AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Vitality Stadium Fri, 20 Mar - 8:00 PM
Premier League
AFC Bournemouth BOU
2 2
Manchester United MUN
Full Time Fri, 20 Mar 8:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Ryan Christie - 67'
Eli Kroupi - 81' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Bruno Fernandes - 61' (P)
James Hill - 71' (Own Goal)
|
Red Card Harry Maguire 78'

CONTEXT

The match has concluded with a final scoreline of AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United. Going into the fixture, Manchester United were considered the stronger team, holding a 43.7% pre-match market probability to win, while Bournemouth sat at 31.1% and the draw at 25.3%. The resulting draw represents a significant deviation for Manchester United, meaning the outcome ultimately failed to align with pre-match market expectations. After a scoreless first half, the game intensified. Bournemouth controlled the tempo with 55% possession compared to United's 45%. However, the visitors slightly edged the attacking metrics, posting an expected goals (xG) total of 2.14 against Bournemouth's 1.96. The flow of the game was heavily impacted by a red card shown to Manchester United, creating a red card distortion that necessitated second-half adjustments and altered the match dynamic. Despite the unexpected nature of the result from a market perspective, the final scoreline was completely consistent with the underlying xG data. Furthermore, both teams' scoring performances were in line with their expected efficiency shifts, reflecting the closely contested, balanced nature of the draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Manchester United showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
AFC Bournemouth A. Iraola
A. Iraola
VS
Manchester United M. Carrick
M. Carrick
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.96
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sunderland Rank: 82 D
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Everton Rank: 89 W
Aston Villa Rank: 92 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 82 W
Liverpool Rank: 94 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: 87 W
Everton Rank: 89 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 84 W
Fulham Rank: 87 W
Arsenal Rank: 100 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home AFC Bournemouth
31.07%
Draw
25.26%
Away Manchester United
43.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.43
91.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
Power Score
72.43
91.66
League Position
13
3
Global Rank
21
9

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
AFC Bournemouth Opponent-weighted form score
Manchester United Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AFC Bournemouth Manchester United

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

AFC Bournemouth

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Manchester United

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AFC Bournemouth ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Manchester United
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.73
35.89
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.89
33.73
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AFC Bournemouth -0.25 Efficiency Index
vs
Manchester United +0.25 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AFC Bournemouth
vs
Manchester United
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AFC Bournemouth Manchester United
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+1.00 vs +1.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AFC Bournemouth Manchester United
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AFC Bournemouth BOU Home
17 matches
Manchester United MUN Away
Match Record
4
Wins
9
4
Draws
4
9
Losses
4
Goals
23
Goals Scored
33
33
Goals Conceded
23
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:21:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
Đ. Petrović
Serbia
1 Đ. Petrović
A. Jiménez Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
20 A. Jiménez Sánchez
J. Hill
England
23 J. Hill
M. Senesi
Argentina
5 M. Senesi
A. Truffert
France
3 A. Truffert
A. Scott
England
8 A. Scott
R. Christie
Substitution
Scotland
10 (C) R. Christie
R. Rocha
Substitution
Brazil
37 R. Rocha
M. Tavernier
England
16 M. Tavernier
A. Adli
Substitution
France
21 A. Adli
F. de Lima Barbosa
Brazil
9 F. de Lima Barbosa
S. Lammens
Belgium
31 S. Lammens
L. Shaw
England
23 L. Shaw
H. Maguire
England
5 H. Maguire
L. Yoro
France
15 L. Yoro
J. Dalot Teixeira
Portugal
2 J. Dalot Teixeira
K. Mainoo
England
37 K. Mainoo
C. Casimiro
Substitution
Brazil
18 C. Casimiro
M. Carneiro Da Cunha
Substitution
Brazil
10 M. Carneiro Da Cunha
B. Fernandes
Portugal
8 (C) B. Fernandes
A. Traoré
Substitution
Ivory Coast
16 A. Traoré
B. Mbeumo
Substitution
Cameroon
19 B. Mbeumo

