Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź Sun, 26 Apr - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
2 Winner 0
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 12:45 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Carlos Isaac - 15'
Lukas Lerager - 55'
Goal
|

Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

CONTEXT

Widzew Lodz secured a 2-0 victory over Motor Lublin, defying expectations in a match defined by resilience and clinical finishing. The home side took the lead in the first half, going into halftime 1-0 up, and held firm despite Motor Lublin dominating possession with 63% to Widzew's 37%. Widzew's defense stood tall, frustrating the visitors who created chances but failed to convert. The second goal came as a reward for Widzew's counter-attacking threat, sealing a deserved win for the hosts. This result highlights Widzew's ability to outperform on structure, showing a significant deviation in their setup that outmaneuvered Motor Lublin's control. No red cards disrupted play, allowing the game to flow naturally through both halves. Widzew's triumph underscores their tactical discipline against a possession-heavy opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Widzew Lodz exhibited a significant 44.5% structural deviation that favored their victory.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was fully achieved with the home win.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
?. Kuźma
?. Kuźma
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
M. Arys
M. Arys
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
M. Lisowski
M. Lisowski
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
P. Idzik
P. Idzik
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.86
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.41
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.21
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.23
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
VS
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.47
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Radomiak Radom Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: D
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
Lech Poznań Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: D
Radomiak Radom Rank: D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: W
Nieciecza Rank: W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Widzew Lodz
55.46%
Draw
24.77%
Away Motor Lublin
19.77%

Movement

Changes since opening
Widzew Lodz
-42.43%
Draw
+22.85%
Motor Lublin
+19.57%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.83
26.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Widzew Lodz
Motor Lublin
Power Score
23.83
26.67
League Position
15
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Widzew Lodz Motor Lublin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Motor Lublin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.81
19.44
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.44
45.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Widzew Lodz +2.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Motor Lublin -2.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Widzew Lodz
Motor Lublin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Motor Lublin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Widzew Lodz Motor Lublin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Widzew Lodz Motor Lublin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Widzew Lodz
Motor Lublin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Widzew Lodz
vs
Motor Lublin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Widzew Lodz Motor Lublin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Widzew Lodz 0.24
Motor Lublin 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Widzew Lodz Motor Lublin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Widzew Lodz 0.00
Motor Lublin 0.03
Widzew Lodz
Motor Lublin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Motor Lublin had peak pressure around 46'.
  • Motor Lublin started the game with stronger pressure.
Widzew Lodz Pressure Motor Lublin Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Motor Lublin reached the top pressure at 46' (87.25).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Home
3 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
5
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:03:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
B. Drągowski
Poland
1 B. Drągowski
C. Muñoz Obejero
Substitution
Spain
2 C. Muñoz Obejero
P. Wisniewski
Poland
25 P. Wisniewski
S. Kapuadi
France
53 S. Kapuadi
S. Kozlovský
Slovakia
3 S. Kozlovský
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
Spain
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
L. Lerager
Substitution
Denmark
21 L. Lerager
J. Shehu
Albania
6 J. Shehu
E. Kornvig
Denmark
8 E. Kornvig
S. Bergier
Poland
99 S. Bergier
M. Fornalczyk
Substitution
Poland
7 M. Fornalczyk
G. Tratnik
Slovenia
33 G. Tratnik
F. Luberecki
Poland
24 F. Luberecki
H. Matthys
Substitution
Belgium
3 H. Matthys
A. Najemski
Poland
18 A. Najemski
F. Wójcik
Poland
17 F. Wójcik
S. Samper Montaña
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Samper Montaña
B. van Hoeven
Substitution
Netherlands
19 B. van Hoeven
I. dos Santos Rodrigues
Portugal
7 I. dos Santos Rodrigues
B. Wolski
Substitution
Poland
68 B. Wolski
M. Ndiaye
Substitution
Senegal
30 M. Ndiaye
K. Czubak
Poland
9 K. Czubak

