Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)) Sun, 8 Mar - 11:00 AM
Premier League
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
4 Winner 0
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 11:00 AM
Nemanja Anđušić - 2', 13', 51'
Pylyp Budkivskyi - 59'
Goal
|

Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Zorya Luhansk 4–0 SK Poltava. The result saw Zorya Luhansk take the points. Zorya Luhansk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 70%–30%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Zorya Luhansk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Prychyna
S. Prychyna
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Mykhaylyuk
A. Mykhaylyuk
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Klymenko
T. Klymenko
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Petrakov
E. Petrakov
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Zorya Luhansk V. Skripnik
V. Skripnik
VS
SK Poltava P. Matviychenko
P. Matviychenko
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.43
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: L
Kudrivka Rank: D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Karpaty Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Oleksandria Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: L
Veres Rank: L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zorya Luhansk
68.98%
Draw
19.94%
Away SK Poltava
11.08%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.37
23.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Power Score
47.37
23.48
League Position
8
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Zorya Luhansk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SK Poltava

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Poltava
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.79
10.17
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.17
20.79
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Zorya Luhansk +1.08 Efficiency Index
vs
SK Poltava -1.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Poltava
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Home
1 matches
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
4
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:02:39+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))
Capacity
16873
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sofia Prychyna
Artem Mykhaylyuk
Taras Klymenko
Evgen Petrakov

Statistics

Possession
Zorya Luhansk
61%
SK Poltava
39%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
6 Shots 1
31 Dangerous attacks 21
70 Possession 30
1 Corners 2

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
4 Goal Kicks 8
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

88 Attacks 75

Defensive

1 Saves 3

Discipline

10 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Dmytro Plakhtyr → Vladyslav Danylenko
10th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Eskinja → Andrija Janjić
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Fedir Zadorozhnyi
Var
86'
Event
Fedir Zadorozhnyi → Pylyp Budkivskyi
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Reynaldiño Verley → Artem Slesar
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Domagoj Jelavic → Roman Vantukh
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Navin Malysh → Juninho
6th Substitution
68'
64'
Event
Ilya Ukhan → Igor Kotsyumaka
4th Substitution
Event
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
59'
56'
Event
Oleksandr Vivdych → Denys Galenkov
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Vadim Pidlepych → Oleg Veremiyenko
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Maksym Marusych → O. Piatov
1st Substitution
Event
Nemanja Anđušić
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
51'
1ST-HALF
Event
Nemanja Anđušić
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
13'
Event
Nemanja Anđušić
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Zorya Luhansk exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Premier League, Ukraine View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