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 20, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
Capacity
11700
Attendance
11250
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Matt Donohue
Constantine Hatzidakis
Craig Taylor
Stuart Attwell

Statistics

Possession
BOU
54%
MUN
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 2
10 Shots 6
51 Dangerous attacks 43
55 Possession 45
6 Corners 8
8 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

13 Successful Headers 18
4 Goal Kicks 11
16 Dribble Attempts 8
15 Throwins 12
7 Successful Dribbles 3
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
1 Penalties 1
4 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 0
1 Hit Woodwork 0
76 Ball Safe 90
1 Injuries 0
13 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

114 Attacks 85
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 77
502 Passes 415
426 Successful Passes 320
40 Long Passes 49
10 Key Passes 11
19 Successful Long Passes 20
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

13 Tackles 16
4 Saves 3
9 Interceptions 12
42 Duels Won 47

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 15
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI

1
Djordje Petrovic
Djordje Petrovic Goalkeeper
6.87
3
Adrien Truffert
Adrien Truffert Defender
7.12
5
Marcos Senesi
Marcos Senesi Defender
6.62
20
Álex Jiménez
Álex Jiménez Defender
6.38
15
Adam Smith
Adam Smith
Defender73'
6.66
23
James Hill
James Hill Defender
6.66
8
Alex Scott
Alex Scott Midfielder
7.47
10
Ryan Christie
Ryan Christie (C) Midfielder
7.61
22
Eli Kroupi
Eli Kroupi
Attacker73'
7.01
16
Marcus Tavernier
Marcus Tavernier Midfielder
7.03
21
Amine Adli
Amine Adli Midfielder
6.54
7
David Brooks
David Brooks
Midfielder73'
6.52
37
Rayan
Rayan Midfielder
6.9
11
Ben Gannon-Doak
Ben Gannon-Doak
Attacker87'
9
Evanilson
Evanilson Attacker
7.02
Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI

31
Senne Lammens
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper
6.95
2
Diogo Dalot
Diogo Dalot Defender
6.77
5
Harry Maguire
Harry Maguire Defender
5.79
15
Leny Yoro
Leny Yoro Defender
6.57
23
Luke Shaw
Luke Shaw Defender
6.97
8
Bruno Fernandes
Bruno Fernandes (C) Midfielder
7.78
10
Matheus Cunha
Matheus Cunha Midfielder
7.49
26
Ayden Heaven
Ayden Heaven
Defender82'
6.47
16
Amad Diallo
Amad Diallo Midfielder
6.86
7
Mason Mount
Mason Mount
Midfielder90+6'
18
Casemiro
Casemiro Midfielder
6.41
25
Manuel Ugarte
Manuel Ugarte
Midfielder82'
6.61
37
Kobbie Mainoo
Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder
6.61
19
Bryan Mbeumo
Bryan Mbeumo Attacker
6.7
30
Benjamin Sesko
Benjamin Sesko
Attacker71'
6.49