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź
Capacity
18018
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Łukasz Kuźma
Marek Arys
Marcin Lisowski
Piotr Idzik

Statistics

Possession
Widzew Lodz
43%
Motor Lublin
57%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
14 Shots 9
59 Dangerous attacks 65
37 Possession 63
4 Corners 6
18 Free kicks 17
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Successful Dribbles 9
2 Assists 0
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47
83 Ball Safe 91
8 Goal Kicks 7
15 Dribble Attempts 19
20 Throwins 28
2 Injuries 1
9 Goal Attempts 4
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

103 Attacks 108
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33
247 Passes 436
11 Key Passes 8
56 Long Passes 33
70 Successful Passes Percentage 82
20 Successful Long Passes 11
172 Successful Passes 357

Defensive

22 Tackles 20
60 Duels Won 56
1 Saves 3
11 Interceptions 10

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 3
18 Total Crosses 20

Discipline

17 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Łukasz Kuźma

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.79
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac Defender
6.61
91
Marcel Krajewski
Marcel Krajewski
Defender90+4'
6.68
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Defender
6.67
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender
7.03
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Defender
6.68
6
Juljan Shehu
Juljan Shehu Midfielder
7.16
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Midfielder
7.08
21
Lukas Lerager
Lukas Lerager Midfielder
6.87
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi
Midfielder85'
6.85
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker
6.7
77
Ángel Baena
Ángel Baena
Midfielder79'
6.63
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Attacker
6.96
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Attacker
6.93
Referee : Łukasz Kuźma

Starting XI ▼

33
Gasper Tratnik
Gasper Tratnik Goalkeeper
6.55
3
Hervé Matthys
Hervé Matthys Defender
6.69
42
Bright Ede
Bright Ede
Defender64'
6.4
17
Filip Wojcik
Filip Wojcik Defender
6.54
18
Arkadiusz Najemski
Arkadiusz Najemski Defender
6.74
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Defender
6.67
6
Sergi Samper
Sergi Samper Midfielder
6.76
21
Jakub Labojko
Jakub Labojko
Midfielder64'
6.62
7
Ivo Rodrigues
Ivo Rodrigues Midfielder
6.94
19
Bradly van Hoeven
Bradly van Hoeven Midfielder
6.6
23
Florian Haxha
Florian Haxha
Midfielder76'
6.35
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Midfielder
6.88
11
Fábio Ronaldo
Fábio Ronaldo
Midfielder64'
6.77
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Midfielder
7.1
10
Kacper Karasek
Kacper Karasek
Midfielder72'
6.44
9
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Attacker
7.15

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Bright Ede
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Marcel Krajewski → Carlos Isaac
8th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Lindon Selahi → Lukas Lerager
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Ángel Baena → Mariusz Fornalczyk
6th Substitution
79'
76'
Event
Florian Haxha → Bradly van Hoeven
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Kacper Karasek → Bartosz Wolski
4th Substitution
Event
Fran Álvarez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
69'
64'
Event
Bright Ede → Hervé Matthys
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Fábio Ronaldo → Mbaye Ndiaye
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Jakub Labojko → Sergi Samper
2nd Substitution
Event
Lukas Lerager
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
55'
Event
Juljan Shehu
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
52'
1ST-HALF
Event
Carlos Isaac
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
15'

CONCLUSION

Widzew Lodz's 2-0 win over Motor Lublin proves their mettle in grinding out results against possession-dominant foes. Leading 1-0 at halftime, they absorbed pressure and struck decisively, turning 37% possession into maximum points. This outcome aligns with market views while showcasing structural edge, as the 44.5% deviation propelled the hosts beyond Motor Lublin's control. Without xG insights or disruptions like reds, the performance stands on pure execution. Widzew's defensive solidity and opportunistic attack signal rising form, positioning them well for future challenges in a competitive league.

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ekstraklasa, Poland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