Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego Sun, 26 Apr - 10:15 AM
Ekstraklasa
Wisła Płock Wisła Płock
0 Winner 1
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 10:15 AM
Round 30 Regular Season
|
Goal
Maurides Roque Junior - 73'

Wisła Płock vs Radomiak Radom preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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CONTEXT

In a gripping Ekstraklasa encounter at Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego, Radomiak Radom pulled off a surprise 0-1 win against favored hosts Wisła Płock. The first half ended goalless at 0-0, with both teams probing cautiously amid balanced play. Wisła Płock, deemed the stronger outfit, controlled key moments but managed only 44% possession compared to Radomiak's 56%. The visitors struck decisively in the second half, exploiting defensive lapses to secure the lone goal. No red cards disrupted proceedings, maintaining a clean tactical battle. This outcome defied pre-match favoritism towards Wisła Płock, highlighting Radomiak's clinical edge. Minimal deviations from expected structures kept the game predictable, yet the result reshapes mid-table dynamics.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal structural deviation of 3.9% favored Radomiak Radom.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No notable events or adjustments altered the match trajectory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards issued, resulting in zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Stefanski
D. Stefanski
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
D. Golis
D. Golis
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
P. Baranowska
P. Baranowska
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
M. Stępniak
M. Stępniak
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
VS
Radomiak Radom B. Nunes Baltazar
B. Nunes Baltazar
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nieciecza Rank: W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: W
Katowice Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: W
Arka Gdynia Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Widzew Lodz Rank: W
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: L
Motor Lublin Rank: D
Piast Gliwice Rank: L
Legia Warszawa Rank: D
Katowice Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wisła Płock
0.19%
Draw
3.73%
Away Radomiak Radom
96.07%

Movement

Changes since opening
Wisła Płock
0%
Draw
-1.92%
Radomiak Radom
+1.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29
20.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wisła Płock
Radomiak Radom
Power Score
29
20.23
League Position
5
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Radomiak Radom — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wisła Płock Radomiak Radom

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Wisła Płock

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Radomiak Radom

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Wisła Płock ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Radomiak Radom
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.95
34.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.73
27.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Wisła Płock -0.62 Efficiency Index
vs
Radomiak Radom +0.62 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Wisła Płock
Radomiak Radom
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Wisła Płock ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Radomiak Radom
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Wisła Płock Radomiak Radom
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Wisła Płock Radomiak Radom
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Wisła Płock
Radomiak Radom
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Wisła Płock
vs
Radomiak Radom
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Wisła Płock Radomiak Radom
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Wisła Płock 0.22
Radomiak Radom 0.35
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Wisła Płock Radomiak Radom
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Wisła Płock 0.02
Radomiak Radom 0.00
Wisła Płock
Radomiak Radom
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Radomiak Radom had peak pressure around 74'.
  • Radomiak Radom started the game with stronger pressure.
Wisła Płock Pressure Radomiak Radom Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Radomiak Radom reached the top pressure at 74' (96.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Wisła Płock Wisła Płock Home
5 matches
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
3
Draws
3
1
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:01:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
R. Leszczynski
Poland
12 R. Leszczynski
M. Haglind-Sangré
Sweden
4 M. Haglind-Sangré
M. Kamiński
Poland
35 M. Kamiński
N. Mijušković
Montenegro
25 N. Mijušković
Ž. Rogelj
Substitution
Slovenia
21 Ž. Rogelj
D. Kun
Poland
14 D. Kun
K. Savvidis
Substitution
Greece
88 K. Savvidis
D. Pacheco Lobato
Substitution
Spain
8 D. Pacheco Lobato
D. Gallapeni
Substitution
Kosovo
19 D. Gallapeni
I. Niarchos
Substitution
Greece
9 I. Niarchos
W. Nowak
Poland
30 W. Nowak
F. Majchrowicz
Poland
1 F. Majchrowicz
J. Grzesik
Poland
13 J. Grzesik
A. Diéguez Grande
Spain
26 A. Diéguez Grande
J. Blasco
France
5 J. Blasco
Z. Ouattara
Ivory Coast
24 Z. Ouattara
C. Donis
Substitution
Greece
77 C. Donis
V. Fortes Lopes
Substitution
7 V. Fortes Lopes
L. Lima Linhares
Brazil
82 L. Lima Linhares
R. Wolski
Substitution
Poland
27 R. Wolski
E. Baldé
Substitution
Portugal
21 E. Baldé
A. Tapsoba
Substitution
Burkina Faso
15 A. Tapsoba