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Mason Mount Amad Diallo
8th Substitution
90+5'
Event
Benjamin Sesko
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Adam Smith
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Ben Gannon-Doak Rayan
7th Substitution
87'
82'
Event
Ayden Heaven Matheus Cunha
5th Substitution
82'
Event
Manuel Ugarte Casemiro
6th Substitution
Event
Eli Kroupi
Right foot shot / 2nd Penalty
81'
78'
Event
Harry Maguire
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Event
Adam Smith Álex Jiménez
4th Substitution
73'
Event
David Brooks Amine Adli
2nd Substitution
73'
Event
Eli Kroupi Ryan Christie
3rd Substitution
73'
71'
Event
Benjamin Sesko Bryan Mbeumo
1st Substitution
71'
Event
James Hill
Header / 1st Own Goal
Event
Ryan Christie
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
67'
61'
Event
Bruno Fernandes
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Álex Jiménez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
59'
1ST-HALF
28'
Event
Casemiro
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bournemouth after a foul by Manuel Ugarte.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Manuel Ugarte against Manchester United.
90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
90
Update Update
Junior Kroupi from Bournemouth committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Senne Lammens of Manchester United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 9 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Kobbie Mainoo from Manchester United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Adam Smith from Bournemouth has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
Adam Smith from Bournemouth committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Benjamin Sesko commits a foul against Manchester United.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score tied at Bournemouth 2, Manchester United 2.
90
Update Update
Junior Kroupi from Bournemouth was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester United: Mason Mount comes on to replace Amad Diallo.
90
Update Update
Marcos Senesi from Bournemouth earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Ben Gannon-Doak commits a foul on a Bournemouth player.
90
Update Update
Bruno Fernandes from Manchester United earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Benjamin Sesko of Manchester United has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
Opportunity wasted! Evanilson from Bournemouth attempted a header from the center of the box, but it sailed over the bar. The cross was delivered by Adrien Truffert.
90
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Alex Scott from Bournemouth.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Bruno Fernandes from Manchester United takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Manuel Ugarte.
90
Update Update
Luke Shaw from Manchester United earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
90
Update Update
Ben Gannon-Doak committed a foul on a Bournemouth player.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: Ben Gannon-Doak comes on to replace Rayan.
86
Update Update
Diogo Dalot of Manchester United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
86
Update Update
Junior Kroupi from Bournemouth committed a foul.
86
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. David Brooks from Bournemouth takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Alex Scott.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester United: Manuel Ugarte replaces Casemiro.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester United: Ayden Heaven replaces Matheus Cunha.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Bournemouth 2, Manchester United 2. Junior Kroupi from Bournemouth successfully scores the penalty, striking the ball with his right foot into the bottom left corner.
78
Update Update
Harry Maguire of Manchester United has given away a penalty due to a foul committed in the box.
78
Red Card Red Card Important
Harry Maguire from Manchester United has been shown a red card.
78
Update Update
Harry Maguire of Manchester United has given away a penalty following a foul committed in the box.
78
Update Update
Penalty awarded to Bournemouth! Evanilson is fouled inside the box.
77
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Rayan from Bournemouth takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
76
Attempt Attempt
Alex Scott from Bournemouth takes a shot with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but it strikes the right post. The assist came from Marcos Senesi.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bournemouth after a defensive play by Senne Lammens.
74
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Marcos Senesi from Bournemouth attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: Adam Smith replaces Álex Jiménez.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: Junior Kroupi comes on to replace Ryan Christie.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: David Brooks comes on to replace Amine Adli.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
James Hill of Bournemouth accidentally scored an own goal, bringing the score to Bournemouth 1, Manchester United 2.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Manchester United: Benjamin Sesko comes on to replace Bryan Mbeumo.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester United after Álex Jiménez allowed the ball to go out of play.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now Bournemouth 1, Manchester United 1. Ryan Christie finds the back of the net with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the right corner. The assist comes from Adrien Truffert.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester United after Álex Jiménez allowed the ball to go out.
64
Update Update
Álex Jiménez from Bournemouth has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
64
Update Update
Álex Jiménez from Bournemouth has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bournemouth 0, Manchester United 1. Bruno Fernandes from Manchester United scores by successfully converting the penalty with a right-footed shot.
59
Update Update
Álex Jiménez of Bournemouth has given away a penalty following a foul in the box.
59
Update Update
Offside call against Bournemouth. Marcus Tavernier has been caught offside.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Álex Jiménez from Bournemouth has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
58
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Álex Jiménez from Bournemouth attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
55
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered! Leny Yoro of Manchester United had a close-range header that went wide. The chance was set up by Bruno Fernandes, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
