 8th-placed AIK against 4th-placed Djurgården, with the visitors holding a clear edge via their 65.21 power score—7.9 points superior to AIK's 57.34. Form guides also tilt toward Djurgården at 14.5 compared to AIK's 11.39, underscoring their momentum in recent outings. Home advantage could ignite AIK's challenge, yet Djurgården's higher league standing signals greater consistency. Both sides lack detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to data limitations, heightening the intrigue. Expect tactical battles in transition phases, where Djurgården's structural strength might prevail. Fans anticipate drama in this fiercely contested fixture, blending rivalry passion with strategic depth.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Djurgården possesses a structural advantage with a 65.21 power score, 7.9 points ahead of AIK's 57.34.
  • Form: Recent form favors Djurgården at 14.5, surpassing AIK's 11.39.
  • Squad: Djurgården sits 4th in the league table, above AIK's 8th position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not provided in current analytics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data for AIK and Djurgården.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables show no available data due to add-on limitations.
  • Market: Baseline split: AIK 34.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0%) | Djurgården 36.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
AIK J. Riveiro
J. Riveiro
VS
Djurgården J. Honkavaara
J. Honkavaara
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: 57 D
Malmö FF Rank: 63 L
Degerfors Rank: 47 L
Kalmar Rank: 49 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 48 D
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 W
Hammarby Rank: 68 D
Elfsborg Rank: 57 L
Malmö FF Rank: 63 L
Kalmar Rank: 49 W
GAIS Rank: 59 W
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 13 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AIK
34.89%
Draw
28.37%
Away Djurgården
36.73%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.34
65.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AIK
Djurgården
Power Score
57.34
65.21
League Position
8
4
Global Rank
570
321

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AIK — Opponent-weighted form score
Djurgården — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AIK Djurgården

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AIK AIK Home
40 matches
Djurgården DJU Away
Match Record
21
Wins
6
13
Draws
13
6
Losses
21
Goals
55
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
55
+28
Goal Difference
-28

Data last updated: 2026-05-06T01:04:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Nordfeldt
15 K. Nordfeldt
M. Thychosen
17 M. Thychosen
I. Cissé
25 I. Cissé
A. Csongvai
33 A. Csongvai
S. Wilson
21 S. Wilson
A. Mujanic
7 A. Mujanic
A. Ali
18 A. Ali
J. Hove
8 J. Hove
Zadok Yohanna
36 Zadok Yohanna
E. Hovden Flataker
9 E. Hovden Flataker
B. Celina
10 B. Celina
J. Rinne
35 J. Rinne
M. Larsson
24 M. Larsson
M. Marques
21 M. Marques
M. Tenho
5 M. Tenho
P. Johansson
2 P. Johansson
M. Siltanen
20 M. Siltanen
H. Finndell
14 H. Finndell
J. Okkels
19 J. Okkels
B. Hegland
16 B. Hegland
P. Åslund
8 P. Åslund
K. Lien
9 K. Lien

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Strawberry Arena
Capacity :
54000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

15
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt Goalkeeper
7.01
36
Z. Yohanna
Z. Yohanna Attacker
7.21
9
Erik Flataker
Erik Flataker Centre Forward
6.64
10
Bersant Celina
Bersant Celina Attacker
7.35
18
Abdihakim Ali
Abdihakim Ali Central Midfield
6.87
17
Mads Thychosen
Mads Thychosen Right Back
6.62
25
Ibrahim Cissé
Ibrahim Cissé Right Back
7.16
7
Amel Mujanic
Amel Mujanic Central Midfield
6.64
33
Áron Csongvai
Áron Csongvai Left Back
7.39
21
Stanley Wilson
Stanley Wilson Left Back
7.09
8
Johan Hove
Johan Hove Central Midfield
7.22

Starting XI ▼

35
Jacob Rinne
Jacob Rinne Goalkeeper
6.96
9
Kristian Strømland Lien
Kristian Strømland Lien Centre Forward
7.36
2
Piotr Johansson
Piotr Johansson Right Back
7.1
5
Miro Tenho
Miro Tenho Right Back
7.08
21
Mikael Marques
Mikael Marques Left Back
7.08
24
Max Larsson
Max Larsson Left Back
6.91
14
Hampus Finndell
Hampus Finndell Defensive Midfield
6.94
20
Matias Siltanen
Matias Siltanen Defensive Midfield
7.06
8
Patric Åslund
Patric Åslund Right Wing
7.07
16
B. Hegland
B. Hegland Attacking Midfield
7.44
19
Jeppe Okkels
Jeppe Okkels Left Wing
6.82

CONCLUSION

Djurgården arrives as the stronger outfit, bolstered by superior power ratings, form, and league position, positioning them to exploit AIK's home turf in this derby. AIK's supporters will fuel a resilient effort, but gaps in efficiency and set-piece insights suggest vulnerabilities. Tight margins define such rivalries, with Djurgården's edge likely tipping the scales without recent head-to-head dominance. Strawberry Arena's intensity promises end-to-end action, yet strategic discipline from the visitors could secure vital points in the 2026 Allsvenskan race.

AIK vs Djurgården preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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