Zagłębie Lubin vs Cracovia Kraków Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin Sun, 3 May - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin
Versus
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 12:45 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

Zagłębie Lubin vs Cracovia Kraków preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 regular season, Zagłębie Lubin welcomes Cracovia Kraków to Stadion Zagłębia Lubin. The hosts occupy 6th place, trailing the 13th-placed visitors in the standings but holding a narrow power score edge of 61.3 to 59.3, marking them as the slightly stronger outfit with a 2-point advantage. Cracovia counters with a superior form score of 12.61 against Zagłębie's 7.39, hinting at recent momentum on their side. Projections reflect balance, splitting evenly at 35.1% for each team to win and 29.8% for a draw. Detailed set-piece metrics remain unavailable due to absent xG data and low-confidence proxies for both squads. Zagłębie's home advantage and higher ranking fuel optimism, yet Cracovia's form suggests a probing away threat. This matchup promises tension in a mid-table tussle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zagłębie Lubin possesses a 2-point power score advantage at 61.3 over Cracovia's 59.3.
  • Form: Cracovia arrives with stronger recent form, scoring 12.61 versus Zagłębie's 7.39.
  • Squad: Hosts Zagłębie sit 6th in the league while visitors Cracovia languish in 13th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Zagłębie leverages home venue for effective transition play against Cracovia.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats show low confidence with proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, relying on proxy metrics for performance insights.
  • Market: Projection split: Zagłębie Lubin 35.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.8% (Δ+0%) | Cracovia Kraków 35.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zagłębie Lubin L. Ojrzynski
L. Ojrzynski
VS
Cracovia Kraków B. Grzelak
B. Grzelak
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nieciecza Rank: 51 L
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 59 W
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 L
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 67 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 L
Katowice Rank: 65 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 58 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 16 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zagłębie Lubin
35.12%
Draw
29.76%
Away Cracovia Kraków
35.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.3
59.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zagłębie Lubin
Cracovia Kraków
Power Score
61.3
59.3
League Position
6
13
Global Rank
434
493

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zagłębie Lubin — Opponent-weighted form score
Cracovia Kraków — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zagłębie Lubin Cracovia Kraków

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin Home
39 matches
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków Away
Match Record
11
Wins
12
16
Draws
16
12
Losses
11
Goals
51
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
51
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:56:38+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Burić
1 J. Burić
I. Orlikowski
31 I. Orlikowski
D. Michalski
4 D. Michalski
M. Nalepa
25 M. Nalepa
J. Čorluka
16 J. Čorluka
D. Dąbrowski
8 D. Dąbrowski
M. Dziewiatowski
20 M. Dziewiatowski
S. Kowalczyk
7 S. Kowalczyk
M. Grzybek
13 M. Grzybek
M. Kosidis
9 M. Kosidis
L. Szabo
17 L. Szabo
S. Madejski
13 S. Madejski
M. Perković
39 M. Perković
G. Henriksson
4 G. Henriksson
B. Traoré
61 B. Traoré
B. Šutalo
21 B. Šutalo
M. Dominguez
10 M. Dominguez
K. Knap
20 K. Knap
A. Hasić
14 A. Hasić
D. Piła
79 D. Piła
M. Yankov Minchev
17 M. Yankov Minchev
J. Batoum
29 J. Batoum

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
Capacity
16068
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Arkadiusz Wójcik
Maciej Majewski
Paweł Horożaniecki

Expected Lineup

Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

1
Jasmin Buric
Jasmin Buric Goalkeeper
7.02
17
Levente Szabó
Levente Szabó Attacker
6.88
9
Michalis Kosidis
Michalis Kosidis Attacker
6.73
4
Damian Michalski
Damian Michalski Right Back
6.89
13
Mateusz Grzybek
Mateusz Grzybek Central Midfield
6.95
16
Josip Corluka
Josip Corluka Left Back
6.81
31
Igor Orlikowski
Igor Orlikowski Right Back
6.66
8
Damian Dabrowski
Damian Dabrowski Defensive Midfield
7.04
20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Mateusz Dziewiatowski Central Midfield
6.54
25
Michal Nalepa
Michal Nalepa Left Back
7.12
7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
Sebastian Kowalczyk Central Midfield
6.53
Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

13
Sebastian Madejski
Sebastian Madejski Goalkeeper
6.87
79
Dominik Pila
Dominik Pila Midfielder
6.72
10
Maxime Dominguez
Maxime Dominguez Midfielder
6.62
17
Martin Yankov
Martin Yankov Attacker
6.83
29
Jean Batoum
Jean Batoum Attacker
6.36
4
Gustav Henriksson
Gustav Henriksson Left Back
6.75
61
Brahim Traoré
Brahim Traoré Right Back
6.72
14
Ajdin Hasic
Ajdin Hasic Central Midfield
7.01
20
Karol Knap
Karol Knap Central Midfield
6.57
21
Bosko Sutalo
Bosko Sutalo Right Back
6.71
39
Mauro Perkovic
Mauro Perkovic Left Back
6.98

CONCLUSION

Zagłębie Lubin enters as marginal favorites thanks to superior power rating and home soil at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin, where their 6th-place standing underscores squad depth. Cracovia's elevated form score poses a real challenge, potentially exploiting transitions despite lower ranking. Without xG or set-piece details, expect a cagey affair emphasizing structure and momentum. Balanced projections underline even contest potential, with draw looming large. Zagłębie must harness crowd energy to edge victory in this Ekstraklasa encounter.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ekstraklasa, Poland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