52
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Manchester United after Rayan's defensive play.
52
Attempt Attempt
Attempt denied. Alex Scott from Bournemouth takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
51
Corner Corner
Another offensive effort underway. Marcos Senesi from Bournemouth heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the top right corner by Manchester United's Senne Lammens. The assist came from James Hill.
46
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Ryan Christie from Bournemouth attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and wide to the right. The assist came from Marcus Tavernier.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Bournemouth 0, Manchester United 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester United after Álex Jiménez allowed the ball to go out.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Bournemouth 0, Manchester United 0.
41
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Bournemouth. Marcus Tavernier takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully stopped by the goalkeeper.
40
Update Update
Marcus Tavernier from Bournemouth was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
40
Update Update
Leny Yoro from Manchester United committed a foul.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bournemouth after Luke Shaw's defensive error.
36
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive play unfolds as Adrien Truffert from Bournemouth takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's expertly stopped by Manchester United's goalkeeper, Senne Lammens, who is positioned centrally in the goal.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bournemouth after Amad Diallo allowed the ball to go out.
35
Update Update
Rayan from Bournemouth committed a handball.
35
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive push from Manchester United. Bruno Fernandes takes a right-footed shot from within the six-yard box, aiming for the left side, but Djordje Petrovic makes a save, diving to the left corner. The assist came from Diogo Dalot.
30
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Casemiro of Manchester United has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
28
Update Update
Casemiro commits a foul for Manchester United.
28
Update Update
Marcus Tavernier from Bournemouth was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
28
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Diogo Dalot from Manchester United attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Kobbie Mainoo.
27
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Bryan Mbeumo of Manchester United takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester United after Adrien Truffert allowed the ball to go out.
25
Update Update
A header attempt from Leny Yoro of Manchester United is thwarted. The assist came from Harry Maguire, who also delivered a header from the center of the box.
25
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Amad Diallo from Manchester United takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The cross was provided by Matheus Cunha.
23
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Marcus Tavernier from Bournemouth attempted a left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box.
22
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Bournemouth after a play that resulted in a foul by Senne Lammens.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bournemouth after a deflection off Senne Lammens.
21
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Rayan from Bournemouth takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the bottom right corner by Senne Lammens of Manchester United. The assist comes from James Hill.
21
Update Update
James Hill from Bournemouth has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
21
Update Update
Harry Maguire from Manchester United committed a foul.
20
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harry Maguire from Manchester United fires a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard area, but it gets blocked.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester United after Marcos Senesi allowed the ball to go out.
19
Update Update
Harry Maguire from Manchester United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Update Update
Evanilson committed a foul against Bournemouth.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester United after Marcus Tavernier allowed the ball to go out.
17
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Bruno Fernandes from Manchester United takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. Diogo Dalot provided the assist.
16
Update Update
Leny Yoro from Manchester United committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Evanilson from Bournemouth has been awarded a free kick in their defensive area.
15
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Bruno Fernandes from Manchester United takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Djordje Petrovic of Bournemouth makes a save, directing the ball to the right corner. The assist for this play comes from Bryan Mbeumo.
13
Update Update
Kobbie Mainoo from Manchester United has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
13
Update Update
Marcos Senesi committed a foul against Bournemouth.
12
Update Update
Adrien Truffert commits a foul on a Bournemouth player.
12
Update Update
Adrien Truffert commits a foul against Bournemouth.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Manchester United after Djordje Petrovic allowed the ball to go out.
11
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Matheus Cunha from Manchester United takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Djordje Petrovic from Bournemouth makes a save in the left corner. The assist came from Bruno Fernandes.
9
Update Update
Marcus Tavernier from Bournemouth earned a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
9
Update Update
Casemiro committed a foul for Manchester United.
5
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Rayan from Bournemouth took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Marcus Tavernier after a quick counterattack.
5
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Amad Diallo of Manchester United takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box. However, the attempt is thwarted by goalkeeper Djordje Petrovic, who makes the save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Diogo Dalot.
3
Update Update
Offside call against Bournemouth. Evanilson has been caught offside.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Bournemouth after Leny Yoro allowed the ball to go out.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Manchester United exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.