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 10:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego
Capacity
10978
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniel Stefanski
Dawid Igor Golis
Paulina Baranowska
Mateusz Stępniak

Statistics

Possession
Wisła Płock
46%
Radomiak Radom
54%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 6
46 Dangerous attacks 49
44 Possession 56
7 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

9 Throwins 22
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
10 Goal Kicks 12
18 Dribble Attempts 16
9 Goal Attempts 8
1 Injuries 2
10 Successful Dribbles 6
64 Ball Safe 63
5 Substitutions 5
0 Assists 1

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 0
78 Attacks 88

Possession

343 Passes 459
78 Successful Passes Percentage 87
59 Long Passes 37
25 Successful Long Passes 19
267 Successful Passes 399
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

17 Tackles 11
7 Interceptions 13
5 Saves 2
54 Duels Won 49

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 4
29 Total Crosses 21

Discipline

14 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Stefanski

Starting XI ▼

12
Rafal Leszczynski
Rafal Leszczynski Goalkeeper
7.04
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Defender
6.74
25
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Nemanja Mijuskovic Defender
6.72
35
Marcin Kaminski
Marcin Kaminski Defender
6.81
8
Dani Pacheco
Dani Pacheco Midfielder
7.19
99
Deni Jurić
Deni Jurić
Attacker73'
6.95
14
Dominik Kun
Dominik Kun Midfielder
6.72
19
Dion Gallapeni
Dion Gallapeni Midfielder
6.43
13
Quentin Lecoeuche
Quentin Lecoeuche
Defender73'
6.71
21
Zan Rogelj
Zan Rogelj Midfielder
6.77
2
Kevin Custovic
Kevin Custovic
Midfielder82'
6.73
88
Kyriakos Savvidis
Kyriakos Savvidis Midfielder
7.03
84
Tomás Franco Tavares
Tomás Franco Tavares
Defender46'
6.5
9
Giannis Niarchos
Giannis Niarchos Attacker
6.54
66
Iban Salvador
Iban Salvador
Midfielder83'
6.84
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Attacker
6.87
Referee : Daniel Stefanski

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Majchrowicz
Filip Majchrowicz Goalkeeper
6.76
5
Jérémy Blasco
Jérémy Blasco Defender
6.65
13
Jan Grzesik
Jan Grzesik Defender
7.03
24
Zié Ouattara
Zié Ouattara Defender
6.95
26
Adrián Diéguez
Adrián Diéguez Defender
6.72
7
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes Midfielder
6.7
19
Salifou Soumah
Salifou Soumah
Attacker58'
6.6
21
Elves Baldé
Elves Baldé Midfielder
6.75
10
Roberto Alves
Roberto Alves
Midfielder57'
7
27
Rafal Wolski
Rafal Wolski Midfielder
6.99
20
João Pedro Reginaldo
João Pedro Reginaldo
Defender81'
6.43
77
Christos Donis
Christos Donis Midfielder
6.62
2
Ibrahima Camará
Ibrahima Camará
Midfielder80'
6.8
82
Luquinhas
Luquinhas Midfielder
6.72
15
Abdoul Tapsoba
Abdoul Tapsoba Attacker
6.68
25
Maurides Roque Junior
Maurides Roque Junior
Attacker72'
7.05

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Iban Salvador
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+1'
Event
Filip Majchrowicz
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Iban Salvador → Giannis Niarchos
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Kevin Custovic → Zan Rogelj
9th Substitution
82'
81'
Event
João Pedro Reginaldo → Rafal Wolski
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Ibrahima Camará → Christos Donis
7th Substitution
Event
Quentin Lecoeuche → Dion Gallapeni
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Deni Jurić → Dani Pacheco
5th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Maurides Roque Junior
Header / 1st Goal
72'
Event
Maurides Roque Junior → Abdoul Tapsoba
4th Substitution
Event
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Zan Rogelj
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
58'
Event
Salifou Soumah → Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Roberto Alves → Elves Baldé
2nd Substitution
Event
Tomás Franco Tavares → Kyriakos Savvidis
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Christos Donis
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Radomiak Radom's 0-1 triumph over Wisła Płock underscores their growing resilience on the road, turning modest possession into a vital win. Despite being outrated beforehand, the visitors' second-half precision proved decisive after a level 0-0 halftime. Wisła Płock's failure to capitalize on superior quality exposed vulnerabilities, potentially denting their campaign momentum. This minimal-deviation result reinforces Radomiak's tactical discipline, boosting their standings while prompting introspection for the hosts. As the season progresses, such upsets highlight the league's competitiveness.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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